Tokyo Open: 9.15.08

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    Tokyo Open: 9.15.08
    Believe these start late tonight, like around 11pm ET or a bit later.

    Cibulkova -135 over Mauresmo
    Mauresmo enjoyed a little run here during the late summer on hard courts, but is still on the decline. Cibulkova looked prime for a break out after winning in Montreal in July, but has floundered a bit. She may have need a short break after losing in the 3rd round of the US Open. She's beaten Mauresmo on clay & this surface should be even better for the younger Slovak.

    Kanepi +160 vs. Chakvetadze
    I won't put a ton of stock into the two previous wins on hard court by Kanepi over Anna C - as it was back in 2004. However, Chakvetadze remains an enigma. All the talent, but she keeps losing to people she shouldn't lose too as evidenced by her 1st round US Open exit. That comes on the heels of what looking to be a break thru on hard court for Anna, making the final in New Haven. Kanepi meanwhile can take to heart a win over Anna in a major (French Open) & having 3 matches under her belt on this surface after winning 3 straight in qualifying. She's had some nice results on hard courts. In Sydney to start the year, she made the finals losing to Henin. Went deep in Miami & picked up a couple in wins in Beijing. Anna could show up and strangle her in this match, but at the price - I'd rather take the better odds & expect more inconsistency from Anna in a likely 3 setter or 2 setter with at least one tie break.
  • Crayzee
    SBR MVP
    • 10-27-06
    • 4944

    #2
    whatya think about betting these big dog asian players
    over these so so western/european players in these china and japan tourneys?
    i threw $25 on nakamura to win 275

    want to bet on these:

    han +295
    rus+225
    xU+365
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      I don't know enough about them to make a qualified guess even man. You might hit one out of three, but betting one unit on each - you're gonna end up barely ahead or possibly behind. Think you just take a shot with one & see what happens if that's the road you want to go down.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        Cibulkova wins in 3 in an 10-8 tie break & after getting bageled in the 1st. Kanepi wins in 3 as well.
        Comment
        • Crayzee
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-06
          • 4944

          #5
          rus and xu hit man!!
          bet 50 each and netted 220 altogether!

          i was tempted to go 100 each but i chickened out

          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Sweet. Nice job. Alot of these smaller tourneys you can find some nice prices that will hit.
            Comment
            • Crayzee
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-06
              • 4944

              #7
              you know i know squat about tennis
              it just seemed that you had nowhere near top players laying big numbers against players you never heard of but playing at the players you never heard of's countries had to be worth taking a shot eh?
              i shoulda posted in the nfl forum so more people mightve seen and took a shot
              Comment
              • Crayzee
                SBR MVP
                • 10-27-06
                • 4944

                #8
                dammit i didnt even look at your picks
                nice hits as well for you
                i was too caught up in the whole bet on the asians thing
                i know on the other tennis sites i
                check out they liked your picks also

                hope tonight brings us some more winners bud

                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  Yeah the locals playing at their home tournies are sometimes decent bets against low tier players. Although last week in the tourney in India, I looked at that angle & they got slaughtered I think. Hit & Miss. But if you manage how many play, you come out on top with the hits I would think.
                  Comment
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