Houston vs. Oklahoma State Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 7

My best Houston vs. Oklahoma State prediction focuses on Houston’s ability to exploit Oklahoma State’s weaknesses in Saturday’s noon ET (TNT/HBO Max) game at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Okla. Houston is favored by 14.5.

Houston covering is one of the most popular (66%) college football picks of the week. While I’d normally try to fade the public when there is such lopsided support, there is nothing to like about how Oklahoma State is playing. For more on this game, check out our college football predictions for Week 7.

🏈 Houston vs. Oklahoma State prediction

College football expert picks for Week 7; odds subject to change.

• Game prediction: Houston -14.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Over 47.5 (-115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Player prop bet: Dean Connors Over 81.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Houston vs. Oklahoma State?

Houston is going to win this game easily because Oklahoma State can’t score. One week after putting up 27 against Baylor, Oklahoma State accumulated just 158 yards and seven first downs in a 41-13 loss to Arizona. They’re now averaging just 16.4 points per game, which is seventh-worst in the nation.

The only question is, how much will Houston win by? Before last week’s 35-11 loss to No. 9 Texas Tech, they’d scored at least 27 in every game. Against a defense allowing 36.2 per game, Houston should dominate.

Prediction: Houston 38 - Oklahoma State 14

✅ Houston vs. Oklahoma State best bet

Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.

🐾 Houston -14.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Oklahoma State has allowed at least 41 points to all three of its power conference opponents. While Houston is averaging just 27.2 points per game, that stat is skewed due to last week’s 11-point performance against Texas Tech. Houston has scored 36 against Colorado and 35 against Rice, teams that rank 76th and 59th in scoring defense, respectively.

Oklahoma State doesn’t do anything well. The Cowboys are allowing 294.6 passing yards per game, while managing just 175.4 of their own. Houston quarterback Conner Weigman suffered an injury during last week’s game, but he is expected to play Saturday. Yet, even if the passing attack struggles, the rushing attack, averaging 157.8 yards per game, will be just fine against a defense giving up 179.4.

The price of -105 at BetMGM implies a 51.22% chance that Houston covers. A $10 bet would pay $9.52.

💰 Best Houston vs. Oklahoma State player prop bet

Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Dean Connors Over 81.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

When it comes to player props, the best Houston vs. Oklahoma State prediction is Connors to top 81.5 rushing yards for the third time this season. Connors has averaged 3.1 yards per carry or worse in each of his last two games, but Oklahoma State is allowing 4.7 yards per attempt.

Connors is still averaging 4.4 yards per carry. He ran 22 times for 89 yards in a decisive win over Colorado. He should get  that many carries against a defense allowing 38 rushes per game.

Houston runs 12.6 more times per game than it passes, but this isn’t a five-star play because Oklahoma State’s pass defense is so bad that it could lead to Houston throwing more than usual. A $10 bet at FanDuel would pay $8.77. The odds imply a 53.29% chance that Connors hits this Over.

📊 Houston vs. Oklahoma State odds

Latest college football odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Houston vs. Oklahoma State: Week 7

• Date: Saturday, Oct. 11
• Kickoff: Noon ET
• Where: Boone Pickens Stadium (Stillwater, Okla.)
• TV: TNT/HBO Max