Bean and Stc9357's Tennis Thread

[mhm83]

Tennis plays for early morning:

Parlay: Almagro -470 x Gasquet -565 (6x)= Payout 2.56 Units
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Giraldo -270 (2x)= Payout 1.23 Units
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Robredo -290 (2x)= Payout 1.17 Units

If any of these lose I'm jumping off a building tomorrow.

Overall Record: (30-20-1)= +1.663 Units Win Percentage: 60 %

lets do it, time to wake up happy.

[stc9357]

Tennis plays for early morning:

Parlay: Almagro -470 x Gasquet -565 (6x)= Payout 2.56 Units Cash It
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Giraldo -270 (2x)= Payout 1.23 Units
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Robredo -290 (2x)= Payout 1.17 Units Cash It

If any of these lose I'm jumping off a building tomorrow.

Overall Record: (32-21-1)= +3.393 Units Win Percentage: 60.4%

[mhm83]

nice calls stc. positive is positive

Tennis plays for early morning:

Parlay: Almagro -470 x Gasquet -565 (6x)= Payout 2.56 Units Cash It
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Giraldo -270 (2x)= Payout 1.23 Units
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Robredo -290 (2x)= Payout 1.17 Units Cash It

If any of these lose I'm jumping off a building tomorrow.

Overall Record: (32-21-1)= +3.393 Units Win Percentage: 60.4%

[stc9357]

nice calls stc. positive is positive

Thanks mhm

[Brian891]

stc u and your boys are money making machines! threw u some points for your decency in posting picks.

[stc9357]

stc u and your boys are money making machines! threw u some points for your decency in posting picks.

Thanks I appreciate it!

[mhm83]

Large ATP card tomorrow, lets get that chit!

[stc9357]

Parlay: Berdych (-470) x Garcia-Lopez (-380) (6x)= Payout 3.19 Units
Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units
Ljubicic (+155) A better clay courter than Tsonga if he shows he'll beat Tsonga (.5x)= Payout .78 Units

Overall Record: (32-21-1)= +3.393 Units Win Percentage: 60.4%

[Pew Pew]

Hey stc who's more likely to lose if you had to choose one? Berdych or Garcia-Lopez?

[stc9357]

Hey stc who's more likely to lose if you had to choose one? Berdych or Garcia-Lopez?

I would say Lopez but to me neither one I would go small on malisse.

[Brian891]

now u scared me stc. i was gonna tail on lopez. i asked opinion from EP and he said maybe in a parlay. was curious. lopez good on clay but hasnt been in form yet and has never won a major draw match in this tourney. how confident r u on lopez? if i tail and he wins i will hit u up with some solid points for any opinion u have.

[mhm83]

Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units

lines at +105 for Hansecu now. might be on to something..

[stc9357]

lines at +105 for Hansecu now. might be on to something..

The fa\*\*ot tanked the match won first set 6-3 up 5-4 in the second and lost 8 straight games which is why I usually stay away from him but I don't mind a small loss, had to try. Lu is looking up though.

[stc9357]

wrong thread

[stc9357]

Now you see why I'm always hestitant to back hansecu classic fixer ************ was up won 6-3 first set up 5-4 second set and loses 8 straight games he made the other player look like God in the second half of the match last time I touch him at all!

Parlay: Berdych (-470) x Garcia-Lopez (-380) (6x)= Payout 3.19 Units Cash It!
Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units

Ljubicic (+155) A better clay courter than Tsonga if he shows he'll beat Tsonga (.5x)= Payout .78 Units
Cash It!
Overall Record: (34-22-1)= +6.36 Units Win Percentage: 61%

[mhm83]

[quote=stc9357;9599709]Parlay: Berdych (-470) x Garcia-Lopez (-380) (6x)= Payout 3.19 Units Cash It!
Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units

Ljubicic (+155) A better clay courter than Tsonga if he shows he'll beat Tsonga (.5x)= Payout .78 Units
Cash It!
Overall Record: (34-22-1)= +6.36 Units Win Percentage: 61%[/quote]

Sweet calls over all as usual stc. vnice on Ljubici.

hahah..I thought it was suspect when Hansecu called time in the middle of the second set saying he wanted to make an live in play bet... What a dick..lol

[stc9357]

[quote=mhm83;9599842]

Parlay: Berdych (-470) x Garcia-Lopez (-380) (6x)= Payout 3.19 Units Cash It!
Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units

Ljubicic (+155) A better clay courter than Tsonga if he shows he'll beat Tsonga (.5x)= Payout .78 Units
Cash It!
Overall Record: (34-22-1)= +6.36 Units Win Percentage: 61%[/quote]

Sweet calls over all as usual stc. vnice on Ljubici.

hahah..I thought it was suspect when Hansecu called time in the middle of the second set saying he wanted to make an live in play bet... What a dick..lol

LMAO I knew the risk when I back him should have only done .5 Units but you live an you learn.

[stc9357]

Parlay: Cilic -440 x Ferrer -725 x Almagro -775 (2x) = Payout 1.15 Units

Florian Mayer -160 (1x)= Payout .63 Units

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez +190 (.5x)= Payout .95 Units

Fernando Verdasco +115 (.5x)= Payout .58 Units
Overall Record: (34-22-1)= +6.36 Units Win Percentage: 61%

[Pew Pew]

Between Cilic, Ferrer, and Almagro who is more likely to lose?

[stc9357]

Between Cilic, Ferrer, and Almagro who is more likely to lose?

I would say Cilic is more likely to lose but when I bet heavy favorites I always generally choose the strongest players in my opinion which is why I didn't back Montanes today but he did win.

[Brian891]

sent the points again stc. apparently u cant send em via pm. good luck on picks. nobody on rafa -12000? hahahaha

[Pew Pew]

Freaking Almagro gave me a heartache.... he had 3 chances to break Maximo when he was up 0-40 in 3rd set but gave it all up away. He had 4 match points in 3rd set tiebreaker but lost it all. Glad he came back, but think I have to no play him/fade next few matches even though I like him as a clay court player.

And stupid man Riba couldn't just play through one more game to finish the first set off.

/rant

thanks for the plays though.

[stc9357]

Parlay: Cilic -440 x Ferrer -725 x Almagro -775 (2x) = Payout 1.15 Units (Cilic match was canceled since player retired in first set) = Payout is now .57 Units Which helps conclude a shitty day (Almagro had 6 match pts. in the third set tiebreaker to finally win, I will most likely be going against him next round)

Florian Mayer -160 (1x)= Payout .63 Units (Again another player who played like shit)

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez +190 (.5x)= Payout .95 Units (Gasquet stepped his game up from last round Lopez didn't stand a chance plus he's very impatient on the clay)

Fernando Verdasco +115 (.5x)= Payout .58 Units (He played like shit he continues to look lost out there won't be backing him again until he shows otherwise).
Todays Record: (1-3) -1.43 Units
Overall Record: (35-25-1)= +4.93 Units Win Percentage: 58.3%

Tomorrow will be a better day I'm finally getting my head around who's showed up this clay season and who hasn't tomorrow will be a all wins no loses day. As long as I keep my win percentage above 57% I'll continue to be happy tomorrow brings another day.

[stc9357]

I feel the exact same way about Almagro I only caught the tiebreaker with 6 match pts. because I went outside to wash my car but yeah I'll be fading him, I finally have my head around who's showed up in form for the clay court season.

[stc9357]

Parlay: Tomas Berdych -255 x David Ferrer -655 x Federer -750 (5x) = Payout 4.09 Units
Gil +185 (.5x)= Payout .93 Units
Robredo -175 (2x)= Payout 1.14 Units

Taking a shot with the .5x bet I feel like Monfils is just out there to get some matches under his belt. With the parlay I feel like Berdych should handle Lu even though he lives in Monte Carlo, Ferrer is a class above Raonic, and Federer has been demolishing all opponents besides Nadal and Djokivic and Murray he has no contenders. Suprisingly the parlay could change and I might exclude Federer he's the least comfortable person I'm willing to back just because of his lack of concentration outside of majors. So don't lock it in yet I'll finalize the card sometime tonight around 8-10 PM.

Overall Record: (35-25-1)= +4.93 Units Win Percentage: 58.3%

[Brian891]

Feelin good about robredo stc? i skipped mayer yest on a hunch, but im thinkin about riding wit u on this one. whats the confidence level? if i like ur analysis, and he wins, ill throw u at least 10 more points. good luck on all your plays.

[stc9357]

I'm pretty confident with my pick Troicki is not a great clay courter and hasn't shown great form coming into this match.

[Brian891]

troicki just scares me because he beat robredo last year at roland garros on clay, so its not like hes a slouch on this surface. robredo beat him last year tho in this same tourney at this same spot in it. im rollin with him. good luck!

[Pew Pew]

Thanks for the picks bro. Ferrer really worries me a lot too against a big server like Raonic. But he's playing on a slower court hopefully his serves are slow enough for Ferrer.

[Pew Pew]

I know we said we gonna no-play/fade Almagro, but how do you feel about him against "how the f is he in the top 10" Melzer?

[stc9357]

Adding: Murray (4x) -160

Gil +3 -115 1x

Downgraded my parlay last night to (1x) will update record and units later I was up till 2:30 A.M. last night with last minute capping on the match another capper who I respect on a different tennis forum was on Lu +3 which made me downsize my bet sorry if you tailed with posted bet. Robredo retired wasn't watching that match he won 6-3 and was down 2-1 in the second and retired don't know why but I'll find out that bet stayed the same. As far as the murray bet I think Murray is back he draws a player that he has a record of 4-1 and is the exact same style as his but he's better in all categories.

[stc9357]

Add: Bohli (2x) (-195) (challenger series)

[Mike Lonsdale]

Stupid f Bohli. Had 4-0 and he lost 1st set.

[stc9357]

Stupid f Bohli. Had 4-0 and he lost 1st set.

I know but he'll take the next two he's about to break now He's by far the better player guess he needed warmup set.

[stc9357]

Parlay: Tomas Berdych -255 x David Ferrer -655 x Federer -750 (5x) = Payout 4.09 Units (Was changed to 1x around 2 A.M. this morning due to some advice by another fellow capper) (1x)
Gil +185 (.5x)= Payout .93 Units Cash It!
Robredo -175 (2x)= Payout 1.14 Units (won first set 6-3 then pulled a hamstring muscle in the second)
Adding: Murray (4x) -160 (Playing now just broke Simon)

Gil +3 -115 1x=Payout .87 Units Cash It!

Downgraded my parlay last night to (1x) will update record and units later I was up till 2:30 A.M. last night with last minute capping on the match another capper who I respect on a different tennis forum was on Lu +3 which made me downsize my bet sorry if you tailed with posted bet. Robredo retired wasn't watching that match he won 6-3 and was down 2-1 in the second and retired don't know why but I'll find out that bet stayed the same. As far as the murray bet I think Murray is back he draws a player that he has a record of 4-1 and is the exact same style as his but he's better in all categories.

Add Bohli (2x) (-195)=Payout 1.03 Units Cash It!

Today Record: (3-2)= -.17 Units

Overall Record: (38-27-1)= +4.76 Units Win Percentage: 59%

Will be back later with update on Murray Match!