Good long term investment?

[Miaggi]

Hello to everyone,

I found on bwin site @1,57 for Del Potro not to win any of Grand Slams in 2012.

IMO, this longterm pick have value, Del Pony is not at his best before injury, and I can´t imagine him to beat the top class players on any major event.

What do you think?

[hutennis]

There is a huge gap between "1.57" and "can't imagine" in terms of odds value.
"Can't imagine" has to be <1.01. By definition.

What do you know that rest of the world does not?

Or, if you prefer, how ignorant rest of the world should be to put 1.57 odds on something that "can't be imagined"?

Answer the question and you'll have the answer to your question.

I suspect it would be something like this:

1.57 represent the fair chance for Del Potro to win minus commission and thus, mathematically can not be
a winning proposition.

You still may win this time, but good long term investment it is not. Just can't be.
Unless world is ignorant, of course.

[babar1000]

Del Potro will not win a Grand Slam in 2012.
But i do not want to wait one year for a bet.

Hello to everyone, I found on bwin site @1,57 for Del Potro not to win any of Grand Slams in 2012. IMO, this longterm pick have value, Del Pony is not at his best before injury, and I can´t imagine him to beat the top class players on any major event. What do you think?

[Miaggi]

Sorry, but I didn´t catch sense of, what you saying to me. I understand, you would not put money on this one.
Thanks for your reply.

There is a huge gap between "1.57" and "can't imagine" in terms of odds value.
"Can't imagine" has to be <1.01. By definition.

What do you know that rest of the world does not?

Or, if you prefer, how ignorant rest of the world should be to put 1.57 odds on something that "can't be imagined"?

Answer the question and you'll have the answer to your question.

I suspect it would be something like this:

1.57 represent the fair chance for Del Potro to win minus commission and thus, mathematically can not be
a winning proposition.

You still may win this time, but good long term investment it is not. Just can't be.
Unless world is ignorant, of course.

[hutennis]

Sorry, but I didn´t catch sense of, what you saying to me.

That's too bad.

What I'm saying to you is probably most important thing you should at least try to understand if you want to wager on sports.

Is there anything in particular you can not make sense of?