Opti Tennis Picks

[Optional]

Fabio Fognini* +100 vs Michael Llodra 1.5 units

Clay experience should see him through against Llodra who doesn't like it, and is stepping onto the dirt for the first time in 2012.

[Optional]

Albert Ramos* +120 vs Kei Nishikori 1 unit

Similar logic as the Fognini bet.

[Optional]

Sarasota Challenger

Horacio Zeballos +125* vs Sam Querrey 1 unit
Parlay G. Soeda/B. Phau +161 .5 units

[MatI]

Albert Ramos* +120 vs Kei Nishikori 1 unit

Similar logic as the Fognini bet.

I'm tailing brother. Don't let me down here.

[EaglesPhan36]

Like that Zeballos pick, one I was eyeballing for later.

[Optional]

I'm tailing brother. Don't let me down here.

At your own peril MatI, you know what posting picks can do to a record. :P

Hopefully the rain interruption will help us, after Nishi rolled in the first set.

[MatI]

All good buddy, just messin with ya, I know exactly what posting plays can do for ones success. It sometimes seems a guaranteed way to lose a play is to post it on SBR.

Tennis is never ever kind to me, but I never seem to learn. Still, im i'll be checking in and following. GL mate.

[Optional]

Oh boy, talk about bringing on the curse immediately. 1-3 for the day... and that is the first time in 2012 I have lost 3 tennis bets on the trot. (have to lol though)

Fabio Fognini* +100 vs Michael Llodra 1.5 units WIN +1.5

Albert Ramos* +120 vs Kei Nishikori 1 unit LOSS -1

Horacio Zeballos +125* vs Sam Querrey 1 unit LOSS -1
Parlay G. Soeda/B. Phau +161 .5 units LOSS -.5

1-3 -1u

Overall record for 2012 is 27-21 +9.97u

[Optional]

Fabio Fognini -150* vs Robin Haase /Tomas Berdych -235* vs Marin Cilic

Parlay for +138 1 unit

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Santos Challenger

Agustin Velotti -115* vs Diego Junqueira

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1-5 -3.15 units (so glad I started a thread)

Oh well, never give up. The more you bet the more you win!


Roberto Bautista-Agut -105* vs Jesse Huta Galung 1u
Gilles Simon +155* vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga .5u
Bautista-Agut -105* v Huta Galung/Junqueira -130* vs Alund parlay for +145 .5u

[Optional]

2-6 -2.88 Units

Roberto Bautista-Agut -105* vs Jesse Huta Galung 1u CANCELLED
Gilles Simon +155* vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga .5u WIN
Bautista-Agut -105* v Huta Galung/Junqueira -130* vs Alund parlay for +145 .5u LOSS

Alund had 2 match points in the third set at 5-1 with Junquiera serving at 15-40. Junqueira then wins the next 5 games and takes it to a tie break. Only to lose that 7-5. Heartbreaker!

[Optional]

Roberto Bautista-Agut* +120 vs Rui Machado in Rome final

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4/22/12 10:30am Challenger Tennis 302 Ivo Minar* -260 vs Ricardo Hocevar
4/22/2012 7:45 AM Qualifying Tennis 611 David Goffin* -230 vs Arnau Brugues-Davi
4/22/2012 8:00 AM Props Tennis 118 Not R.Nadal In 2 Sets* -215 vs R.Nadal Wins 2-0

Parlayed for +191 .5u

[Optional]

3-7 -2.18 Units

Roberto Bautista-Agut* +120 vs Rui Machado in Rome final WIN +1.2u

4/22/12 10:30am Challenger Tennis 302 Ivo Minar* -260 vs Ricardo Hocevar
4/22/2012 7:45 AM Qualifying Tennis 611 David Goffin* -230 vs Arnau Brugues-Davi
4/22/2012 8:00 AM Props Tennis 118 Not R.Nadal In 2 Sets* -215 vs R.Nadal Wins 2-0

Parlayed for +191 .5u LOSS -.5u

I like these two in Kaohsiung challenger tomorrow but not sure I want to eat the juice, or parlay them for -123.

4/23/12 1:00am Challenger Tennis 501 Jimmy Wang -280* vs Denys Molchanov
4/23/12 1:00am Challenger Tennis 503 Tatsuma Ito -300* vs John Millman

Might think about it and hope the odds improve.

[MatI]

GL with whatever you choose tonight mate.

Did you watch the GP? Awesome stuff, except for the SV win, but both Lotus' keep a podium!

[DDT]

Opti knows his tennis

[Optional]

GL with whatever you choose tonight mate.

Did you watch the GP? Awesome stuff, except for the SV win, but both Lotus' keep a podium!

I went for a nap in afternoon to make sure I could make it through for NASCAR and missed the first half of the race. The bit I saw was kind of boring, or maybe I was still half asleep. My Massa top 10 bet hit to leave me with a tiny win overall.

Great call on Lotus pre race, you were right and that team tweet was way off the mark.

Opti knows his tennis

Thanks mate, but I think you missed the thread total

[MatI]

Great call on Lotus pre race, you were right and that team tweet was way off the mark.

I think those tweets were to try and throw people off, or maybe keep expectations in check. But was pretty much what I was expecting. Kimi could have won that, and they prob will win one very very soon.

[Optional]

Either that or it's a team member/PR person who doesn't know shit from clay.


Should have pulled the trigger on that Ito/Wang parlay. They both rolled in straight sets. Actually feeling pretty good about this Kaohsiung tourney, think I have a pretty good read on the main chances on this surface.

Like Sugita and Soeda as other first round chalk bets for a parlay. Although don't know prices or Sugita's opponent as yet. I'm guessing they will both be pushing the -300 mark though. De Voest should also move to the 2nd round, but will be awfully short priced.

Like Udomchoke as a big dog (hopefully) to knock out #1 seed Lu in their 1st round match.

Ito again in 2nd round v the winner of wildcard Yi and a qualifier. And Wang will come up against #2 seed Soeda in the 2nd round and might also be a good dog bet there.

[Optional]

Sao Paulo Challenger

Ricardo Mello -260* vs Gastao Elias
James Duckworth -300* vs Joao Pedro Sorgi

Parlay for -118 1u

[Optional]

Kaohsiung Challenger

4/24/2012 0:00 AM Challenger Tennis 604 Go Soeda* -335 vs Konstantin Kravchuk
4/24/2012 1:15 AM Challenger Tennis 614 Yuichi Sugita* -300 vs Daniel King-Turner
4/24/2012 2:45 AM Challenger Tennis 618 Rik De Voest* -900 vs Hsin-Han Lee

Parlayed for -108 1u

[Optional]

Danai Udomchoke* +157 vs Yen-Hsun Lu .75u

[nosaij]

Hi Opt

Been reading your posts lately. Good picks!!

this question isnt really related to your picks but i am just wondering. for challengers tourneys, do players fix matches?

just a thought haha

thank you!
tailing you on the parlay

[Optional]

Sorry to hear you taile that one Nosaij :\

Yeah, I'm sure there are fixes sometimes, but way less often than a player just tanking match because he feels like going home and shit like that, so I don't worry about it.

Sao Paulo Challenger

Ricardo Mello -260* vs Gastao Elias
James Duckworth -300* vs Joao Pedro Sorgi

Parlay for -118 1u LOSS -1

Kaohsiung Challenger

4/24/2012 0:00 AM Challenger Tennis 604 Go Soeda* -335 vs Konstantin Kravchuk
4/24/2012 1:15 AM Challenger Tennis 614 Yuichi Sugita* -300 vs Daniel King-Turner
4/24/2012 2:45 AM Challenger Tennis 618 Rik De Voest* -900 vs Hsin-Han Lee

Parlayed for -108 1u LOSS -1

Danai Udomchoke* +157 vs Yen-Hsun Lu .75u LOSS -.75

3-10 -4.93 Units

70% losers since thread started. Hope someone has been fading.


Jimmy Wang +175* vs Go Soeda

[Optional]

Started an open parlay for .25u (as I am bored with weather delays in Taipei)

4/25/2012 11:45AM Janko Tipsarevic -400 vs Victor Hanescu
4/25/2012 2:00AM Tatsuma Ito -460 vs Victor Baluda
4/25/2012 12:45 PM Challenger Tennis 906 Vasek Pospisil* -300 vs Michael Lammer
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN

+103 so far

[Optional]

Bucharest

Fabio Fognini +100* vs Marcos Baghdatis 1u

[Optional]

Adding Lu and Sijsling to parlay

4/25/2012 11:45AM Janko Tipsarevic -400 vs Victor Hanescu
4/25/2012 2:00AM Tatsuma Ito -460 vs Victor Baluda
4/25/2012 12:45PM Vasek Pospisil -300 vs Michael Lammer
4/26/2012 3:15 AM Challenger Tennis 609 Yen-Hsun Lu* -400 vs Amir Weintraub
4/26/2012 7:15 AM Challenger Tennis 704 Igor Sijsling* -180 vs Jonathan Dasnieres de Veigy
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN

now +295

[Optional]

Barca

Kei Nishikori* -120 vs Albert Ramos 1.5u

[Optional]

Kei Nishikori -140* vs Albert Ramos
Feliciano Lopez -155* vs Jarkko Nieminen

parlayed for +182 .5u

[Optional]

Wang retires at 5-5 in the 2nd set. Sijsling also retires in the 3rd set to end the open parlay.

Jimmy Wang +175* vs Go Soeda LOSS -1

Fabio Fognini +100* vs Marcos Baghdatis 1u WIN +1

Kei Nishikori* -120 vs Albert Ramos 1.5u WIN +1.5

Kei Nishikori -140* vs Albert Ramos
Feliciano Lopez -155* vs Jarkko Nieminen
parlayed for +182 .5u WIN +.91

6-11 -2.52 Units

Open 10 leg parlays: 0-1 -.25

[Optional]

Starting a new open parlay, with a couple of dogs.

4/27/2012 5:00 AM ATP Tennis 114 Fabio Fognini* +145 vs Andreas Seppi
4/27/2012 5:00 AM ATP Tennis 120 Xavier Malisse* -235 vs Attila Balazs
4/26/2012 2:00 PM WTA Tennis 414 Angelique Kerber* +140 vs Caroline Wozniacki
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN

Risking .25u To Win 1.85u so far.

[Optional]

Milos Raonic* +313 vs Andy Murray .5u

[Optional]

4/27/2012 3:30 AM Challenger Tennis 503 Yen-Hsun Lu* -170 vs Marco Chiudinelli
4/27/2012 6:00 AM Challenger Tennis 601 Adrian Mannarino* -150 vs Maxime Authom

parlayed for +165 1u


Would also like to back Brizzi +180 over Kavcic in Sao Paulo but 5D already has the match off the board for some reason

[Optional]

Nice, Kerber rolls over Wozi, had better take the other dog straight I guess.

Fabio Fognini* +145 vs Andreas Seppi .75u