LF Tennis Predictions (2012)

Blax0r · 06-21-12, 07:57 PM

Your picks have been very impressive over the week; keep it up!

silvap · 06-21-12, 07:58 PM

Thread looks good loufunk! Best of luck with the picks, will be following you around here. Already had the Kohlscreiber bet,

simplelowlife · 06-21-12, 10:25 PM

Quietly tailing. Best of luck. Wimbledon should be good to us all.

Hangoverblack · 06-21-12, 10:48 PM

Be careful with Kohl bet. He has very questionable motivations right now, when you look at him historically the week before Wimbeldon.

Seppi defending and will be focused to win. This seems like a logical exit for Kohl.

jbart28 · 06-21-12, 11:28 PM

Welcome to the board. I am a baseball capper but I browsed your recent threads and realized you are a very good tennis guy. I look forward to your picks. BOL

loufunk · 06-22-12, 04:02 AM

Petzschner - Malisse

Malisse is stronger on grass.
That's obvious
Petz on the other hand is playing well, I expect a hard match, according also to my personal rating
Petzschner 115,57
Malisse 112,48

Also, it seemed strange a big drop of the odd these last minutes, because it was with no real big money on it.. (bf graphics)

My pick:

Petzschner +2.5 @ 1.92 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

GL

moshi · 06-22-12, 04:04 AM

Already on Malisse. What do the numbers on your personal rating refer to?

loufunk · 06-22-12, 04:17 AM

Originally posted by moshi

Already on Malisse. What do the numbers on your personal rating refer to?

Hi Moshi, as I said before, Malisse knows how to play on grass, and has also a great historical tradition on this tournament.
What my personal rating refers to, is a function that combines form, attitude on each surface, % of wins in the current years in relationship with the wins overall and with the wins on the specific surface.
Than the program computes a function that makes a prediction on the basis of these data, trying to determine the real possibility of a player against his opponent

Is not bible

I just try to use it, imaging that he analyzes data as I would do, but without emotions

Finger crossed for your bet, I would be happy if Malisse wins 7-6 7-6

cheven · 06-22-12, 04:49 AM

nice call so far loufunk on the Petzschner vs Malisse match. Petzschner's looking good

loufunk · 06-22-12, 06:00 AM

I read suspended.
What happened?
Rain delay?

Duby · 06-22-12, 06:37 AM

Petz 7-5 7-5. Nice call!

loufunk · 06-22-12, 07:08 AM

Picks = 10
Won = 8
Lost = 2
Void = 0
Winning % = +80.00%
Staked = 100 u
Won = 152.90 u
Profit = +52.90 u
ROI: +52.90%

(Pick on Kohl still pending)

jbart28 · 06-22-12, 07:22 AM

When is Kohl playing? I thought it was 7:15 EST US but he hasnt played yet.

loufunk · 06-22-12, 07:31 AM

he is playing right now

loufunk · 06-22-12, 08:37 AM

Originally posted by loufunk

he is playing right now

kohli retired f**k

alta · 06-22-12, 08:54 AM

Originally posted by loufunk

kohli retired f**k

what a bum, no heart to pull this stunt

, down 2-1, after losing the 1st set 5-7.
He's an insult, a quitter...
should fine his sorry ass...

Hangoverblack · 06-22-12, 09:07 AM

Bingo.

Bad news for me is the second set retirement as my book requires 2 full.

Kohl had no heart today.

loufunk · 06-22-12, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by Hangoverblack

Bingo.

Bad news for me is the second set retirement as my book requires 2 full.

Kohl had no heart today.

shit man!! you did a good call but 2 full. .. is not correct imo. what book is it?

Hangoverblack · 06-22-12, 10:06 AM

It is a Pay Per Head website utilized by my local book here in Dallas. Tennis offerings are slim pickings. Usually just moneylines; handicaps and totals on finals.

Can't beat curbside service though

Blax0r · 06-22-12, 10:40 AM

Originally posted by loufunk

Hi Moshi, as I said before, Malisse knows how to play on grass, and has also a great historical tradition on this tournament.
What my personal rating refers to, is a function that combines form, attitude on each surface, % of wins in the current years in relationship with the wins overall and with the wins on the specific surface.
Than the program computes a function that makes a prediction on the basis of these data, trying to determine the real possibility of a player against his opponent

Is not bible

I just try to use it, imaging that he analyzes data as I would do, but without emotions

Finger crossed for your bet, I would be happy if Malisse wins 7-6 7-6

Hope this isn't digging too deep, but I have another question.

Are the ranking points you publish the result or an input to your prediction function?

loufunk · 06-22-12, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by Blax0r

Hope this isn't digging too deep, but I have another question.

Are the ranking points you publish the result or an input to your prediction function?

the first one.
result.
but as I do for a horse program I realized, the result is very often to my think

loufunk · 06-22-12, 06:25 PM

Picks = 11
Won = 8
Lost = 3
Void = 0
Winning % = +72.72%
Staked = 110 u
Won = 152.90 u
Profit = +42.90 u
ROI: +39.00%

jbart28 · 06-22-12, 11:58 PM

How do you feel about a seppi, petrova ML parlay for Saturday?

Thanks and keep up the good work

loufunk · 06-23-12, 07:15 AM

Hi to all,
for today we'll focus on two finals

Petrova, as said other times, is very strong on grass, Wimbledon is coming, she has great skills and a good form.
I think she is a real favourite today

Roddick, played yesterday two times, destroying quite easily Darcis on his second match, and beating a very impressive Fognini on his first match.
Let's say that maybe Andy is back.
Not the old Roddick, but for sure, a better version of what we saw the first part of the year.
He also likes more this surface and also if my connational is playing very well on each surface, I think at the end could not stop the power of the American.

So, my picks, according to my rating

Petrova 131,78 pts
Radwanska 100,01 pts

Petrova - Radwanska
Pick: Petrova
Odd: 1.50 (BF)
Stake:10

And

Roddick 150,49 pts
Seppi 117,41 pts

Roddick - Seppi
Pick: Roddick
Odd: 2.18 (BF)
Stake: 10

GL

cheven · 06-23-12, 09:13 AM

you're doing very well with your picks, lets see how roddick does

silvap · 06-23-12, 10:41 AM

Two more winner my friend, good work and thanks for sharing them!

loufunk · 06-23-12, 10:46 AM

Picks = 13
Won = 10
Lost = 3
Void = 0
Winning % = +76.92%
Staked = 130 u
Won = 189.70 u
Profit = +59.70 u
ROI: +45.92%

ha1ogen · 06-23-12, 11:50 AM

very impressive indeed, looking forward to your wimbledon picks

beefcake · 06-23-12, 01:00 PM

Great stuff my friend! Good luck with Wimby!

loufunk · 06-23-12, 01:23 PM

thanks you all

I'm just trying to do my best

Duby · 06-23-12, 02:59 PM

I agree with the others. Very impressive!

makman · 06-23-12, 04:36 PM

BOL to you sir. Nice picks so far...

jbart28 · 06-25-12, 12:18 AM

Lou,

I hope you put together some good parlay ideas. I am looking forward to putting some 3 to 10 team parlays from your ideas. Breakfast at Wimbledon here in America...with Lou Funk and the SBR crew cashing some tickets!

DHB · 06-25-12, 04:26 AM

vey nice keep it up mate.
will be tailing.