EP36's Grand Slam Wankoff: U.S. Open

EaglesPhan36 · 08-29-12, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by STAY STRONG

EP, I need a last leg to close out a parlay. Do you think Raonic is fairly safe? Or do you have someone else you like better? Thanks.

Depends what you are trying to accomplish with the last leg - if it is already a good payout, why mess around? Federer or Djokovic even though the prices are massive give you your best bets. If you are looking to increase the payout, Tsonga is about a 5th of their price and should beat Klizan comfortably. In Raonic's price range, I would probably prefer Almagro or cheaper with Fish although he carries a little more risk.

zoo youk · 08-30-12, 08:13 AM

sorry, saw you addressed the Tomic Roddick stuff already.

zoo youk · 08-30-12, 08:15 AM

if you could post in my Venus and Kerber thread that would be great, ole grand master of tennis, sir

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 08:15 AM

Thursday, August 30th
Parlay: Almagro + Fish + Lindstedt/Tecau (-125) *1 unit
Verdasco-Ramos Over 34.5 (-115) * 1 unit
Blake +115 *0.5 unit
Wang +330 *0.25 unit

riffraff24 · 08-30-12, 09:29 AM

Thanks EP! Good luck

in:extremis · 08-30-12, 09:52 AM

I really like this Verdasco / Ramos over 34.5. Im on it. Not touching those short priced favourites or Wang but I will have Blake in a small parlay with the overs bet.

What about the Andujar / Lopez game? Two Spanish players like Verdasco / Ramos, although total set at 38, worth a shot at overs also?

Jimmy Wang =

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 10:01 AM

I didn't like Lopez-Andujar as much because both of them can give you fits depending on which version of their selves show up on a given day. Obviously Verdasco with his ADD can spaz any time.

You can laugh @ Wang, but Simon is playing with a rotator cuff issue that hampers his serve. Sooner or later, it's going to nip him again I think. Wang obviously has to play at a very high level and keep his errors down in rallies, but stranger things have happened.

A couple seeds will lose in the 2nd round, I'm just taking a calculated shot - obviously not for big loot.

in:extremis · 08-30-12, 10:08 AM

Mate I hope it hits for you i really do. Anything can happen. For a 'pro' since 2001 not to even win 700k though =

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 10:49 AM

Open for business today kids.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/1864592-ep36s-u-s-open-total-annihilation-game-sponsored-beer.html

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 11:00 AM

Adding ....

Shvedova +140 *0.5 unit

in:extremis · 08-30-12, 11:22 AM

Looks like Lopez is going to smoke Andujar in 3, glad I laid off it. Feeling pretty good about this Verdasco Ramos over 34.5, going to parlay it with a few Europa League football matches.

face · 08-30-12, 11:35 AM

almagro struggling on hard court, gonna bust my parlay

andujar getting smoked

plankton43 · 08-30-12, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Thursday, August 30th
Parlay: Almagro + Fish + Lindstedt/Tecau (-125) *1 unit
Verdasco-Ramos Over 34.5 (-115) * 1 unit
Blake +115 *0.5 unit
Wang +330 *0.25 unit

I notice you like Fish, but I was wondering if you thought Davydenko had a good shot of upsetting Fish?

STAY STRONG · 08-30-12, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Depends what you are trying to accomplish with the last leg - if it is already a good payout, why mess around? Federer or Djokovic even though the prices are massive give you your best bets. If you are looking to increase the payout, Tsonga is about a 5th of their price and should beat Klizan comfortably. In Raonic's price range, I would probably prefer Almagro or cheaper with Fish although he carries a little more risk.

Thanks EP, rolled with Tsonga.

riffraff24 · 08-30-12, 12:37 PM

Fish down 0-3? wth

face · 08-30-12, 12:38 PM

hey fish, baby steps ok, try to win one game you fuk. thanks pal

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by plankton43

I notice you like Fish, but I was wondering if you thought Davydenko had a good shot of upsetting Fish?

certainly looks that way now lol

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 01:02 PM

just as i post that fish breaks serve. come on fisssshhhhhman!!! leggo!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 01:24 PM

Just woke from my nap. Looks like Almagro may hold Petz off finally. Tsonga ... Wow. Lazy fukk needs to crank it up for our friend. Expected Donkey to win at least a set off Fish. Fish needs to rev it up.

STAY STRONG · 08-30-12, 01:25 PM

Tsonga has some screws loose in his head

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 01:45 PM

These 2-0 set leads/chokes are incredible this year. Has to be something to do with the wacky schedule/surface switches for the Olympics and back and forth. Just amazing how many guys are blowing these two set leads. Wow.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 02:03 PM

Eeesh. Guess I gotta hope Fish is added to the list of 0-2 rallies. Fork. Don't see it though.

riffraff24 · 08-30-12, 02:03 PM

That Over is up to 36 now...Dammit I should have locked it in this morning... Probably pass now

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 02:13 PM

As long as it goes four, I think that still hits - but certainly much nicer to only need 35 to cash. Long shot that it could cash in three sets @ 34.5 with some tie breaks. Fish has to find something off Davydenko's serve to have any chance. That is the biggest surprise to me that the Donkey's serve has not failed more. Or maybe it's just that Fish is that pathetic returning today - but two break chances is real low for Davydenko to have offered based on his recent play.

STAY STRONG · 08-30-12, 02:16 PM

Tsonga the headcase chokes

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 02:21 PM

Yeah sorry about that one man. Should have suggested if you didn't also - you always need to hedge on the last leg of a parlay no matter what you take.

The Fish rally has begun! Let's go MARDY!

STAY STRONG · 08-30-12, 02:22 PM

No worries EP, nothing to be sorry about. I made the final call.

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Yeah sorry about that one man. Should have suggested if you didn't also - you always need to hedge on the last leg of a parlay no matter what you take.

The Fish rally has begun! Let's go MARDY!

i figured it would come sooner or later, whether he takes it all the way home we will see. come on mardy!!!

GO FISH MAN GO!!!!

(eating fish sandwich as i type this lol)

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 02:44 PM

GOOOOOOOOOO FISSSSHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

!!!!!!!!!!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 03:12 PM

Finish him Mardy, he is waiting for it. Going to add some sort of Murray future tomorrow morning when they are reposted. His chalk to win his quarter is still always so low, don't know why I didn't run with it again @ -175. Probably take Murray to win the whole thing for half a unit. )ed or Murray seems real likely to move out from that side with Tsonga done now.

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Finish him Mardy, he is waiting for it. Going to add some sort of Murray future tomorrow morning when they are reposted. His chalk to win his quarter is still always so low, don't know why I didn't run with it again @ -175. Probably take Murray to win the whole thing for half a unit. )ed or Murray seems real likely to move out from that side with Tsonga done now.

joker or murray, i can guarantee you that for certain. i like fed but he wont get it done in this major.

face · 08-30-12, 03:30 PM

^why do you think that? looks pretty good to me. i picked him at +255

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by face

^why do you think that? looks pretty good to me. i picked him at +255

i dont have any stats or anything to back it up. just have a strong gut feeling and ive been very spot on this season.

i say joker wins but murray will have a shot.

GoBlue77 · 08-30-12, 03:36 PM

fisssssshhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-12, 03:41 PM

Cash that parlay. Way to go Mardy!