Miami vs. Texas A&M Predictions: 2025 College Football Playoff Odds, Picks & Best Bet
In a matchup that many have dubbed the best of the first round of the College Football Playoff, my Miami vs. Texas A&M predictions are taking the underdog to win outright in a tight game.
Texas A&M is a 3.5-point betting favorite for Saturday's noon ET kickoff on ABC/ESPN from Kyle Field in College Station, Texas, with this being the second CFP game among the college football bowl games this week.
Stay ahead this bowl season with our updated college football bowl game odds and schedule.
🏈 Miami vs. Texas A&M prediction: 2025 College Football Playoff first round
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| College Football Playoff predictions | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Miami ML | +140 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Malachi Toney anytime TD | +100 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Miami ML (+140) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Hurricanes are among the most fit teams to make a national championship run due to their trench play. Miami is one of a handful of programs to rank top 10 in the Power Four in sacks (34) and sacks allowed (11).
That ability to protect Carson Beck will be massive against a Texas A&M defense that relies heavily on pressure to make up for inconsistent play in the secondary.
And with Rueben Bain Jr. leading an elite pass rush, Miami will be able to pressure Marcel Reed more than any other team Texas A&M has faced this season.
Score prediction: Miami 29, Texas A&M 27
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🙌 Best Miami vs. Texas A&M TD pick: College Football Playoff first round
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Malachi Toney, WR, Miami: Anytome TD (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Malachi Toney looks like the next great Hurricanes receiver after earning ACC Rookie of the Year as a freshman. The 18-year-old has been one of the five best receivers in the country this season, and has taken his play up to another level during Miami's playoff push.
In his last two games, Toney has caught 25 passes for 272 yards and two scores on 31 targets. It's clear that Beck and offensive coordinator Shannon Dawson want to get their freshman phenom the ball as much as possible.
That will continue against a Texas A&M secondary that's been susceptible to big plays. Toney ranks No. 3 in the country in YAC (623) and could break any reception to the house in the CFP.
He's scored eight touchdowns in his last eight games, so I love getting this TD bet at even money.
📝 Top NFL draft prospects for Miami vs. Texas A&M
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| Player | Position | Key stats | NFL draft grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rueben Bain Jr., Miami | DL | 6th-most pressures in the country (58) | Round 1 |
| Francis Mauigoa, Miami | OL | 3 sacks allowed in the last two seasons | Round 1 |
| KC Concepcion, Texas A&M | WR | 1,409 total yards, 12 total TDs | Round 1 |
| Cashius Howell, Texas A&M | EDGE | 4th-most sacks in the country (11.5) | Round 1-2 |
| Akheem Mesidor, Miami | DL | 47 TFLs, 30 sacks in career | Round 2-3 |
| Trey Zuhn III, Texas A&M | OL | 1 sack, 8 pressures allowed | Round 2-3 |
| Keionte Scott, Miami | CB | 66.7 NFL QB rating allowed | Round 2-3 |
| Chase Bisontis, Texas A&M | OG | 0 sacks, 8 pressures allowed | Round 2-3 |
| Will Lee III, Texas A&M | CB | 8 forced incompletions, 12 coverage stops | Round 3-4 |
| Carson Beck, Miami | QB | 5th-highest adjusted completion ate in the country (81.5%) | Round 3-4 |
📊 Live Miami vs. Texas A&M odds: College Football Playoff first round
See the latest college football odds for every bowl game in real time.
Miami vs. Texas A&M opening odds
- Moneyline: Miami +155 | Texas A&M -185
- Spread: Miami +3.5 (-105) | Texas A&M -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110)
📈 Miami vs. Texas A&M betting trends
| Miami | Statistic | Texas A&M |
|---|---|---|
| 10-2 | W-L record | 11-1 |
| 7-5 | ATS record | 5-7 |
| 5-7 | O/U record | 8-4 |
| 6.3 | Yards per play | 6.6 |
| 4.5 | Yards allowed per play | 5.0 |
| +0.8 | Turnover margin | -0.5 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
| W, 38-7 vs. Pittsburgh | Previous result | L, 27-17 vs. Texas |
📺 How to watch Miami vs. Texas A&M: College Football Playoff
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 20
- Kickoff: Noon ET
- Location: Kyle Field (College Station, Texas)
- TV: ABC/ESPN
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