Opti Tennis Picks

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61612

    #36
    Adding Simon to the open parlay for +898

    4/27/2012 5:00AM Fabio Fognini +145 vs Andreas Seppi
    4/27/2012 5:00AM Xavier Malisse -235 vs Attila Balazs
    4/26/2012 2:00PM Angelique Kerber +140 vs Caroline Wozniacki
    4/27/2012 7:00 AM ATP Tennis 101 Gilles Simon* -525 vs Lukasz Kubot
    OPEN
    OPEN
    OPEN
    OPEN
    OPEN
    OPEN
    .
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 61612

      #37
      Adding Soeda to open parlay

      4/27/2012 5:00AM Fabio Fognini +145 vs Andreas Seppi
      4/27/2012 5:00AM Xavier Malisse -235 vs Attila Balazs
      4/26/2012 2:00PM Angelique Kerber +140 vs Caroline Wozniacki
      4/27/2012 7:00AM Gilles Simon -525 vs Lukasz Kubot
      4/27/2012 2:00 AM Challenger Tennis 502 Go Soeda* -270 vs James Ward
      OPEN
      OPEN
      OPEN
      OPEN
      OPEN

      Risking .25u To Win 3.17u
      .
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61612

        #38
        Damn Malisse taking down the open parlay. Just threw him in on a whim too. Should have just stuck with the two sweet doggies to kick it off

        Originally posted by Optional
        Milos Raonic* +313 vs Andy Murray .5u WIN +1.57u
        Originally posted by Optional
        Fabio Fognini* +145[/B] vs Andreas Seppi .75u WIN +1.09u
        8-11 +0.14 Units

        Open 10 leg parlays: 0-2 -0.50 Units
        .
        Comment
        • MatI
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5200

          #39
          Opti, nice work the last few days.
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61612

            #40
            Thanks Matt. A bit of a relief to bring it back near square too!


            I'm just about done this week.

            Barca

            Half tempted to have another go at Raonic +200 v Ferrer, but remembering he isn't against a head case tomorrow, will leave it.

            Can't see Nadal going down in the other semi but if they offer Verdasco +6 or better I might have a lash at that.

            Tossing up Ferrer for the tourney +800 as my last bet in Barca.


            Bucharest

            Simon and Fognini to win the semis, but not sure I want to lay -275 on Foggy after he has already paid me at +odds 3 times in the last 2 weeks.

            I might start a new open parlay with those two.


            Taipei

            Still interrupted there. I have a couple of parlays ending with Lu who is 1-3 down in the 3rd set. (one I didn't post here) and am sweating a 5 unit swing on him coming back.

            Basic should take other interupted quarter.

            Whoever wins these two will lose in the semis to Ito and Soeda though I imagine. And those semi final bets will be my last here.


            Napoli

            Will wait and see what price is on Mannerino over Kuznetsov. Winner of that semi should take tourney imho.


            Sao Paulo

            Too hard.


            Savannah

            Will take qualifyer Strode over Baker. He has taken out a couple of quality players on the way through and should open up at nice odds. Probbaly need to jump on it as soon as they open.


            Women

            Too hard in Germany. 1 v 4 and 2 v 3 semis.

            But I like another qualifier, Bertens +105, to work over Pous-Tio in the Morroco final. Pretty much for the same reason I like Strode as the qualifier. Bertens has taken out Halep and Scheepers along the way, only dropping 1 set on the way to the final, whilst PT has had a dream run through never seeing a seed, and would be a big dog to beat either Scheepers or Halep on most days.
            .
            Comment
            • Optional
              Administrator
              • 06-10-10
              • 61612

              #41
              Geez, I hope someone backed all those leans, as just about everything came in as predicted.

              At least I got a bet down last night on Bertens (who already won). But just missed getting on for Strode.
              .
              Comment
              • Optional
                Administrator
                • 06-10-10
                • 61612

                #42
                Starting new open parlay, just for .1 of a unit, and 5 legs this time.

                4/29/2012 8:00 AM ATP Tennis 102 Fabio Fognini* +360 vs Gilles Simon
                4/28/2012 5:15 PM Challenger Tennis 602 Julio Silva* +165 vs Blaz Kavcic
                OPEN
                OPEN
                OPEN

                Risking .1u To Win 1.12u
                .
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Administrator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 61612

                  #43
                  I've put a little on this future

                  Tennis ATP +14500 French Open - Milos Raonic*
                  .
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 61612

                    #44
                    8-11 +0.14 Units
                    Open Parlays: 0-3 -0.60 Units


                    O.Rochus Games Won* +3½ -102 vs B.Tomic Games Won 1u
                    .
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61612

                      #45
                      4/30/2012 8:55 AM ATP Tennis 302 Robin Haase* -255 vs Simone Bolelli
                      4/30/2012 9:15 AM Challenger Tennis 704 Gerard Granollers-Pujols* -200 vs Franco Skugor

                      Parlay for +109 1u
                      .
                      Comment
                      • Dmoneytx
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-09-12
                        • 6450

                        #46
                        I would be careful of the Haase match. Haase is one of the players on my black list. A kid with so much potential & talent, but under achieves like no one else on the ATP. Its shocking at times. Bolleli has won a ton of matches this year on the Challanger level & will certainly have confindence in this match. Especially if Haase does not have his serve clicking. This could almost be a coin toss match up in my eyes, I saw the odds on Haase & there was no way I wanted to touch this match. But GL if you took him. I hope he cashes for you.

                        Also, I like your thread. I didn't really see it till right now. I started a new one myself & I am tracking all my plays and my payouts. Would love for you to swing by sometime and leave your insight, opinions or comments on any of the plays/discussions. Sounds like you know your stuff. I wish you the best of luck in all of your wagers
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61612

                          #47
                          Funny you should say that about Haase being on your blacklist. I've felt that way about him in the past too. Although this year, and particularly recently, he has been playing up to his ability quite reliably imho.

                          You might be right about the price being less than great value in hindsight, but too late now.

                          I've been reading your thread. Even posted a couple of times in it I think. Very good one.
                          .
                          Comment
                          • Demonata
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-12-11
                            • 25829

                            #48
                            I dislike Haase a lot.
                            Comment
                            • Dmoneytx
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-09-12
                              • 6450

                              #49
                              Thanks for the props Optional I try my best.
                              And I always appreciate another opinion on any of my plays or discussions. Any comments or advice would be much appreciated. GL on all your plays today.
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 61612

                                #50
                                Thanks DM, I'll try. I decided not to try and do write ups as I knew it would stop me posting all my bets. I tend to follow a group of players and look for spots to bet their matches as my main strategy.


                                Originally posted by Optional
                                O.Rochus Games Won* +3½ -102 vs B.Tomic Games Won 1u LOSS -1
                                Originally posted by Optional
                                4/30/2012 8:55 AM ATP Tennis 302 Robin Haase* -255 vs Simone Bolelli
                                4/30/2012 9:15 AM Challenger Tennis 704 Gerard Granollers-Pujols* -200 vs Franco Skugor

                                Parlay for +109 1u WIN +1.09
                                9-12 +0.23 Units
                                Open Parlays: 0-3 -0.60 Units
                                .
                                Comment
                                • Optional
                                  Administrator
                                  • 06-10-10
                                  • 61612

                                  #51
                                  Tobias Kamke* +285 vs Marcos Baghdatis .5u

                                  Simply because Baggy is horrible on Clay...
                                  .
                                  Comment
                                  • Optional
                                    Administrator
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 61612

                                    #52
                                    Starting new open parlay

                                    5/1/2012 6:15 AM ATP Tennis 113 Alejandro Falla* -130 vs Matthias Bachinger
                                    5/1/2012 10:00 AM ATP Tennis 218 Fabio Fognini* -155 vs Benoit Paire
                                    5/1/2012 6:00 AM ATP Tennis 230 Lukas Lacko* -195 vs Gilles Muller
                                    OPEN
                                    OPEN

                                    Risking .25 To Win .85
                                    .
                                    Comment
                                    • Optional
                                      Administrator
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 61612

                                      #53
                                      Bugger it, I'll fill out that parlay now

                                      5/1/2012 6:15AM Alejandro Falla -130 vs Matthias Bachinger
                                      5/1/2012 10:00AM Fabio Fognini -155 vs Benoit Paire
                                      5/1/2012 6:00AM Lukas Lacko -195 vs Gilles Muller
                                      5/1/2012 7:45 AM ATP Tennis 126 Mikhail Kukushkin* -330 vs Marinko Matosevic
                                      5/1/2012 5:30 AM Challenger Tennis 605 Roberto Bautista-Agut* -410 vs Riccardo Ghedin

                                      Risking .25u To Win 1.53u
                                      .
                                      Comment
                                      • Optional
                                        Administrator
                                        • 06-10-10
                                        • 61612

                                        #54
                                        Tunis

                                        Jurgen Zopp -140* vs Adrian Menendez-Maceiras
                                        Gregoire Burquier -130* vs Matteo Viola

                                        Parlayed for +203 1u
                                        .
                                        Comment
                                        • Optional
                                          Administrator
                                          • 06-10-10
                                          • 61612

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Optional
                                          Tobias Kamke* +285 vs Marcos Baghdatis .5u LOSS -.5
                                          Originally posted by Optional
                                          Jurgen Zopp -140* vs Adrian Menendez-Maceiras
                                          Gregoire Burquier -130* vs Matteo Viola

                                          Parlayed for +203 1u LOSS -1
                                          And that was a stupid 5 leg parlay. (4 legs lost btw) and even though it's just .25u, it pisses me off posting stupid bets.

                                          9-14 -1.27 Units
                                          Open Parlays: 0-4 -0.85 Units


                                          I have too many leans. Going to take a breath and leave it closer to match time to bet today.
                                          .
                                          Comment
                                          • DDT
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-22-09
                                            • 3757

                                            #56
                                            We have faith in our Aussie Friend!
                                            Comment
                                            • Optional
                                              Administrator
                                              • 06-10-10
                                              • 61612

                                              #57
                                              Still not feeling it for much today. Just going to start a new open parlay with Tomic, because everyone else seems to feel he is a good bet. Not the best price unfortunately.

                                              5/3/2012 6:45 AM ATP Tennis 109 Bernard Tomic* -145 vs Potito Starace
                                              5/3/2012 7:00 AM Challenger Tennis 607 Jurgen Zopp* -215 vs Gianluca Naso
                                              OPEN
                                              OPEN
                                              OPEN

                                              Risking .25 To Win .37
                                              .
                                              Comment
                                              • Optional
                                                Administrator
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 61612

                                                #58
                                                Glad I listened to the forum instead of myself on Tomic



                                                S.Stakhovsky Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Under 21½ +100 1u

                                                Think Lopez will take this in regulation, and with the line at -4, under 21.5 ev seemed like strangely good value as well.
                                                .
                                                Comment
                                                • Optional
                                                  Administrator
                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                  • 61612

                                                  #59
                                                  Adding Lopez to parlay

                                                  5/3/2012 6:45AM Bernard Tomic -145 vs Potito Starace
                                                  5/3/2012 7:00AM Jurgen Zopp -215 vs Gianluca Naso

                                                  5/3/2012 9:45 AM ATP Tennis 114 Feliciano Lopez* -310 vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
                                                  OPEN
                                                  OPEN

                                                  Risking .25u To Win .57u
                                                  .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Optional
                                                    Administrator
                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                    • 61612

                                                    #60
                                                    Adding Cilic -1.5

                                                    A couple of big name scalps, who didn't turn up to play themselves, isn't enough to convince me Tommy has too much chance here. Local pressure will be on now too.

                                                    5/3/2012 6:45AM Bernard Tomic -145 vs Potito Starace
                                                    5/3/2012 7:00AM Jurgen Zopp -215 vs Gianluca Naso
                                                    5/3/2012 9:45AM Feliciano Lopez -310 vs Sergiy Stakhovsky

                                                    5/5/2012 5:50 AM ATP Tennis 104 M.Cilic Games Won* -1½ -110 vs T.Haas Games Won
                                                    OPEN

                                                    Risking .25 To Win 1.31u
                                                    .
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Optional
                                                      Administrator
                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                      • 61612

                                                      #61
                                                      Nalby to close out the parlay

                                                      5/3/2012 6:45AM Bernard Tomic -145 vs Potito Starace
                                                      5/3/2012 7:00AM Jurgen Zopp -215 vs Gianluca Naso
                                                      5/3/2012 9:45AM Feliciano Lopez -310 vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
                                                      5/5/2012 5:50AM M.Cilic Games Won -1½ -110 vs T.Haas Games Won

                                                      5/5/2012 2:00 PM ATP Tennis 221 David Nalbandian* -285 vs Andreas Seppi

                                                      Risking .25 To Win 1.86u
                                                      .
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 61612

                                                        #62
                                                        Well that was a stab to the heart. Damn Nalbandian, every time I start to think he is playing reliably he does this. I guess because the **** is never going to be reliable!

                                                        Originally posted by Optional
                                                        S.Stakhovsky Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Under 21½ +100 1u LOSS -1
                                                        9-15 -2.27 Units
                                                        Open Parlays: 0-5 -1.10 Units


                                                        Back into it next week.
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Optional
                                                          Administrator
                                                          • 06-10-10
                                                          • 61612

                                                          #63
                                                          Going the dogs in this weeks Challenger finals.

                                                          5/6/2012 9:30 AM Challenger Tennis 701 Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo* +130 vs Jeremy Chardy
                                                          5/6/2012 8:00 AM Challenger Tennis 802 Jonathan Dasnieres de Veigy* +170 vs Jan Hajek

                                                          Parlayed for +521 .5u
                                                          .
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Optional
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 61612

                                                            #64
                                                            Cilic -3 in Munich final

                                                            M.Cilic Games Won* -3 -110 vs P.Kohlschreiber Games Won 1u
                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 61612

                                                              #65
                                                              Oh well, 1-1, but the right one wins at least.

                                                              Originally posted by Optional
                                                              Going the dogs in this weeks Challenger finals.

                                                              5/6/2012 9:30 AM Challenger Tennis 701 Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo* +130 vs Jeremy Chardy
                                                              5/6/2012 8:00 AM Challenger Tennis 802 Jonathan Dasnieres de Veigy* +170 vs Jan Hajek

                                                              Parlayed for +521 .5u WIN +2.61
                                                              Originally posted by Optional
                                                              M.Cilic Games Won* -3 -110 vs P.Kohlschreiber Games Won 1u LOSS -1.1
                                                              10-16 -0.76 Units
                                                              Open Parlays: 0-5 -1.10 Units
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Imsmarterthanu
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-02-12
                                                                • 1878

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Optional
                                                                Going the dogs in this weeks Challenger finals.

                                                                5/6/2012 9:30 AM Challenger Tennis 701 Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo* +130 vs Jeremy Chardy
                                                                5/6/2012 8:00 AM Challenger Tennis 802 Jonathan Dasnieres de Veigy* +170 vs Jan Hajek

                                                                Parlayed for +521 .5u
                                                                very nice
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61612

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Thanks Smarter. Was a nice one to end the week with.

                                                                  I should just stick to dogs, hardly missed one in this thread. It's been the hot faves that have killed me every time.
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Optional
                                                                    Administrator
                                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                                    • 61612

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Ekaterina Makarova* +105 vs Galina Voskoboeva 1u

                                                                    If I think of it, I always bet Makarova as a first round dog, against anyone. This is the first time it's come up this year, but she did it 5 or 6 times last year and almost as many the year before. Anyway, it's just a personal system play of mine that I've hit way over 50% of the time. But isn't based on careful capping.


                                                                    5/7/2012 7:00 AM ATP Tennis 109 Viktor Troicki* -400 vs Donald Young
                                                                    5/7/2012 9:15 AM ATP Tennis 113 Nicolas Almagro* -400 vs Santiago Giraldo
                                                                    5/7/2012 7:00 AM ATP Tennis 117 Mikhail Youzhny* -325 vs Javier Marti

                                                                    Parlayed for +104 1u
                                                                    .
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Optional
                                                                      Administrator
                                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                                      • 61612

                                                                      #69
                                                                      In the Athens Challenger I like these guys to advance to 2nd round;

                                                                      Zopp, Kunitsyn, Zverev, GGP, Matosevic, Bemelmans, Burquier and Beck...

                                                                      Anyone have any input that might suggest any of those should lose?
                                                                      .
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MatI
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                                        • 5200

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Hi mate, what about Bedene in Prague?
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...