College Football Player Props Week 3: Odds, Best Bets & Expert Picks for Friday
A loaded Saturday slate of college football, including multiple top 25 matchups, is highlighted in my college football player prop bets for Week 3, but I don't skimp out on covering a few lesser-known players as part of my college football picks for Saturday.
From Houston tight end Tanner Koziol tonight to Alabama wide receiver Germie Bernard tomorrow at noon to LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier on Saturday night in Death Valley, my college football predictions for Week 3 have you covered with a player prop for every massive matchup in each time slot.
🏈 Best college football player props: Week 3
College football player prop bet odds subject to change.
- ❌ Demond Claiborne Over 82.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- ❌ Robby Ashford Under 200.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tanner Koziol Over 46.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Conner Weigman Over 191.5 passing yards (-111 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Noah Fifita Under 249.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Preston Stone Under 0.5 passing touchdowns (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Haynes King Under 16.5 pass completions (+105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Germie Bernard Over 63.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Gunner Stockton Under 240.5 passing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Behren Morton Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Makai Lemon Over 85.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Waymond Jordan to score 2+ TDs (+250 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Nicco Marchiol Over 9.5 rushing attempts (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Byrum Brown to score anytime TD (+120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Taylen Green Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-122 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Garrett Nussmeier Under 281.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Marcel Reed to score anytime TD (+163 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- LaNorris Sellers to score anytime TD (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 218.5 passing yards (-109 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Week 3 player prop bets
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Tanner Koziol Over 46.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
One of the most dominant players in the Group of Five last season, Houston tight end Tanner Koziol initially transferred to Wisconsin from Ball State before landing with Willie Fritz's program. Heading south to Space City has paid off for the 6-foot-7 senior, as he's quickly built a rapport with Houston QB Conner Weigman.
Koziol leads the Cougars in receptions (13) and receiving yards (115) by a wide margin through two games, with him going Over 46.5 receiving yards in both of his first two outings playing for Fritz. He should make it a hat trick against a Colorado defense that's ranked No. 53 in SP+ and allowing the third-most passing yards in the Big 12 (227.5).
A complete mismatch nightmare thanks to his frame and ball skills - he led the country in contested catches last season (26) - Koziol is poised to create problems for the Buffs as the focal point of Houston's passing attack. If Koziol goes Over 46.5 receiving yards for the 12th time in his last 15 games, a $10 bet pays an $8.77 profit.
⬆️ Conner Weigman Over 191.5 passing yards (-111) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Colorado’s defense allowed Nick Minicucci to throw for 312 yards against them last week, so I love Weigman in this contest. Minicucci threw for 251 yards against Delaware State two weeks ago, but he averaged 8.7 yards per attempt against Colorado.
Because of the blowout nature of the first two Houston games, Weigman hasn’t thrown for 200 yards in a game. However, the Buffaloes are allowing 227.5 pass yards per game against mediocre competition, and they should provide opportunities for Weigman. Weigman has thrown for 200 yards only six times in his career, but considering this matchup, this total is undervaluing him.
FanDuel is offering this total at 190.5, which is one yard less than Caesars. However, Caesars is offering a slightly better price of -111, so I recommend wagering there. The price implies a 52.61% chance Weigman hits this Over. A $10 bet would pay $9.01.
- Pick by Philip Wood in his Colorado vs. Houston prediction
⬇️ Noah Fifita Under 249.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐
Arizona QB Noah Fifita threw for 373 yards last week against Weber State, but his Week 1 performance against Hawaii has me concerned about his prospects this week. He completed just 56.5% of his passes in that game for 161 yards, and he averaged just 7.0 yards per attempt.
The stats for Kansas State’s pass defense are skewed due to Army only throwing 12 times for 93 yards last week. However, they only allowed 183 passing yards to Iowa State in Week 0 and 231 to North Dakota QB Jerry Kaminski in a high-scoring Week 1 game.
Last season, Fifita threw for 268 yards against Kansas State, but he also threw 42 passes as his team trailed from start to finish. That’s only 6.4 yards per attempt. FanDuel’s price suggests a 53.27% chance that Fifita hits this Under. A $10 bet will pay $8.77.
- Pick by Philip Wood in his Kansas State vs. Arizona prediction
⬆️ Germie Bernard Over 63.5 receiving yards (-115)
Kalen DeBoer's second season at Alabama got off to as bad a start as possible. I mean, there's already Alabama next coach odds available. But even in that ugly opening season loss to Florida State, Germie Bernard showcased his NFL skill set as the Crimson Tide's only consistent playmaker. He finished with 146 receiving yards on eight receptions.
In last week's 73-0 drubbing of UL Monroe, in which he only played 37 snaps due to the nature of the game, Bernard put up 67 yards and two scores on three receptions. So against a Wisconsin team that's No. 48 in EPA per pass on defense, Bernard should once again have a strong performance.
Bernard is third in the SEC in first down receptions (10), top 15 in YAC per reception (9.4) and yards per route run (3.23), and Ty Simpson has a 154.9 NFL QB rating when targeting him, so I can't imagine him seeing a drop off in production against the Badgers. The senior has gone Over 63.5 receiving yards in four straight games, and if he does again, a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit.
⬇️ Gunner Stockton Under 240.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This prop is a must-play at bet365, with our other best college football betting sites listing Stockton's passing yards line between 227.5 and 228.5. While that number is still too high for my liking, the 240.5 line is priced the same (-115), with a $10 winning bet paying an $8.70 profit.
It's shocking that Stockton's passing yards line is so high, and it must be tied to the fact that the Volunteers are down McCoy and Gibson. But Tennessee has looked just fine without them, with defensive backs Ty Redmond, Colton Hood, and Boo Carter each holding opposing QBs to an NFL passer rating of 70.1 or worse.
Stockton also failed to throw for more than 227 yards against Marshall and Austin Peay to start the season, and accounted for zero big-time throws against either opponent. Meanwhile, Tennessee is allowing 220.5 passing yards per game, largely due to Syracuse and East Tennessee State trailing them for much of their matchups against the Vols, leading to a high number of passes (35.5 per game).
- Pick by Rob Paul in Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction
⬆️ Behren Morton Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (-120)
For as impressive as the roster Texas Tech built with Cody Campbell's money is, the Red Raiders wouldn't be a popular College Football Playoff sleeper if not for Behren Morton. The redshirt senior has stepped up this season and has Texas Tech ranked No. 3 in SP+ on offense behind his efficient passing (77.8% adjusted completion rate).
While the Red Raiders haven't played a tough opponent yet, that won't change this week with how much Oregon State has struggled to start Trent Bray's second season at the helm. The Beavers are ranked No. 104 in SP+ on defense and No. 86 in EPA per pass. With several explosive pass catchers at his disposal - Reggie Virgil, Coy Eakin, Terrance Carter - Morton can expose a struggling Oregon State secondary.
The Texas Tech QB should be able to throw three-plus touchdowns for the third straight game, with a $10 bet paying an $8.33 profit if he does against Oregon State.
🔥 Waymond Jordan 2+ TDs (+250) ⭐⭐⭐
USC has a long history of producing elite running backs, from Marcus Allen to Reggie Bush, but Lincoln Riley hasn't had a consistent threat out of the backfield since arriving in Southern California. He hinted in the offseason that he may have found his answer in the form of a JUCO transfer, Waymond Jordan.
Jordan, who was the No. 1 JUCO running back in his class, has hit the ground running for the Trojans. The Hutchinson Community College product has rushed for 209 yards in two games with 164 yards after contact, seven forced missed tackles, and four runs of 15-plus yards. While he's yet to score twice in one game, USC hasn't needed him to against Missouri State and Georgia Southern.
In the Trojans' first Big Ten game of the season against Purdue, I expect an uptick in touches for Jordan, who's found the end zone twice on 21 carries so far this season. The Boilermakers are ranked just No. 68 in SP+ on defense, and Barry Odom's transfer-heavy lineup has yet to be tested. If Jordan can score twice, a $10 bet pays a $25 profit.
- Pick by Rob Paul in college football anytime touchdown scorer predictions
🔥 Byrum Brown anytime TD (+125) ⭐⭐⭐
He may not be Ashton Jeanty, but South Florida's Byrum Brown has certainly been the most impressive Group of Five player early in the season. He's already led the Bulls to upsets of two top-25 teams - Boise State and Florida - and now has South Florida ranked and looking like a worthy G5 College Football Playoff odds bet.
The 6-foot-3, 232-pounder has his biggest test of the season yet in Week 3 against a Miami team in the college football championship odds hunt. Despite this being a ranked matchup - one The CW lucked into broadcasting - the Bulls are a 17-point underdog. But Miami's defense should still struggle to stop Brown, as the Hurricanes are ranked No. 62 in SP+ on defense and outside the top 35 in EPA per rush.
It helps Brown's chances that Alex Golesh's offense runs completely through the star QB, with his usage being through the roof - he ranks top 50 in the country in carries (31). And his rugged running style, as if Matt Grothe and Quinton Flowers fused with a bull, doesn't hurt either (3.96 yards per carry after contact). If Brown scores for the third time this season, a $10 bet pays a $12.50 profit.
- Pick by Rob Paul in college football anytime touchdown scorer predictions
⬆️ Taylen Green Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-122)
Sam Pittman's job is in the hands of Taylen Green, with the Boise State transfer breathing life into the Razorbacks' offense last season and helping to build excitement around the Hogs this year. While Arkansas' wins over Alabama A&M and Arkansas State shouldn't be overrated, it's pretty clear Green has taken a leap in his second season in Bobby Petrino's offense.
The 6-foot-6, 235-pound senior has created plenty of NFL buzz early this season with 10 touchdown passes in just two games, tied for the most in the country. Although Ole Miss poses a massive challenge for Green and the Hogs as a 6.5-point underdog, Petrino and Pittman will likely lean heavily on their star QB's arm - Arkansas is No. 10 in EPA per pass thanks to it.
If Arkansas is going to pull off the upset, it will be because of Green. And if they struggle to keep up with the Rebels' offense, it will just mean Green throwing more passes. If he can throw Over 1.5 touchdowns for the fifth time in his last six games, a $10 bet pays an $8.20 profit.
⬇️ Garrett Nussmeier Under 281.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Yes, Nussmeier leads the Heisman Trophy odds and has LSU among the top championship contenders, but his numbers haven't been eye-popping. Though he's looked like a future first-round pick, the Nuss Bus has stalled out at times with LSU's offensive attack ranked No. 86 in EPA per pass.
He's also averaging well Under this 281.5-yard line being offered at BetMGM - the line is a few yards lower at our other best sports betting sites. Nussmeier has thrown for 232 and 237 in two games this season, and Florida's allowing just 156.0 passing yards per game.
In a matchup that could be defined by defense, a ball control approach from LSU wouldn't be shocking, and it would help this Under hit. If Nussmeier does throw for Under 281.5 yards for the third straight game, a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit.
- Pick by Rob Paul in Florida vs. LSU prediction
🔥 LaNorris Sellers anytime TD (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
What should be one of the most fun games of the Saturday slate pits two of the most electric QBs in the SEC against each other in Vanderbilt's Diego Pavia and South Carolina's LaNorris Sellers. While Pavia's confidence might make it seem like he's the best player in the country, it's Sellers who profiles as a Heisman Trophy odds contender.
Although he's coming off a shaky performance against South Carolina State that saw him have a reduced role as a ball carrier (six carries for 28 yards), Sellers should be a bellcow against Vanderbilt. The Commodores are No. 57 in EPA per rush on defense, and we saw in Week 1 how much the Gamecocks need to rely on Sellers' legs this season.
In the win over Virginia Tech, Sellers had 12 carries, forcing six missed tackles while rushing for 51 yards after contact and scoring. If he can have a similar showing against Vanderbilt at home, a $10 bet on the 6-foot-3, 240-pound QB will pay a $10 profit.
- Pick by Rob Paul in college football anytime touchdown scorer predictions
⬆️ Demond Claiborne Over 82.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
After exiting Wake Forest's Week 1 win over Kennesaw State due to injury, Demond Claiborne returned to the field in Week 2 and ran like a man possessed while doing his best Kenneth Walker impression. The senior popped off for 193 yards and three scores on just 10 carries, and while it was against an FCS school, it wasn't hard to see why he's viewed as one of the top running backs in the 2026 NFL Draft.
Claiborne has a huge opportunity tonight against an in-state rival to put on a show in front of NFL scouts. Last season, Claiborne carried the Demon Deacons to an upset win on the road against the Wolfpack, putting up 136 rushing yards. And he's due for a repeat performance against Dave Doeren's team.
NC State is 2-0, but it hasn't been very impressive, with its defense ranked No. 77 in SP+ and allowing 143.5 rushing yards per game. With how slippery and explosive Claiborne is - he's rushed for over 800 yards after contact with 31 runs of 10-plus yards since last season - he should push for 83-plus rushing yards for the ninth time in 15 games.
If he does, a $10 bet pays an $8.77 profit.
⬇️ Robby Ashford Under 200.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This was one of Mike Spector's best bets in his NC State vs. Wake Forest prediction, and I'm on board with it. Ashford's collegiate career has shown us that he's more threatening to opposing defenses when he uses his legs. Ultimately, the senior might be forced into this style of play, as well, as he may not be given the time necessary in the pocket to cross this yardage threshold.
The Demon Deacons had to reshuffle their offensive line in the offseason, replacing 60% of the starting production. This unit hasn't faced a true Power Four defensive line through two games, so Wake Forest's ACC opener will serve as a litmus test for Ashford's pass protection. Either way, new Demon Deacons offensive coordinator Rob Ezell has committed to his run-first scheme early on.
The Wolfpack are vulnerable in the defensive backfield, but I simply do not have the confidence that Ashford can go Over 200.5 passing yards for just the fifth time in 33 collegiate games. Interested bettors have to pay a slightly juiced price for this prop, with FanDuel's -114 odds the most favorable among the best college football betting sites.
- Pick by Gabe Henderson in his NC State vs. Wake Forest player props
❓College football betting FAQs
What are the best college football player props for Week 3?
The best college football player props for Week 3 are Demond Claiborne Over 82.5 rushing yards, Robby Ashford Under 200.5 passing yards, Tanner Koziol Over 46.5 receiving yards, Conner Weigman Over 191.5 passing yards, and Noah Fifita Under 249.5 passing yards.
How do college football player props work?
Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more college football odds.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
Where can I bet on college football player props?
While college football player prop bets have grown wildly in popularity, not all legal sports betting states permit wagering on college player props. We've tracked college player prop betting by state, with a look at which states have bans, restrictions, or full passes.
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