Tulane vs. Memphis Prediction & Odds: College Football Week 11 Betting Preview
My Tulane vs. Memphis prediction sees the Tigers as a strong bet to continue printing money for their backers. Memphis is a 3.5-point betting favorite ahead of tonight's kickoff from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tenn., at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Without a Group of 5 team ranked in the first CFP rankings, my college football predictions for Week 11 see this matchup crucial for Memphis to keep hope alive for climbing into the playoff bracket.
✅ Tulane vs. Memphis prediction & expert picks
See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 11.
💵 Best Tulane vs. Memphis bets
- Game prediction: Memphis -3.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 53.5 (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best prop bet: Greg Desrosiers Jr. Over 48.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Tulane vs. Memphis odds
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🏈 Tulane vs. Memphis preview & score prediction
At 8-1 ATS, Memphis has been one of the best teams in the nation against the spread this season. We're looking for the Tigers to maintain their dominance - particularly at home.
Memphis is 4-0 ATS in home games this season, boasting an average ATS margin of +9.1 PPG in those matchups. Memphis has one of the most consistently potent scoring units in the nation, averaging 36.8 PPG (12th in FBS). Tulane ranks 68th nationally in scoring defense, allowing 25.5 PPG
The road is no place for a Green Wave
That could be problematic for a Tulane team that is 1-3 ATS in road games, suffering an average road ATS margin (-15.0) that ranks as the sixth-worst in the country.
Tulane's two road wins came at Tulsa and South Alabama, two programs that rank outside the top 110 FBS teams in overall adjusted efficiency. A 35-point loss at Ole Miss and a 22-point loss at UTSA have called into question the degree to which Jon Sumrall will have his team prepared to compete against a quality road opponent.
DraftKings lists Memphis -3.5 with -110 odds. The implied probability at those odds is 52.38%, and the profit on a $10 bet would be $9.09.
Score prediction: Memphis 38, Tulane 30
💡 More Week 11 predictions
Want more college football betting advice? Check out all of our college football analysis and expert predictions for Week 11.
🆚 Tulane vs. Memphis matchup to watch
Greg Desrosiers Jr. vs. Tulane run defense
Stopping the run has been a weakness of the Tulane defense, as the Green Wave ranks 75th in run defense, allowing 157.9 rushing yards per game.
Though Memphis divvies up the responsibilities in the running game across several ball carriers, Greg Desrosiers Jr. has shown the ability to break out for big production when he draws the requisite workload.
Desrosiers Jr. has run for 50+ yards in 3 of his 4 games with double-digit rushing attempts this season.
That type of opportunity could show up in this game as Tulane ranks 111th in FBS in limiting opposing rushing attempts, permitting 39.1 rushing attempts per game to its opponents.
Best prop bet: Greg Desrosiers Jr. Over 48.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
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📈 Tulane vs. Memphis betting trends
| Tulane | Statistic | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | W-L record | 8-1 |
| 3-4-1 | ATS record | 8-1 |
| 3-5 | O/U record | 5-4 |
| 6.1 | Yards per play | 6.4 |
| 5.7 | Yards allowed per play | 5.2 |
| +1.0 per game | Turnover margin | +0.1 per game |
| 3-2 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
| L, 48-26 vs. UTSA | Previous result | W, 38-14 vs. Rice |
🌤️ Tulane vs. Memphis weather
Friday’s game between Tulane vs. Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium is expected to see a game-time temperature of 49 degrees. There is a 0% chance of precipitation with 5 mph winds NW. It should be a calm, cool night with minimal impact from the forecasted weather.
📺 How to watch Tulane vs. Memphis
- Date: Friday, Nov. 7
- Kickoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (Memphis, Tenn.)
- TV: ESPN
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