Heisman Trophy Odds & Favorites 2025: Beck, Mateer Favorites; Nussmeier, Manning Fall
Just three weeks into the college football season, and the two biggest Heisman Trophy odds preseason favorites have already dropped out of the top three spots on the board.
Texas QB Arch Manning's catastrophic start has pretty well knocked him out of the race, while LSU's Garrett Nussmeier is struggling to keep up statistically with other top contenders like Miami's Carson Beck, Oklahoma's John Mateer, and Oregon's Dante Moore.
With so many of the most popular preseason Heisman picks floundering to start the season, which QB is worth backing with your college football picks in this year's Heisman race?
📊 Live Heisman Trophy odds 2025
Our 2025 Heisman Trophy odds update in real time based on the latest college football odds.
📈 Heisman Trophy betting insights
Heisman Trophy betting insights via BetMGM.
| Highest ticket percentage | Highest handle percentage | Biggest liabilities |
|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning, Texas (11.7%) | Arch Manning, Texas (15.5%) | Arch Manning, Texas |
| Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State (8.7%) | Garrett Nussmeier, LSU (10.8%) | Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame |
| Garrett Nussmeier, LSU (8.6%) | LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina (9.3%) | LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina |
| LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina (8.0%) | Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State (7.1%) | Garrett Nussmeier, LSU |
| Cade Klubnik, Clemson (7.0%) | Cade Klubnik, Clemson (6.7%) | Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State |
🏆 My Heisman Trophy prediction & best bet
🦆 Dante Moore, Oregon (+1300)
It's so early in the college football season that it's hard to have a ton of confidence in any of the candidates, especially in a year where the preseason favorite had never even thrown a pass in a road game before. And while Texas remains a college football championship odds contender, Manning doesn't look like he has any shot at winning the award just a few weeks into the season.
Manning's struggles really speak to how wide open this year's Heisman race is, with many of the biggest favorites stumbling early. However, there are a few QBs who have proven they're in the Heisman race through the first three weeks of the season.
Even with Nussmeier's showing against Clemson and Mateer's against Michigan, I think Moore's first three weeks of the season are hard to top. Sure, he played Montana State, a down-on-its-luck Oklahoma State, and lowly Northwestern, but he has the Ducks looking lethal as a clear College Football Playoff odds favorite.
The former five-star recruit has leveled up since starting as a true freshman at UCLA two years ago. He's 10th in the country in QBR (85.7), 13th in adjusted completion rate (81%), 21st in passing touchdowns (7), and has been about as efficient as any passer with just one turnover-worthy play and zero sacks taken - the Ducks are ranked No. 2 in SP+ on offense thanks to him.
Playing with a potential first-round pass-catcher in Kenyon Sadiq and one of the top offensive tackle prospects in Isaiah World, Moore has everything around him to continue succeeding as the Ducks get deeper into Big Ten play. And oh yeah, offensive coordinator Will Stein has sent his last two QBs to the Heisman Trophy ceremony as finalists.
If Moore can do what Bo Nix and Dillon Gabriel couldn't, a $10 bet pays a $130 profit.
🔢 Heisman Trophy opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU: +900
- Arch Manning, QB, Texas: +950
- Drew Allar, QB, Penn State: +1100
- Cade Klubnik, QB, Clemson: +1100
- Nico Iamaleava, QB, Tennessee: +1100
- Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State: +1700
- Carson Beck, QB, Miami: +1800
- Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State: +1800
- Dante Moore, QB, Oregon: +2000
- LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina: +2000
- DJ Lagway, QB, Florida: +2500
- John Mateer, QB, Oklahoma: +2500
- Kevin Jennings, QB, SMU: +3000
- Austin Simmons, QB, Ole Miss: +3000
- Miller Moss, QB, Louisville: +3300
- Gunner Stockton, QB, Georgia: +3300
- Ryan Williams, WR, Alabama: +3500
- Jalon Daniels, QB, Kansas: +4000
- Marcel Reed, QB, Texas A&M: +4000
- Steve Angeli, QB, Notre Dame: +4500
- Jackson Arnold, QB, Auburn: +4500
- Thomas Castellanos, QB, Florida State: +5000
- Sam Leavitt, QB, Arizona State: +5000
- Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame: +5000
- Jayden Maiava, QB, USC: +5000
- Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana: +5000
- Dylan Raiola, QB, Nebraska: +5000
- Kaidon Salter, QB, Colorado: +5000
- Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama: +5000
- Avery Johnson, QB, Kansas State: +6000
- Sawyer Robertson, QB, Baylor: +6000
- Bryce Underwood, QB, Michigan: +6000
- Kyron Drones, QB, Virginia Tech: +7500
- Haynes King, QB, Georgia Tech: +7500
- Devon Dampier, QB, Utah: +8000
- Darian Mensah, QB, Duke: +8000
- Beau Pribula, QB, Missouri: +9500
- Demond Williams Jr., QB, Washington: +9500
- Mikey Keene, QB, Michigan: +10000
- Austin Mack, QB, Alabama: +10000
🗳️ How Heisman Trophy voting works
The ballots go out to Heisman Trophy voters (928 voters) on Monday, Dec. 1, and the deadline to vote is Monday, Dec. 8, with the Heisman finalists being announced that day. The finalist will receive invites to the Heisman Trophy ceremony in New York, which is set for Saturday, Dec. 13 at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Heisman Trophy odds will likely be pulled from sportsbooks in the days following the submission deadline.
💰 Heisman Trophy odds history
| Year | Name | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Travis Hunter, WR/CB, Colorado | +3500 |
| 2023 | Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU | +1000 |
| 2022 | Caleb Williams, QB, USC | +600 |
| 2021 | Bryce Young, QB, Alabama | +800 |
| 2020 | Devonta Smith, WR, Alabama | +10000 |
| 2019 | Joe Burrow, QB, LSU | +4000 |
| 2018 | Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma | +3000 |
| 2017 | Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma | +1000 |
| 2016 | Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville | +10000 |
| 2015 | Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama | +2500 |
| 2014 | Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon | +425 |
| 2013 | Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State | +600 |
🥇 Heisman Trophy winners by position
| Position | Heisman Trophy winners |
|---|---|
| Running back | 40 |
| Quarterback | 38 |
| Wide receivers | 5 |
| Tight end | 2 |
| Fullback | 2 |
| Halfback | 2 |
| Cornerback | 2 |
❓Heisman Trophy FAQs
Who are the Heisman Trophy favorites?
Miami's Carson Beck is the Heisman Trophy odds favorite. His odds (+900) imply a 10% probability he'll win, according to our odds calculator. Oklahoma's John Mateer (+1000), Oregon's Dante Moore (+1300), Georgia's Gunner Stockton (+1500), and LSU's Garrett Nussmeier (+1700) trail Beck.
What are Arch Manning's Heisman Trophy odds?
Texas QB Arch Manning has +4000 Heisman Trophy odds. After having odds as short as +700 before the season, Manning's odds now imply just a 2.44% probability he will win the award.
Who won the Heisman Trophy last year?
Colorado's Travis Hunter was named the 2024 Heisman Trophy winner. His preseason odds were +3500.
When will the Heisman Trophy be decided?
The 2025 Heisman Trophy ceremony will be Saturday, Dec. 13, at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Where will the Heisman Trophy ceremony take place?
The 2025 Heisman Trophy ceremony will take place at Lincoln Center’s Appel Room in New York City. The venue has hosted each of the last three Heisman Trophy presentations.
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