I have 1,181 riding on Fish to beat Simon - how much should I hedge?

GoBlue77 · 09-01-12, 03:02 PM

i say ride or die....

it will feel even sweeter when you dont hedge

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:04 PM

As much as I'd like to, I pride myself on proper bankroll management.

matt1216 · 09-01-12, 03:09 PM

hedge man make a solid profit

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-12, 03:11 PM

Agree with your assessment. No need to show you have more testosterone than someone else. I've always said you are an idiot if you don't hedge something if you're down to one leg on a parlay. If you're trying to make money smartly and not just hoping to hit it big somewhere, it's proper to hedge. I think your amount if whatever you feel comfortable with. I think Fish wins it in 4 unless he is just empty from the comeback, but with proper rest I don't think he will be. Simon still dealing with a shoulder issue and honestly if Wang had shown more bravery/ability to hold after breaks - he would have pushed Simon to 5 and maybe would have beaten him.

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:19 PM

Hm. Yes. Seem to have 'jinxed' kirilenko.

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:23 PM

Gave you 3 points for an even 900. Because I'm on my 4th beer and it's only 4 PM.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-12, 03:27 PM

Hehe F-yeah. I'm waiting until 5. Mexican futbol starts it and then segues into Clemson-Auburn for a quarter before Michigan-Alabama.

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:30 PM

You actually cap mexican soccer?

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:38 PM

Kirilenko/Hlavackova going 3. Derp.

MMA Fan · 09-01-12, 03:39 PM

Who is this ugly Czech bitch blistering forehands on Kirilenko? Kirilenko has done well this tournament. Now, this stupid bitch she's playing is acting like Serena Williams.

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:41 PM

Anything can happen at this point, but I think experience and nerves will come into play, giving Kirilenko the edge. We'll see.

MMA Fan · 09-01-12, 03:43 PM

It's on this other bitch's racket, unfortunately. Playing over her head, I assume. But that means they could win.

tevari · 09-01-12, 03:45 PM

Both players getting treatment.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:07 PM

Jinx complete. -750 favorite likely going down.

MMA Fan · 09-01-12, 04:08 PM

You jinxed it. This ballbashing bitch has Kirilenko on the run.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:09 PM

We'll see if the nerves get to her. I expect a tight game coming if both players hold serve and she's trying to serve it out at 5-4.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:22 PM

Awful unforced errors by Kirilenko. Well, when I'm cold, I'm ice fukking cold.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-12, 04:25 PM

Choke choke choke ... you can't spell Czech without it. I feel it for ya.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:33 PM

Not today.

EdwardHaney · 09-01-12, 04:34 PM

You will definitely want to hedge here, probably about.....nevermind.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-12, 04:35 PM

Part of Kirilenko's problem is she is a sexy beast, but wearing a God awful outfit that doesn't let the sexy out. That is terrible.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:36 PM

I mean, honestly no one should have sympathy for me. I pretty much asked for this outcome by posting this thread.

in:extremis · 09-01-12, 04:36 PM

Wow. Ultimate jinx thread. Bad luck man.

MMA Fan · 09-01-12, 04:37 PM

She was getting that performance-enhancing effect from Alex Ovechkin's sperm. She spit rather than swallowed this morning.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:38 PM

She did have break point with a second serve in that last game but couldn't convert, and then had the easiest put away of the entire match for adv, but pretty much put it in the center of the court for an easy winner for the czech.

MMA Fan · 09-01-12, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by tevari

I mean, honestly no one should have sympathy for me. I pretty much asked for this outcome by posting this thread.

I do empathize. Whenever I count my chickens with a bet that looks like it'll win, bullshit like that happens. I had Maria on a parlay and assumed she was in good shape after winning the first set myself.

MMA Fan · 09-01-12, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by tevari

She did have break point with a second serve in that last game but couldn't convert, and then had the easiest put away of the entire match for adv, but pretty much put it in the center of the court for an easy winner for the czech.

Women players seem to routinely miss the put aways. Even the men. Berdych choked his final away against Isner last week that way. It's really quite frustrating when you have money on them.

tevari · 09-01-12, 04:42 PM

Whatever. Running something like 1-7 this tournament. Will gladly sit the rest out and cap ...shall I say....more manlier sports?

wtt0315 · 09-01-12, 07:43 PM

i would not hedge. Gilles simon is a fruitcake and i dont think he can handle an american sat night in ny vs an american

EmpireMaker · 09-01-12, 07:53 PM

Zero

tevari · 09-01-12, 08:09 PM

Are you guys replying to the thread without reading it? The more replies I get, the stupider I look around here!

133382547-1	9/1/12 9:14am	$100.00	$1,081.62	Pending	7 Team Parlay
				Pending	9/1/12 8:30pm ATP Tennis 107 Mardy Fish -280* vs Gilles Simon
				Win	9/1/12 11:00am ATP Tennis 113 Nicolas Almagro -380* vs Jack Sock
				Win	9/1/12 12:30pm ATP Tennis 144 Martin Klizan +150* vs Jeremy Chardy
				Win	9/1/12 2:30pm ATP Doubles Tennis 409 S.Gonzalez/S.Lipsky -285* vs P.Andujar/G.Garcia-Lopez
				Win	9/1/12 11:00am ATP Doubles Tennis 411 R.Lindstedt/H.Tecau -420* vs B.Paire/E.Roger-Vasselin
				Pending	9/1/12 12:30pm WTA Tennis 561 Maria Kirilenko -750* vs Andrea Hlavackova
				Win	9/1/12 11:00am WTA Tennis 592 Agnieszka Radwanska -220* vs Jelena Jankovic