North Texas vs. Tulane Prediction & Opening Odds for American Conference Championship

My North Texas vs. Tulane prediction for the American Conference Championship is locking in on whether No. 24 Tulane’s defense can stop the North Texas offense in Friday's conference title game at 8 p.m. ET (ABC) from Yulman Stadium in New Orleans.

North Texas is the 2.5-point favorite, and the Over is one of the most-bet early picks of the week. Tulane is undefeated at home this season. Can the Green Wave spring the upset and potentially punch their ticket to the College Football Playoff? We break it all down as part of our college football conference championship predictions.  

While my early pick below features the total, our updated North Texas vs. Tulane prediction offers an ATS pick.

Early North Texas vs. Tulane prediction & betting preview

Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football picks for every conference championship.

Over 67.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is an incredibly high number, but North Texas’ offense has been so good that Over 67.5 is still my best North Texas vs. Tulane prediction. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker leads the nation with 3,835 yards, while his offense leads the country in points per game (46.8) and yards per game (511.8).

North Texas has scored at least 50 points in five of its last six games. Tulane has a solid defense, allowing just 22.8 points per contest. But the Green Wave's biggest defensive weakness is their pass defense, which is allowing 251.9 yards per game.

North Texas has scored at least 31 points in every game this season. Tulane has scored at least 35 in three of its last four. BetMGM’s price of -110 implies a 52.38% chance that this Over hits. A $10 bet would profit $9.09.

Live North Texas vs. Tulane odds: American Conference Championship

See the latest college football odds for every conference championship game.

North Texas vs. Tulane opening odds

• Moneyline: North Texas -150 | Tulane +125
• Spread: North Texas -3 (-110) | Tulane +3 (-110)
• Over/Under: Over 66.5 (-110) | Under 66.5 (-110)

North Texas vs. Tulane line movement

The total opened at 66.5, and with how explosive the North Texas offense has been, it’s no surprise the number has shifted to 67.5. The highest posted total for a North Texas game this season is 69.5. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this total tie that mark, as the public focuses more on the North Texas offense and less on Tulane’s defense.

North Texas opened as 3-point favorites, but the number has dropped to 2.5. Tulane hasn’t lost at home this season, so I expect this spread to hover around the key number of 3.

North Texas vs. Tulane trends & betting notes

• North Texas is 10-2 against the spread this season
• The total has been set at 56 or higher in every North Texas game, with the Over hitting in nine of 12 games
• The Under has hit in four of Tulane’s 12 games
• Tulane is 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games

North Texas vs. Tulane betting insights

• There's a lean toward North Texas among spread betters, with that side generating 58% of the action
• The lean is more narrow when looking at the total, with the Over getting 55% of the attention

How to watch North Texas vs. Tulane

• Date: Friday, Dec. 5
• Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Yulman Stadium (New Orleans)
• TV: ABC

Early conference championship predictions

• Early Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State prediction: Conference USA Championship
• Early Troy vs. James Madison prediction: Sun Belt Championship
• Early North Texas vs. Tulane prediction: American Conference Championship
• Early UNLV vs. Boise State prediction: Mountain West Championship
• Early BYU vs. Texas Tech prediction: Big 12 Championship
• Early Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan prediction: MAC Championship
• Early Georgia vs. Alabama prediction: SEC Championship
• Early Indiana vs. Ohio State prediction: Big Ten Championship
• Early Duke vs. Virginia prediction: ACC Championship