EP36's Grand Slam Wankoff: U.S. Open

[EaglesPhan36]

Shvedova was a major letdown. Served for the match and blew it.

[riffraff24]

Shvedova was a major letdown. Served for the match and blew it.

yeah that dumb biaaatch

[EaglesPhan36]

Over is golden so long as the match goes complete. So the two bigger ones cash so far which means positive units no matter how the days ends. If Blake or Wang wins, will be a solid solid day.

[zoo youk]

wang serving for 2nd set to tie it up and blake is off to a hot start, gl EP

[mdfizzle]

Had another solid day choosing dogs... and it comes time again for me to pick more and get your feedback.

Sijsling (Come on +1000 vs Ferrer)
Brian Baker
Harrison

[EaglesPhan36]

Had another solid day choosing dogs... andi it comes time again for me to pick more and get your feedback.

Sijsling (Come on +1000 vs Ferrer)
Brian Baker
Harrison

Remember not to get caught up in prices, but actual chances of winning. To me Sjisling is the exact same type of player as Anderson who Ferrer ate up. Look at their one match this year. It was on grass, but Ferrer brutalized the guy. 6-0, 6-1. Baker will be a popular dog pick against Tipsarevic. He has a shot but will need help from Tipsarevic. Harrison maybe worth a play on the handicap, but I think he would also need help from Delpo having an off day while he played probably his best match of the year.

[EaglesPhan36]

Another good grinding 3-2 day and hitting the bigger plays makes it a bigger winner. Kicking myself for going aggressive on Wang instead of taking +6.5 which would have covered, but positive units = good day, any day.

[Lakey]

Great call on Blake EP.

[EaglesPhan36]

Main Draw Record: 12-7 (+3.42)

Day 5, August 31st
Parlay: Kohlschreiber + Wawrinka + Bryan Bros. (-125) *1 unit
Harrison +6.5 (-107) *0.5 unit
Zemlja -117 *0.5 unit

[mdfizzle]

My main play today is Hewitt.

[BRUTUSB33FCAKE]

My main play today is Hewitt.

Seems like everyone and their mother, father, brother, sister, and grandmother are on Hewitt. Scary.

[riffraff24]

Lets keep this train rollin EP! Good luck bro

[beefcake]

Hoping Gulbis pulls a Gulbis today.Playing on court 13...Tight and compact.Crowd should be boisterous and backing Stevie

[mdfizzle]

Seems like everyone and their mother, father, brother, sister, and grandmother are on Hewitt. Scary.

Hewitt matches up well. Outside of Muller getting free points of his serve (which should be limited by a good return game), Hewitt is better in all facets.

[Sawyer]

Seems like everyone and their mother, father, brother, sister, and grandmother are on Hewitt. Scary.

My grandfather is also on Hewitt today

PS: I'm on Hewitt too!

[EaglesPhan36]

I may play Muller off the books just for shits & grins, seen one of the all-time jinxes on Hewitt as well. For the record, I do favor Hewitt - but the big serve easily nullifies Hewitt's mobility advantage if it's working well.

[EaglesPhan36]

OPEN FOR BUSINESS BABY.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/1864592-ep36s-u-s-open-total-annihilation-game-sponsored-beer.html

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ...

Petrova-Safarova Over 21.5 [-130]

[EaglesPhan36]

Bryans burn through easily in straights to get the parlay going on the good foot. Total above is 0.5 unit play also.

[EaglesPhan36]

A little voice in my head just told me go ahead ... try it. And I shall. He will have to serve every bit as good as he did against Janowicz and probably a couple levels higher. Hot day though. Benneteau to me there are still some days when he doesn't show up to the court with his best game and allows guys like this maybe to stick around when they shouldn't. He might just get squashed, but it's a small risk I'm taking today for this kid.

Novikov +885 *0.25 unit

[zoo youk]

EP did you watch Milos' last match? he was serving absolutely lights out and he is really confident right now, he is covering alot of ground on the court, if he is even serving 50% of the way he did yesterday against Blake he should handle him quite easily dont you think?

i would normally never lay -300 unless it was in a parlay but i think there is actually some really value here when this should be around -600 or so imo

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm not sure why the price should be double? Blake has been serving very well and like you saw from Raonic from round one to round two, he is far from the most consistent player over the course of five sets. Look at How close the Mathieu match was with him serving lights out. To each his own, but laying that on a single play is not something I want to do with a player who has a mental meltdown history.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well the over will cash. Harrison loses. Pissed I waited.too long and got that @ 6.5. 7 was where it was early and that would have pushed.

[riffraff24]

Bummer on that Harrison play. Owell! on to the next one!

[zoo youk]

I'm not sure why the price should be double? Blake has been serving very well and like you saw from Raonic from round one to round two, he is far from the most consistent player over the course of five sets. Look at How close the Mathieu match was with him serving lights out. To each his own, but laying that on a single play is not something I want to do with a player who has a mental meltdown history.

well that is why i was asking you..you are the expert and I am not plus i haven't seen Blakes play as of late and you have. Granted yes the game was close even with Milos serving lights out but Mathieu was also serving very well too and his ground strokes were very impressive, his service games got under looked badly just cause how good Milos was but in reality Mathieu played a great match.

anyway...will prob just throw it into a par now instead of SU. ty for the response.

[plankton43]

Well the over will cash. Harrison loses. Pissed I waited.too long and got that @ 6.5. 7 was where it was early and that would have pushed.

I had over 33, and it pushed, it was 34.5 this morning, can't believe Harrison couldn't win 3 games that set, lucky to push I suppose.

[EaglesPhan36]

I think that's the smart move if you like Raonic. Blake is likely going to match him on-serve if he is anywhere near the level he has shown so far, so it could be a very tight match ... of course if either guy is off a hair, it could be a straight setter for someone.

Wawrinka gonna make the parlay sweat. Down 2-1. Always gotta make it interesting eh.

[EaglesPhan36]

So twice Wawrinka comes out and breaks after dropping sets and is able to roll. Going to a 5th. Need to keep the mo going Stanny boy.

[riffraff24]

2-2. Lets go Waw!!!!

[xlilsp1keyx]

anyone know whats going on with the zemlja match??

[xlilsp1keyx]

nevermind.. updated were slow.

[EaglesPhan36]

******* great point to win on Stanny. Whew!

[EaglesPhan36]

LoL @ the market for the Roddick-Tomic match. Look like everyone is pushing in on Roddick. Up to -225 now. Stupid price, still not playing anything - but that is just dumb for that much of a swing to have come in.

[EaglesPhan36]

Roddick-Tomic ALTERNATE Total available now. Win my SBR points!

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/1864592-ep36s-u-s-open-total-annihilation-game-sponsored-beer.html

[EaglesPhan36]

Zemlja finally brings it home! Novikov hanging in there deep in the 3rd. Definitelt think he needs this set more.