Watch the weather. 60% chance of rain forecast. Not certain about the different day parts, but don't be an asshole and bet blindly. Think about whether the roof is open or closed - as you saw today, big difference for Federer.
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Regardless of Murray or Tsonga ... the underdog will be better off if it is open air. Federer already with three matches under the roof, knows the conditions way better than either of them.Comment -
I agree that a closed roof would benefit Federer more than Murray or Tsonga. Seems like Federer's serve has had more pop to it bouncing off the surface when the roof is closed, but there's a lot more to it than that ...
I'm really hoping the roof is closed, because after taking yesterday off, sleeping late today and having to take tomorrow off (Serena at -600? Please ...), I want to go big on Fed ML and make up for the missed opportunities. Problem is Murray has really impressed me in his last two matches, and I'd hate to see him beat Fed and screw me out of money.Comment -
They will try everything to play it outside, I will guarantee that shit. Will wait and see what the weather is going to look like. This is a tough, tough one for me to bet on. I absolutely love watching Federer play, but I am probably one of the few who really want to see Murray get the monkey off his back and win a Slam. This seems a bit like fate to me for him to have the shot here and to not have to go through Nadal or Djokovic. True that Federer is playing solid tennis on this surface, but his movement is still questionable. I don't think Djokovic really had the chance to exploit that because of the unexpected error fest off his forehand + Federer's brilliant serving day.
I doubt Murray's game plan won't have something to do with moving Federer around the court as much as possible. I think Murray's confidence is at an all-time high through this tournament + you have to think back to how well he played in the Aussie Open final when he pushed Djokovic to the end in 5.Comment -
What an epic match this is. Djokovic or Nadal winning would be zzzzzzzzzzz again but this is great either way. Gun to my head I'm picking Fed of course but it feels maybe 60/40. I just hope Murray doesn't completely bomb in another grand slam final.Comment -
I think that is over personally. People need to remember that Australian Open Final. That was his most recent try and he really had a legit shot to win. I don't think there is much chance of him laying an egg on Sunday. He may get beat, but I think it will be high quality.Comment -
Impressive play by Federer today.
I'm really leaning heavily on Federer/Serena parlay. Thoughts on that EP?Comment -
roof action overrated for this match
will makes almost zero difference in determining who winsComment -
I hope Murray wins.Comment -
It is crazy that if Fed wins he is #1 again.Comment -
I hope Federer wins. Would love to see him on top again. Plus I made a bet with Yisman a few weeks ago that Del Potro would win another grand slam before Murray.Comment -
EP, Murray lost his two Finals in Australia both in straight sets. I think the match against Djokovic you are mentioning is the semi final this year that went to 5.Comment -
Yeah sorry, good catch Bob. In any case, I think Murray believes he can beat the top guys because of matches like that. What is awesome in this scenario is that either result will be fantastic for the spot. Federer winning another Slam or Murray his 1st. Will do more than Djokovic or Nadal winning and makes the US Open very enticing.Comment -
Anyone who has watched tennis this season knows Andy Murray can give Fed a great match. He has at least a 33.3 percent chance of winning, and he should finally win a set in a slam final.
Most of this board could regret backing Fed. I nearly wound up on food stamps when Djokovic almost dropped that Aussie Open semifinal to Murray. Murray is close to breaking through, and he can taste it ... If not now, when?
I'm seriously considering sitting this final out ... a small play at the most. I keep remembering how stressful and damaging it was to sit there and watch that Djoker/Murray Aussie Open semi, because I was 100 percent certain that Djokovic would roll. I have a strong feeling that Federer will win another Wimbledon title, but I can't deny Murray's talent. Good luck to all who pound this one. I have to look out for my wallet and my health first.Comment -
From a non-betting perspective I hope Federer wins, he's a pure class act through and through. Would be nice to see him at #1 one more time.Comment -
I hope Federer winsComment -
Over 3.5 sets is -205 right now. If you're so inclined, jump on that ship early. It's only going to rise. That's about the only thing that interests me from a betting persepctive on Sunday. Sides/Games total are difficult to predict.
I want to think if Murray is going to win one, this would be a grat payoff for him getting to win @ Wimbledon after some of the beatings he took in his other Finals appearances. It looks fairly certain that the roof is going to be closed tomorrow.Comment -
I was also liking the OVER 3.5...obviously no chance Federer is getting a beat down in straights.
So the question is...is Murray good enough to win a set here? Everything would suggest yes, which is why -205 seems like a VERY good line. Bet365 already at -250 for this so this one is very quickly becoming 'un-bettable'.
Is it still at -205 at any book?Comment -
5Dimes.Comment -
Murray going to win.Comment -
Got $1k on o3.5 sets with PaddyPower @-200. Never usually like to lay more than around -120 but could not pass up the value with this one. I just feel that Fed and Murray can run hot and cold, neither are exactly 100% healthy and that there is much more than a 50% chance that they both win a set at some point. GL.Comment -
I will bet 2 unit on Fed to win 3-1 (+300) and 1 unit on Fed to win 3-2 (+600)
When you look to H2H, you may think Murray has H2H advantage but he doesn't. These two never met on grass before so H2H is 0-0 for me.
Remember Djokovic had H2H advantage over Fed? He was 7-1 in last 8 meetings before that game, correct? But it was their first game on grass and Fed won.
No value on Fed ML definetely but Fed to win in 4 or 5 sets sounds good to me.Comment -
Like it Sawyer, ill probably play the same bets.
Brits have a psychology of losing so I wouldnt rule out a straight sets win here ... As long as Fed wins though I'm happy - there's not many sports people I despise more than Murray, no class, just a whiny arrogant spoilt little c.nt ... How anyone could cheer for him to win is beyond me.Comment -
listen to how stupid this sounds
roof open = Murray wins
roof closed = Fed wins
you realize how stupid that sounds, right?
I know you're a lemming white liberal, but think for yourself one time. geezComment -
I found some good stuff after spending too much time on this.
(Heritage)
#1) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : R. Federer (Games) 7/8/2012 6:05AM - (PST) Spread -4½ +110 for Game
#2) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : Murray Total Double Faults/Murray Total Double Faults 7/8/2012 6:05AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 2½ -120 for Game
#3) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : Match Total Aces/Match Total Aces 7/8/2012 6:05AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 21½ -140 for Game
#4) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : Federer Total Aces/Federer Total Aces 7/8/2012 6:05AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 9½ -155 for Game
#5) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : Minutes Played in the match/Minutes Played in the match 7/8/2012 6:05AM - (PST)
#1) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : R. Federer/A. Murray 7/8/2012 6:05AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 3½ -200 for Game[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
[/quote]
[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
Line at -4.5 -110Comment -
If rain starts to fall or even looks like its going to be a chance of rain I think they will close the roof. There's no point to have any delays in this match and I think the Royalty has had just about enough of the delays.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
I'm on the under. No clue why, just going with my gut. Not picking a side because I'd be happy with either of them winning and just want to enjoy the match. GL everyone with bets on this one!
Comment -
I'm on Fed to win 3-1 (into Alonso winning British GP) for 1 unit.
Also think he'll win the first set 7-6, also for 1 unit.
Hoping to see Fed win, and think he will. BOL everyone!Comment -
Everything has come together for a surprise on center court.
The pressure is off for Andy, cause another Brit, Jonathan Marray won the Doubles yesterday.
Andy's coach, Lendl lost his own first 4 majors, 1 French, 2 US, 1 Aussie, over 3 yrs and the next yr at the French was down 0-2 and came back to beat McEnroe to win his 1st major, so he knows how it is done.
@ Wimbledon Federer
2011, lost to Tsonga in 5 QF
2010 lost to Berdych in 4 QF
2008 lost to Nadal in 5 F
so Fed is beatable on the grass.
In 2007 I called another huge surprise, in the Finals @ ATP Masters Series Hamburg, Germany, Federer to beat Nadal on clay for the very first time. Fed did 2-6, 6-2, 6-0.
Today, we see the table turned on Fed.
Ok time to get my blueberries & yogurt. Looking forward to a highly contested match today.Comment -
Federer winsComment -
wish me luck!
GameDate User/Phone Date Placed Sport Description Risk/Win Ticket#:xxxxxx
Jul 08 06:10 AMInternet / -1 Jul 08 06:01 AM MU STRAIGHT BET
[4261] R FEDERER -240
(R FEDERER vrs A MURRAY)120 / 50 Ticket#:xxxxxx
Jul 08 06:10 AMInternet / -1 Jul 08 06:02 AM MU STRAIGHT BET
[35554] A MURRAY (GAMES) (R FEDERER (GAMES) vrs A MURRAY (GAMES)) u41½-11062 / 56 Ticket#:xxxxxx
Jul 08 06:05 AMInternet / -1 Jul 08 06:03 AM MU STRAIGHT BET
[35551] R FEDERER WIN 1ST SET -180
(R FEDERER WIN 1ST SET vrs A MURRAY WIN 1ST SET)200 / 111 Comment
