ATP Atlanta/WTA Carlsbad in-match thread

The Bet Master · 07-21-12, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by tevari

Id say there is a good chance McHale gets broken here.

It's 50/50 on both players serve now

The Bet Master · 07-21-12, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

It's good to try to train your brain to expect this when you bet on a WTA match. Just come into it knowing it will be a rollercoaster ride ... I wouldn't be surprised if it's better for our health to not watch these matches, but it'll affect our ability to know the form of certain players.

It's hard to resist betting these late-night matches, but they won't be on the West Coast much longer. That'll definitely help me stay away from WTA.

The bad thing is I know what I'm getting into yet continue to do it. And don't worry we'll have those early morning matches in the Olympics that will be hard for us to stay away from.

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:11 AM

Bartoli will either show us that she's gassed, or that she's going to fight to the end....in which case I would give her the edge.

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

It's good to try to train your brain to expect this when you bet on a WTA match. Just come into it knowing it will be a rollercoaster ride ... I wouldn't be surprised if it's better for our health to not watch these matches, but it'll affect our ability to know the form of certain players.

It's hard to resist betting these late-night matches, but they won't be on the West Coast much longer. That'll definitely help me stay away from WTA.

Why will they not be on west coast anymore?
Please enlighten me as I have no clue

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:12 AM

McHale is pushing Bartoli back and dictating more points than earlier in the match. McHale backers should be in good shape as long as she doesn't have a mental breakdown.

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

McHale is pushing Bartoli back and dictating more points than earlier in the match. McHale backers should be in good shape as long as she doesn't have a mental breakdown.

i agree....she does look better. still a total coinflip though with momentum slightly w/ the american.

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by gaebiskon

Why will they not be on west coast anymore?
Please enlighten me as I have no clue

This is the last week the WTA will be playing on the West Coast. No more late-night women's matches until they hit Asia after the US Open.

I believe the men play a tournament in LA really soon, so there will be late-night tennis on their end.

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:17 AM

she consolidates this break and then we have a shot.

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

This is the last week the WTA will be playing on the West Coast. No more late-night women's matches until they hit Asia after the US Open.

I believe the men play a tournament in LA really soon, so there will be late-night tennis on their end.

Ah I thought USA won't be hosting Wta tourneys anymore

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:27 AM

Originally posted by gaebiskon

Ah I thought USA won't be hosting Wta tourneys anymore

My fault. I should've said "this year" at some point in the first post you quoted.

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:29 AM

Bartoli asked for a trainer ... Would kind of suck to get a push on the over on a late retirement, but the trainer hasn't shown up yet.

A retirement would also be a bummer for McHale backers. We'll see if Bartoli just wants a little treatment or is thinking of bailing now that she knows she's lost this match.

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

My fault. I should've said "this year" at some point in the first post you quoted.

Thanks for the match info as I can't watch it

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:30 AM

How has she lost the match? It's about to be 2 all. She's out there trying, I'll give her that.

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by tevari

How has she lost the match? It's about to be 2 all. She's out there trying, I'll give her that.

I guess I'm not as worried as you because I don't have money riding on McHale ...

For McHale backers' sake, I'm going to stop making negative comments about Bartoli. She's a lock!

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:34 AM

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:35 AM

Bartoli is an extremely dangerous player with momentum and/or confidence. if she feels like she has it going, she cant obliterate people.

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:39 AM

McHale is still on serve, but Bartoli will break her here ... Too dominant to be stopped.

Right, Tevari?

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:40 AM

3 straight games for Bartoli. Enough of this....bedtime. I'll check my phone in the morning fully expecting to see the final line score of 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in favor of you know who.

tevari · 07-21-12, 12:40 AM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

McHale is still on serve, but Bartoli will break her here ... Too dominant to be stopped.

Right, Tevari?

Yup, lock it up.

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 12:42 AM

Guise your opinions on petrova vs midget?

Last match played on grass petrova made her look like a grade schooler

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by gaebiskon

Guise your opinions on petrova vs midget?

Last match played on grass petrova made her look like a grade schooler

Cibulkova needs to get her first serve in often ... Petrova's serve has been solid this week, so I don't see Cibulkova generating a lot of break points.

I haven't looked at a lot of numbers or the line, so it's hard to give an opinion on a bet. I'd lean toward Petrova off the top of my head, but it's honestly not sound advice.

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 12:59 AM

Petrova kicked off at +113 and is drifting
Now at 119

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 01:01 AM

Originally posted by gaebiskon

Petrova kicked off at +113 and is drifting
Now at 119

My bad kicked off at +111 on pinny and now at +119

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 01:04 AM

TI buried again. Bartoli breaks to win the third set 6-4. WTF was she asking for a trainer for?

Sorry tevari ... If you agree with TI, go the opposite way. lol.

gaebiskon · 07-21-12, 01:04 AM

Farto won 6-4
And her fake injury antic continues

ParlayininHTown · 07-21-12, 01:10 AM

Originally posted by gaebiskon

Farto won 6-4
And her fake injury antic continues

Needed a bathroom break, too ... She pulled a couple veteran tricks out of the bag to toy with McHale's head. McHale even called for her coach after she lost 3 games in a row. First take care of head ...

In retrospect, I'm glad I played it safe and took the over. I would've took McHale ML if I had bet this on Bookmaker. They didn't have spreads and totals for the women's matches today for some reason.

BrianLaverty · 07-21-12, 02:47 AM

She did the same against King.... She's the Murray of WTA.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-21-12, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

TI buried again. Bartoli breaks to win the third set 6-4. WTF was she asking for a trainer for?

Sorry tevari ... If you agree with TI, go the opposite way. lol.

It's normally only when they roll on consensus dogs though. I would say at least 75% of the time and that is probably low that the favorite will win when TI is on a clear majority on a dog like McHale yesterday.

Just an absolute jinx like the Madden Curse.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-21-12, 08:33 PM

The Big Tie Break wins another TB.

As much as you might loathe his simple game, he is quite remarkable in tie breaks. He's right around 67% for his win rate in tie breaks in his career. That's a shade better than Federer who is I think 65-66%. Djokovic is 63%. Nadal is 63%.