Miami vs. Ole Miss Predictions for College Football Playoff Tonight: Fiesta Bowl Odds & Best Bets
In a College Football Playoff semifinal matchup that preseason, nobody expected. My Miami vs. Ole Miss predictions don't expect the Rebels to roll over against the Hurricanes in the Fiesta Bowl.
Miami enters the semifinal matchup as a 3.5-point betting favorite for tonight's 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) Fiesta Bowl from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., in the first of our College Football Playoff predictions for the semifinal matchups.
Stay ahead this bowl season with our updated college football bowl game odds and schedule.
π Miami vs. Ole Miss predictions: College Football Playoff
See the latest college football odds and our college football picks for every CFP game.
| Predictions | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss +3.5 | -115 via FanDuel | ββββ |
| Kewan Lacy 2+ TDs | +310 via DraftKings | βββ |
π° Miami vs. Ole Miss best bet for Fiesta Bowl
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Ole Miss +3.5 (-115) ββββ
The Lane Kiffin situation has yet to impact Ole Miss, and dare I say his loss has even motivated the Rebels? Though Miami's trench play is special, Ole Miss's offense is ranked No. 2 by SP+, and its special teams are ranked No. 1.
An elite offense and special teams unit is the recipe for keeping this game close against a Miami team that has the worst QB of any of the remaining four programs.
Carson Beck has been middling, while Trinidad Chambliss has been unstoppable - Chambliss has two of the five highest QBR games in the CFP.
Score prediction: Miami 33, Ole Miss 31
π Best Miami vs. Ole Miss touchdown pick: Fiesta Bowl
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Kewan Lacy, RB, Ole Miss: 2+ TDs (+310) βββ
Although Chambliss is the heart and soul of this Ole Miss program, running back Kewan Lacy has been the engine of the offense all season.
The sophomore has set multiple school records this year, including the school's single-season rushing touchdown record, and he's poised to add to it in the Fiesta Bowl.
Lacy leads the Power Four in rushing touchdowns (23) thanks to a physical running style that has him top five in the country in rushing yards after contact (986) and forced missed tackles (88).
With Charlie Weis Jr. still calling plays for the Rebels, expect Lacy to continue getting a heavy workload. The Missouri transfer is averaging 21.1 carries per game this season and has put together seven multi-touchdown games, including in the Sugar Bowl against Georgia.
Our Philip Wood offers two more picks to score in the Fiesta Bowl as part of his CFP Semifinals anytime touchdown scorer predictions, while also featuring Ole Miss wide receiver DeβZhaun Stribling in his Miami vs. Ole Miss player props.
🦈 Ole Miss transfer trio SGP
While Lacy has been Ole Miss' bell cow, the passing attack has been heating up in the CFP with Chambliss at the helm. I like backing Lacy to continue finding the end zone while also taking Ole Miss's star receivers to score, too. Both Oklahoma State transfer De'Zhaun Stribling and Penn State transfer Harrison Wallace III have been on fire for Ole Miss, and are the two leading receivers in the College Football Playoff.
Stribling has racked up 12 receptions for 201 yards and a score in the CFP, and Wallace has 11 grabs for 175 and a TD. An SGP with Stribling (+200), Wallace (+220), and Lacy (-220) to all score once has +1553 odds at FanDuel.
π Top NFL draft prospects for Fiesta Bowl
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| Player | Position | Key stats | NFL draft grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rueben Bain Jr., Miami | DL | 2nd-most pressures in the country (74) | Round 1 |
| Francis Mauigoa, Miami | OL | 2 sacks, 11 pressures | Round 1 |
| Akheem Mesidor, Miami | DL | 7th-most pressures in the country (61) | Round 1-2 |
| Keionte Scott, Miami | DB | 13 TFLs, 5 sacks, 2 INTs | Round 2-3 |
| Carson Beck, Miami | QB | 4th-highest adjusted completion rate in the country (81.1%) | Round 3-5 |
| Zxavian Harris, Ole Miss | IDL | 26 run stops, 9 TFLs | Round 3-5 |
| Dae'Quan Wright, Ole Miss | TE | 573 receiving yards, 4 TDs | Round 3-5 |
| Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss | QB | 5th-highest QB in the country (86.8) | Round 3-5 |
| De'Zhaun Stribling, Ole Miss | WR | 734 receiving yards, 6 TDs | Round 4-6 |
| Suntarine Perkins, Ole Miss | LB | 74 tackles, 11 TFLs, 3 sacks | Round 4-6 |
π Live Miami vs. Ole Miss odds: Fiesta Bowl
Miami vs. Ole Miss opening odds
- Moneyline: Miami -180 | Ole Miss +150
- Spread: Miami -3.5 (-108) | Ole Miss +3.5 (-112)
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-115) | Under 51.5 (-105)
ποΈ Miami vs. Ole Miss betting insights:
Betting odds provided by BetMGM.
The public is siding with Miami in this one on both the spread and the moneyline offerings. Miami currently has 64% of the handle on the spread (64% of the money wagered), while Ole Miss has 36% of the handle (36% of the money) wagered.
The moneyline splits are almost a 50/50 split. Miami has 51% of the handle (51% of the money) while Ole Miss has 49% of the handle (49% of the money) wagered.
π Miami vs. Ole Miss betting trends
| Miami | Statistic | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2 | W-L record | 13-1 |
| 9-5 | ATS record | 9-5 |
| 5-9 | O/U record | 7-7 |
| 6.2 | Yards per play | 6.7 |
| 4.6 | Yards allowed per play | 5.2 |
| +0.9 | Turnover margin | 0.0 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 5-0 |
| W, 24-14 vs. Ohio State | Previous result | W, 39-34 vs. Georgia |
πΊ How to watch Miami vs. Ole Miss: Fiesta Bowl
- Date: Thursday, Jan. 8
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Ariz.)
- TV: ESPN
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