Texas A&M vs. Missouri Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for Week 11

Marcel Reed ran all over LSU in Texas A&M’s road win in Baton Rouge, but he could see tougher sledding Saturday.
Missouri Tigers running back Ahmad Hardy runs with the ball as we offer our best Texas A&M vs. Missouri player props
Pictured: Missouri Tigers running back Ahmad Hardy runs with the ball as we offer our best Texas A&M vs. Missouri player props. Photo by Steve Roberts via Imagn Images.

My Texas A&M vs. Missouri player props envision a game script in which Missouri’s defense keeps things competitive by forcing Marcel Reed to throw rather than run to propel the Aggies down the field.

Our college football predictions for Week 11 look for No. 3 Texas A&M to use KC Concepcion to combat No. 22 Missouri’s zone coverage. Plus, we like the Tigers to lean on Ahmad Hardy near the goal line after Beau Pribula’s injury. The action kicks off for Texas A&M vs. Missouri from Memorial Stadium on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Texas A&M is a 7-point betting favorite.


✅ Texas A&M vs. Missouri player prop bets

See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 11.

💵 Best Texas A and M vs. Missouri player prop bets

  • KC Concepcion player prop: Over 50.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Marcel Reed player prop: Under 36.5 rushing yards (-113 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Ahmad Hardy player prop: Anytime TD scorer (-130 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Texas A&M vs. Missouri player props

⬆️ KC Concepcion player prop: Over 50.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

KC Concepcion has been a consistent option for Marcel Reed, as the standout junior wide receiver has three-plus receptions and 45-plus receiving yards in all eight of his games this season.

Concepcion should have the ability to find soft spots in Missouri’s secondary when it drops into zone, allowing him to rack up respectable yardage even if the Tigers keep him from taking the top off downfield. 

BetMGM offers this line at 50.5 yards with -115 odds on Over. The implied probability at those odds is 53.49%, and the profit on a $10 bet would be $8.70.

⬇️ Marcel Reed player prop: Under 36.5 rushing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Marcel Reed ran all over LSU in Texas A&M’s road win in Baton Rouge, rumbling for a season-high 108 rushing yards. But he could see tougher sledding in Week 11 as Diego Pavia (20 rushing yards), Jackson Arnold (14 rushing yards), and LaNorris Sellers (negative-28 rushing yards) were irrelevant as runners against the Tigers this season. 

This isn’t to say that Reed can’t beat Missouri through the air - if anything, his rushing yardage Under could correlate to the passing total going Over - but Missouri’s defense under DC Corey Batoon has largely kept the rushing element of mobile QBs under wraps.

Caesars lists this line at 36.5 yards with -113 odds on Under. The implied probability at those odds is 53.05%, and the profit on a $10 bet would be $8.85.

On the flip side, our Isaiah Sirois is fading Reed's passing yardage total as part of his Texas A&M vs. Missouri prediction.

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6️⃣ Best Texas A&M vs. Missouri touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Ahmad Hardy TD pick: Anytime TD scorer (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In my SEC best bets for Week 11, I targeted Ahmad Hardy’s rushing yardage line - but I like his anytime TD scorer prop, too. The Missouri running back has 11 rushing touchdowns on the year and has scored in all but two games (6-of-8, 75%).

Texas A&M has allowed seven rushing touchdowns across six games against Power Four (plus Notre Dame) opponents. Because of the potential challenge in asking freshman QB Matt Zollers to do it through the air, we’re expecting Missouri to get stubborn with Hardy’s usage around the goal line.

BetMGM and bet365 list Hardy’s anytime TD scorer prop at -130, which equates to an implied probability at those odds of 56.52%. The profit on a $10 bet would be $7.69.

💡 More Week 11 predictions

Want more college football betting advice? Check out all of our college football analysis and expert predictions for Week 11.


📊 Texas A&M vs. Missouri anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live college football odds for every game in Week 11.

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

Search the best college football player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.


📺 How to watch Texas A&M vs. Missouri

  • Date: Saturday, Nov. 8
  • Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Memorial Stadium (Columbia, Mo.)
  • TV: ABC

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