parlays are poison man...gl tomorrow...
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Day 10, September 4th
Parlay: Azarenka + Ferrer [-180]Comment -
Love the play man. Azarenka dominates stosur and ferrer dominates gasquet.Comment -
Adding
Doubles: Paes-Stepanek + Kirilenko-Petrova [-105]
Doubles: Harrison Bros. +185
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EP, i had a parlay with Federer and Del Potro...obviously the Fed side got no actioned....so I am just left with Del Potro straight up...do you think i should hedge out or does Andy have any real shot here? IMO if DP is interested and playing at a high level he should dispose of Roddick within 4 sets, after all this is why Roddick is retiring cause he can't hang with the big dogs anymore but Del Potro always worries me if his head is in it and if its not Roddick could clip him..
should i let it ride or hedgeComment -
Roddick would have to find another gear in my opinion and Del Potro would have to be substandard. Certainly can happen, but you can't really try to figure out what version of a player will show up on a given day - you try to go with the form they are in. Delpo has looked reasonably well to this point. I would let it ride - especially if you have a live bet option and monitor the match that way. It would be more effective to try to get some back that way if things go south on Delpo. Taking Roddick for some before the match, you're basically saying you didn't think Del Potro was a good choice.
I think you monitor the 1st set to see how it is going if you want to live bet some hedge action on Roddick. I think Roddick's best chance to pull off a stunner is to start fast and get the crowd more amped up than it will already be. Delpo is certainly capable of a mental meltdown and a hostile crowd if his game is not working right would be the recipe for an upset. End of the day, I think Delpo wins in 4 but it could be interesting depending on how it starts.Comment -
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gonna be tough to get any matches in today. rain does not look like its gonna let up. I am about a hour train ride from flushing and we have a flood watch here.Comment -
On the board. Parlay winner for Azarenka-Ferrer.Comment -
Del Potro is in bitch mode. Complaining about the court. LoL. This was the one blue print I thought was there for Roddick to win as I stated earlier. Start fast and get the crowd going and annoying Delpo.Comment -
Interested to see the live price after this 1st set.Comment -
Delpo @ -245 after getting the break and back on serve.Comment -
I know it's early but can't help feeling Roddick blew his chances letting Del Potro back in this 1st set.Comment -
I feel like this rain delay is gona fuk with Del Potro, especially with him coming back out on serve. thats a ton of pressure on him. if he gets down 2-0 in this tie break i dont know. nice though that he has shown the ability to break Andy.
idk if i should hedge out of my Del Po bet or whatComment -
No point in doing anything until the 1st set is over. There's no telling how the tie break goes, guessing isn't really a great way to go about it at this point. Tie breaks can change in the flick of a wrist. And with a night to sleep on it, you won't know anything until they hit the court and start playing again.Comment -
this is such a huge swing for me. assuming joker wins its a 300 swing. if del potro hits it will take my balance to 1700 if not 1400Comment -
even if roddick manages to pull out the tie break i still dont think it tells much about the match. its abrand new day wont know enough to gauge a good opinion until mid second set and by then its to late. fawk.Comment -
Anyone have any idea of what the time schedules are for tomorow? Rain has made this a messComment -
Looks doubtful for any play until the afternoon.Comment -
In addition to the doubles plays pending from yesterday ...
Day 11, September 5th
Errani-Vinci Over 21 [-115]
Murray-Cilic Over 33.5 [-115]
Going with familiarity breeding a good, intense & long match between the two Italians. I think 33.5 is a nice number to try and get an over with. Unlikely it could be done in straights, but still possible. A lot may be scared off it after Murray clocked Cilic in their last meeting @ Wimbledon, but remember that Cilic was coming off the marathon vs. Querrey and was obviously running on fumes after the 1st set. I think Murray wasn't challenged at all by the lack of variety from Raonic, but could find a little challenge today from Cilic who must get 1st serves in regularly. Murray feasted on his 2nd serve last time they played.Comment -
By the way if you are liking the over in that Murray-Cilic match, that 33.5 is courtest of the Mighty Bovada who right now have it a full game lower than anywhere else I have seen. Pays to shop!Comment -
Looks like Tipsarevic is gonna set me up proper with a hedge opp in the quarters against Ferrer. Looking forward to that one.Comment -
I cant believe tips is going to win in straights. Thought Kohl could at least take 1 set.Comment -
I knew this was gonna happen Del Potrl looks like hes in quick sand. Jesus hes moving terrible. Luckily i went big on sharapova live so as long as joker keeps cruising to a win im up money which is nice to be able to watch the match slightly stress freeComment -
I wonder why you even took Del Potro? Everything you have said for two days makes it sound like you hated the pick. LoL.Comment -
Adding this for better or worse ...
Murray-Cilic Total Sets Over 3.5 (+126)
Any plus money play I am listing at this point is half a unit with one unit on faves/parlays.Comment -
Ugh. These Russian bitches. Kirilenko-Petrova up 5-2 in the 3rd. Blown it twice trying to serve to win. Not trying to stay in it and go to a breaker. Or blow a parlay.Comment -
If Cilic serves well, I think he can take a set. Murray has been hard to read the last two rounds. Struggled against Lopez and then let Raonic beat himself without having to be too fancy.
Doubles choke complete. Damn bitches.Comment -
i took cilic
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