Boise State vs. Wyoming Picks, Predictions College Football Week 12: Mountain Division Up for Grabs

Check out our best Boise State vs. Wyoming picks and predictions!

The Boise State Broncos won 15 of 16 all-time meetings with the Wyoming Cowboys. Wyoming’s only victory came at home in 2016. Who will prevail this time when the Broncos face the Cowboys? Read on for our best Broncos-Cowboys picks. 

A trip to the Mountain West Championship Game likely awaits the winner of Saturday night’s showdown between Boise State and Wyoming.

A season that began with plenty of adversity for Boise State (5-4-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U) flipped around in a big way. The Broncos won five of their last six games and enter this matchup undefeated in Mountain West play. Boise State can clinch the Mountain Division with a win.

Meanwhile, Wyoming (5-5 ATS, 5-5 O/U)  overcame a mass exodus of offseason transfers to play highly competitive football this season. The Cowboys only trail Boise State by one game in the standings and ride a four-game winning streak into this high-stakes showdown. 

Here are our top Week 12 Boise State vs. Wyoming picks (odds via BetRivers Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale). 

Boise State vs. Wyoming Picks

  • Side: Boise State -14 (-109 via BetRivers) ★★★★
  • Total: Under 45 (-115 via DraftKings) ★★★
  • Prop: Wyoming team total — Under 15.5 (-120 via DraftKings) ★★★

Boise State vs. Wyoming ATS Pick

Boise State -14 (-109) ★★★★

The spread actually grew by two points relative to the opening number, despite the majority of bets taking points with Wyoming. Boise State holds profound advantages over Wyoming in both talent and experience and also has a much higher power rating. 

In backup quarterback Taylen Green, Boise found a suitable QB replacement for starter Hank Bachmeier, who quit and entered the transfer portal four games into the season. Meanwhile, running back George Holani leads a rushing attack that averages north of 187 yards per game.

Although Wyoming’s defense is its strength, the Pokes are nowhere near as proficient at stopping the run as many bettors might think. It's also a question of how an anemic Cowboys' offense can score enough to keep things close. 

Five of the Broncos’ six conference wins this season were by 17 points or more. It took a touchdown in the final minute of last year’s meeting for a much more talented Wyoming team to cover as 14-point road underdogs.

Boise State vs. Wyoming O/U Pick

Under 45 (-115) ★★★

The Under posted a 6-0-1 record in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these teams. In addition, Boise State and Wyoming combined to average only 41 points per game in those previous matchups. With most sportsbooks listing the total at 44.5, bettors should target the half-point of value available at DraftKings.

After losing so many key players from last year’s team, many predicted Wyoming's offense would struggle this season. That's been the case as the Cowboys rank just 101st out of 131 FBS teams in adjusted offensive efficiency.

Along with doubting the Pokes to do much of anything offensively, the game script also benefits the Under. With both sides preferring to run the ball, expect the clock to roll throughout.

Boise State vs. Wyoming Prop Pick

Wyoming team total: Under 15.5 (-120) ★★★

To date, Boise State held five of six Mountain West opponents to 14 points or less. Only Fresno State, with the conference’s best offense, managed to score more than two touchdowns against a stout Broncos defense. BSU ranks 38th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and 21st in rushing yards allowed per game.

Assuming the Broncos’ run D holds true to form, Wyoming could be hard-pressed to crack double-digits on the scoreboard, let alone surpass this team total prop of 15.5. The Pokes average only 137.9 passing yards per game, an FBS seventh fewest. 

Unless quarterback Andrew Peasley usurps expectations, the Cowboys most likely need a defensive score to get past this prop line.

Where to Bet on Boise State vs. Wyoming Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

Boise State vs. Wyoming picks made 11/18/2022 at 5:22 p.m. ET