Strong Play on MAYER to beat HAAS tomorrow .........here's why:

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  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #1
    Strong Play on MAYER to beat HAAS tomorrow .........here's why:
    Great value in taking Mayer over Haas tomorrow. Oddmakers are putting too much stock into Haas's 3-0 record vs Mayer. First of all, their last meeting was back in 2007. Mayer's game has exploded the last 12 months, especially the last 3 months. He's probably in THE best form of his career currently, smacking a solid 11-2 record his last 13 matches. But what's even more impressive is he would be undefeated in those last 13 matches if not for the likes of the two best players on the planet Djokovic & Federer. He's in the best form of his life right now and it's not just his awesome performance at Wimbledon. He's notched half of those wins on clay as well.

    What I've noticed in particular is that his serve game has been very solid in addition to his baseline play. Even though the big serve may not come into play much with the clay service, it will definitely help to gain a few easy points at critical moments.

    Haas has a very strong clay game and is solid from the baseline BUT I truly believe age & fitness will come into play today with the clay surface. Haas was dominant at Wimbledon but this clay surface will be a true test of his fitness and with those multiple injuries he's suffered through the years, I believe Haas will struggle if it boils down to a tight three setter.

    I believe the line will rise sharply when match time approaches and getting MAYER at almost a pick em right now is an awesome play.

    BEST OF LUCK!

    ------------------------------------------------MAYER -110 -----------------------------------------
  • AceKingHigh
    SBR MVP
    • 10-23-09
    • 3888

    #2
    Good luck MDF!
    Comment
    • sneakerhead
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-14-10
      • 7727

      #3
      good luck, how much u laying on this?
      Comment
      • tevari
        SBR MVP
        • 02-02-07
        • 4959

        #4
        Haas has the mental edge. Im on him for a 3 spot. IMO, when push comes to shove Haas will win the bigger points. Despite his 'good' form recently, Mayer's still a flake.
        Comment
        • MagicDiceFlow
          SBR MVP
          • 01-15-12
          • 4585

          #5
          Originally posted by tevari
          Haas has the mental edge. Im on him for a 3 spot. IMO, when push comes to shove Haas will win the bigger points. Despite his 'good' form recently, Mayer's still a flake.
          Haas will strut onto the court thinking he'll meet the same Mayer of 2007 but he's got another thing coming. Also, this will be the biggest match of the Hamburg Open with a heavy Friday crowd tomorrow. Even though these are two German born players, the crowd will be more supportive of Mayer as Haas became a naturalized American citizen and lives in the US now.

          Mayer has a solid record here at Hamburg as he's made it to the semis twice while this is Haas' first time here. Mayer's out for blood with extra incentive to blow Haas off the court tomorrow.

          Best of Luck guys.
          Comment
          • tevari
            SBR MVP
            • 02-02-07
            • 4959

            #6
            I think the crowd will be more in Haas's corner. They tend to do that with old cagey veterans.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              I don't see a problem with the line. Haas has been playing pretty damn well on clay of late. Mayer has too, but is a flake and a half. I don't think the line is going to move all that much. 20-30 cents tops I think.
              Comment
              • MagicDiceFlow
                SBR MVP
                • 01-15-12
                • 4585

                #8
                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                I don't see a problem with the line. Haas has been playing pretty damn well on clay of late. Mayer has too, but is a flake and a half. I don't think the line is going to move all that much. 20-30 cents tops I think.
                I can see this line rising to -130 or more in a few hrs once the market realizes there's better value in Mayer. Also, Mayer's form has been much more solid than Haas on clay if you're looking at the last few weeks. Haas just lost to #232 ranked Cervanek less than 10 days ago on clay. He looked horrible, lost in straight sets(in Germany also).
                Comment
                • Demonata
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 07-12-11
                  • 26578

                  #9
                  I like Mayer in this match a lot. Especially after his run at Wimbledon. Haas beat him years ago but does not hold much meaning in my opinion. Mayers last two loses in his last 10 matches were against Fed and Djokovic. While Haas recently lost to Cervanek on clay. Mayer line is really good.
                  Comment
                  • BrianLaverty
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-07
                    • 2183

                    #10
                    Actually with you on this... Mayer looked great vs. Haase, and if he serves like that, Haas doesn't have a chance.

                    Also... this court is playing ridiculously fast for clay... Big edge for Mayer there.
                    Comment
                    • Pinocchio
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 06-26-11
                      • 569

                      #11
                      I like the over...
                      Comment
                      • nj1035
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-19-09
                        • 902

                        #12
                        After losing 1500 on Haas against Cervenak, I will never EVER bet on that piece of dogshit again. Give me Mayer any day of the week.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                          I can see this line rising to -130 or more in a few hrs once the market realizes there's better value in Mayer. Also, Mayer's form has been much more solid than Haas on clay if you're looking at the last few weeks. Haas just lost to #232 ranked Cervanek less than 10 days ago on clay. He looked horrible, lost in straight sets(in Germany also).
                          -130 isn't exactly a heavy move from -115. I don't see a big edge either way in this one, looks like what it is - pick 'em. Good luck to you guys, no interest for me on anything in this one. Total is set too high to give an edge either.
                          Comment
                          • MagicDiceFlow
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-15-12
                            • 4585

                            #14
                            Originally posted by nj1035
                            After losing 1500 on Haas against Cervenak, I will never EVER bet on that piece of dogshit again. Give me Mayer any day of the week.

                            I enjoyed your last thread NJ1035, the operation get my money back. That was some cool shit, glad you got it back.
                            Comment
                            • MUHerd37
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 12816

                              #15
                              Originally posted by nj1035
                              After losing 1500 on Haas against Cervenak, I will never EVER bet on that piece of dogshit again. Give me Mayer any day of the week.
                              That match was shit. Was on Haas too.
                              Comment
                              • nj1035
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-19-09
                                • 902

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                I enjoyed your last thread NJ1035, the operation get my money back. That was some cool shit, glad you got it back.
                                Thanks man. Had a good time with that one.
                                Comment
                                • Chaz22
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-30-10
                                  • 1152

                                  #17
                                  Haas will most likely win here and no way Mayer is playing his best, he was quite lucky to get that far in Wimbledon. saw him and there was nothing like-able in his game.
                                  Haas in 2.
                                  Comment
                                  • freshguy222
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-13-10
                                    • 421

                                    #18
                                    hey guys, im from germany and watch the matches here on tv and know the players well.
                                    i see mayer winning this easily in 2 sets, something like 6-4 6-4. he is untouchable on serve lately and the things he does a lot better is counterattacking and the small and play and haas' is error-prone on clay, he should have lost to simon actually.

                                    as for the crowd, you gotta know haas is born around hamburg, but today they wont be able to help him, the atmosphere isnt that great there anyway.
                                    just my two cents.
                                    Comment
                                    • Demonata
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-12-11
                                      • 26578

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Chaz22
                                      Haas will most likely win here and no way Mayer is playing his best, he was quite lucky to get that far in Wimbledon. saw him and there was nothing like-able in his game.
                                      Haas in 2.
                                      Lucky to get that far in Wimbledon? How are you lucky to get far in Mens tennis at a grand slam?He was playing great.
                                      Comment
                                      • Chaz22
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-30-10
                                        • 1152

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Demonata
                                        Lucky to get that far in Wimbledon? How are you lucky to get far in Mens tennis at a grand slam?He was playing great.
                                        1st round against at that time sucky Tursunov
                                        2nd round against fellow German Petshnerr (which was described as one of the most ridiculous match in the tournament)
                                        3rd round should have played against Ber-dick or Gulbis but got lucky playing against giant moron Janowic and alomst lost that match
                                        4th round - against Gasquet who sucked badly and most likely thought he would win this on one leg.
                                        1/4 - an obvious loss to Djoker.

                                        conlc. Lucky, lucky Mayer....who played a bit better than he usually does.


                                        in-form Haas on the other hand had a superb match against similarly in-form Kolshreiber whom he lost in a 5-set thriller (if Haas had won that match i have no doubt he would find himself in 1/4 as well.
                                        Comment
                                        • Demonata
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-12-11
                                          • 26578

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Chaz22
                                          1st round against at that time sucky Tursunov
                                          2nd round against fellow German Petshnerr (which was described as one of the most ridiculous match in the tournament)
                                          3rd round should have played against Ber-dick or Gulbis but got lucky playing against giant moron Janowic and alomst lost that match
                                          4th round - against Gasquet who sucked badly and most likely thought he would win this on one leg.
                                          1/4 - an obvious loss to Djoker.

                                          conlc. Lucky, lucky Mayer....who played a bit better than he usually does.


                                          in-form Haas on the other hand had a superb match against similarly in-form Kolshreiber whom he lost in a 5-set thriller (if Haas had won that match i have no doubt he would find himself in 1/4 as well.
                                          Winning 4 matches in a row at Wimbledon is never lucky.
                                          Comment
                                          • kobee24
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 06-14-12
                                            • 148

                                            #22
                                            Tailing this one guys. We're all on Mayer, hope it'll be a quality match, and cashes in at the end. BOL to all!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Chaz22
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-30-10
                                              • 1152

                                              #23
                                              parlay >> Haas ML + Kolshreiber ML
                                              Comment
                                              • MagicDiceFlow
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-15-12
                                                • 4585

                                                #24
                                                What did I say about the line boys......it rose sharply, up to -160 at some places. We got an excellent price at -110 last night.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheChancellor
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-29-09
                                                  • 323

                                                  #25
                                                  -160? Wow, I got it at -138 a few minutes ago. I was gonna put a couple hundred on this one, but kept it safe. Hopefully it cashes.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AceKingHigh
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 3888

                                                    #26
                                                    Hopefully it is, warm-up in coming up, starting in a few
                                                    Comment
                                                    • garbin
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-16-11
                                                      • 146

                                                      #27
                                                      Good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • garbin
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 04-16-11
                                                        • 146

                                                        #28
                                                        Mayer missed 2 very easy smashes, break down.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shimeon40
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-15-12
                                                          • 2319

                                                          #29
                                                          fukkin idiot mayer..this prick i can see will lose even though he shouldn't..mentally fukked against haas i think..looks like don't underestimate being someones "bunny" syndrome
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shimeon40
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-15-12
                                                            • 2319

                                                            #30
                                                            oh my goodness..34 yr old haas picking up where he left off in 2007..whooping mayers ass
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shimeon40
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-15-12
                                                              • 2319

                                                              #31
                                                              Mayer going to bury us all...fukkin great..mentally inept prick
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shimeon40
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-15-12
                                                                • 2319

                                                                #32
                                                                1st set over in 29 minutes..this prick is like almugro is to ferrer..his bunny..nice little win for the bookies again.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lakey
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-06-12
                                                                  • 430

                                                                  #33
                                                                  lol as soon as he missed those smashes he was gone. Dammit.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GoldRush7
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-27-09
                                                                    • 2014

                                                                    #34
                                                                    has two fukin break points and can't capitalize... what a joke
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shimeon40
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-15-12
                                                                      • 2319

                                                                      #35
                                                                      painful to watch this prick mayer..the guy that lost on cervantes with mayer had the right idea..don't bet on him
                                                                      Comment
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