Kentucky vs. Tennessee Picks, Predictions College Football Week 9: Top 25 SEC Teams Meet In Knoxville
Tennessee is coming off a 41-point win over Tennessee-Martin last week but faces a tougher test in No. 17 Kentucky on Saturday. Can the Volunteers stay at No. 3 with a win? Read on for our top Kentucky-Tennessee picks.
Tennessee's offense has been incredible this season. The Volunteers average 50.1 points per game, and have scored at least 34 points in every game this season.
The Wildcats play a completely different style of football, averaging just 26.4 PPG with just 16.4 PPG allowed. Kentucky has yet to give up more than 30 points in a single game, and the Wildcats allowed more than 20 points only three times in seven matchups.
Here are our Kentucky vs. Tennessee college football Week 9 picks (odds via BetMGM and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out all of our top college football picks for Week 9, as well as our best bets.
Kentucky vs. Tennessee Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 29, 7 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
- Weather: 50 degrees, 17% chance of precipitation, 5-mph winds
Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds
Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds Analysis
Tennessee has drawn 64% of the tickets on the spread but those account for just 49% of the handle as the sharp money seems to be on Kentucky. As a result, the spread has dropped from the consensus opening line of Tennessee -13 to -11.5 as of Saturday morning.
The Over/Under is down from 63 to 62 despite 88% of the tickets accounting for 82% of the handle on the Over.
Kentucky vs. Tennessee Picks
- Spread: Kentucky +12.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
- Over/Under: Under 63 (-110 via DraftKings)
- Prop: Tennessee Under 37.5 (-105 via DraftKings)
Kentucky vs. Tennessee Pick
Kentucky +12.5 (-105) ★★★
This is a tough spot for the Vols. Next week, they'll travel to Georgia to take on the No. 1 team in college football. If they’re looking ahead to that matchup, they'll get beaten outright by a very good Kentucky team.
The Wildcats’ defense is the best the Volunteers have played against this season, and Kentucky manages to stifle opponents even in losses. Wildcats’ quarterback Will Levis looked very good in Kentucky’s win over Mississippi State after missing a week against South Carolina with an injury.
With Levis playing at a good level, and the Wildcats’ D managing to keep all their games low-scoring, expect Kentucky to cover as nearly two-touchdown underdogs.
Kentucky vs. Tennessee O/U Pick
Under 63 (-110) ★★★★
Despite being 5-2, the Wildcats have inflicted their style of play on every single team they've met this season. They like to play a slow, methodical, defensive-minded game that could really frustrate the Vols. In early October, Kentucky held Ole Miss to just 22 points, a team that averages 38.2 PPG in 2022.
Yet, this number is too high even if the Volunteers do what they've done all season and score in the mid-30s. That would require at least four Kentucky touchdowns, something the Wildcats have accomplished just three times this year, and all against non-SEC competition.
Kentucky vs. Tennessee Prop
Tennessee Under 37.5 (-105) ★★★
The Volunteers boast the number one scoring and the number one yardage offense in college football. However, for the first time this season, they're taking on a Top 15 defense in terms of yardage and a Top 10 defense in points allowed.
How will Volunteers quarterback Hendon Hooker and the rest of the offense react when they face struggles for the first time since their second half against Pittsburgh? For the Vols to go Over this number, not only would they have to be the first team to score 30 against the Wildcats, they’d have to get much more.
Where to Bet on Kentucky vs. Tennessee
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Kentucky vs. Tennessee picks made 10/26/2022 at 5:14 p.m. ET
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