55 UNITS on KIM CLIJSTERS vs. Na Li

**kingsr** · 01-28-11, 12:00 PM

You are crazy

Best of luck man. I guess there's no talking you out of this.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-28-11, 12:02 PM

Good luck. Why anyone would in reality bet big on a tennis match is ridiculous to me. Seen so many people who are going "huge" on picks. Staying steady on units at least to me is the best way to keep yourself from going from black to red quickly. Easiest way to kill yourself in tennis more than any other sport is amping up your bet size IMO. I think Clijsters wins for the record, but anything can happen.

**erkanua** · 01-28-11, 12:06 PM

It is too much in women tennis but I think Kim will surely get this one.

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Good luck. Why anyone would in reality bet big on a tennis match is ridiculous to me. Seen so many people who are going "huge" on picks. Staying steady on units at least to me is the best way to keep yourself from going from black to red quickly. Easiest way to kill yourself in tennis more than any other sport is amping up your bet size IMO. I think Clijsters wins for the record, but anything can happen.

I agree. My bet size is pretty steady in general, however, when it gets to the end of the tournaments and I feel someone has a BIG advantage I will go large on them. Kim has proven herself time and time again and I will take my chances with this. A loss will not KILL me by any means but I have to think she has a great chance. If it wasn't a major I would never have it this high, BUT this is something she will go all out for, not some small tournament.

**jsmithj88** · 01-28-11, 02:52 PM

this is her last aussy open, she plans to retire after the 2011 season

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by jsmithj88

this is her last aussy open, she plans to retire after the 2011 season

Clearly another reason to go big on her tonight

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-28-11, 03:04 PM

LoL. So by that reasoning, Clijsters should be gone on BIG in every Slam because it will be her last time there this year. That has nothing to do with the outcome here, it's not going to give her an extra 10% edge on Li just because she won't play here again.

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

LoL. So by that reasoning, Clijsters should be gone on BIG in every Slam because it will be her last time there this year. That has nothing to do with the outcome here, it's not going to give her an extra 10% edge on Li just because she won't play here again.

It definitely IS. There's always extra MOTIVATION knowing that it will be her last chance. I'm not saying every match in every slam, but if she reaches the FINALS she will be extra motivated to finish on top. She can lay everything on the line and know this is the last time. I can't see how this wouldn't play to the advantage of Clijsters, but then again we all handicap matches differently. This is just how I work and it has been proven to be fairly successful.

**erkanua** · 01-28-11, 03:18 PM

Are sure about her retire ideas?

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by erkanua

Are sure about her retire ideas?

Read this article: http://www.australianopen.com/en_AU/...195254639.html

**benrama** · 01-28-11, 03:55 PM

You should consider parlaying Clijsters and Djokovic if you feel this strongly about them. You have to win both bets anyway to be profitable.

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by benrama

You should consider parlaying Clijsters and Djokovic if you feel this strongly about them. You have to win both bets anyway to be profitable.

Not necessarily. If I win the 20 units on Clijsters I can bet 10 units on Djokovic and guarantee myself a 10 unit profit. I may even bet the spread or sets on the men's match I just don't like to cap it too much until the day of the match.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-28-11, 04:39 PM

I don't think Clijsters ever needs extra motivation. She's like Federer or Nadal. When they're in a final, they think they're going to win. Doesn't matter if it's her first, 12th or last match. By the way, she has not definitively said she is retiring - she's left it pretty open, saying this season is likely her final FULL season on tour. She's already said in the past that she was going to probably play through the Olympics in 2012 and then concentrate on adding to the family. So people can read what they want with her statements. Until she says this is my final Australian Open, I would not be surprised if she plays here next year given her affinity for the country.

If you'd like something to add to your capping of this match, try this.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/01/27/3122578.htm?site=sport&section=tennis

A nagging leg injury is undermining Kim Clijsters' Australian Open quest, with the raging title favourite requiring pain-killers to reach the semi-finals on Wednesday.

Clijsters initially played down the injury - which the Belgian first suffered in the fourth round against Ekaterina Makarova - after outclassing Polish 12th seed Agnieszka Radwanska 6-3, 7-6 (7-4) in a scratchy quarter-final performance at Melbourne Park.

But the third seed later conceded the partial tear of her left adductor muscle was bothering her more than she originally let on and that it was a concern heading into her semi-final showdown on Thursday with world number two Vera Zvonareva.

"I took some pain-killers and anti-inflammatories before the match, but I still felt a little pain with the muscle," Clijsters told Belgian journalists.

"When I land with my serve and even move or land on my left leg, it pains my muscle.

Obviously didn't bother her much vs. Vera, but always something to consider which is why I say again sticking to regular sized plays makes more sense to me. Who is to say she doesn't aggravate this in the 1st game in the final? Or that it isn't an issue at all again. Many variables. Again, not doggin' you Weaver, you play how you want to ... I just think it's a good lesson for your novice SBR tennis folks to learn. Kinda like the moneyline parlay thread where the guy killed his profits with two bad plays after two weeks of solid efforts.

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 04:47 PM

Understandable. I must also point out that my bet is made to where if a retirement does occur (if she reinjures early on and can't compete) then it would be a no play. The match must be completed in FULL for my bet to stand. I appreciate your insight in this thread as well. Best of luck.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-28-11, 05:12 PM

Good deal bud. Like I said before, I think you're on the right side in this one - just don't agree with all the angles necessarily, but that's what makes this forum awesome!

**qsilver335** · 01-28-11, 05:59 PM

I am not going as big, but I am on the Clijsters as well. Good luck!

**benrama** · 01-28-11, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by dlweaver

Not necessarily. If I win the 20 units on Clijsters I can bet 10 units on Djokovic and guarantee myself a 10 unit profit. I may even bet the spread or sets on the men's match I just don't like to cap it too much until the day of the match.

Sorry I thought you were going big on Djokovic as well. Sometimes you have to make big bold bets to get above the grind, so good luck with your play. I'll be most likely making a play on Li +4 games paying +106 at Pinny, so hopefully we get a close game with Clijsters winning and we can all win, and as an added bonus you'll get to lose some weight through all that sweat

**MCherry281** · 01-28-11, 07:00 PM

I like it. I think I will do something similar. Clijsters moneyline all in!

**JOHON8** · 01-28-11, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by dlweaver

Clijsters (-275 ML) vs. Na Li

YTD: (5-6) +6.55 units
Risking 55 units to win 20 units

Has every play been around 50 units? If so you've risked around 550 units and come up with 6 units...?

With the kind of money you are claiming to have, you should really be trading LIVE rather than making these square plays which given evidence from last night are not anywhere close to profitable, even when you win.

That's just my opinion, GL.

**shari91** · 01-28-11, 07:43 PM

I'm with you on making the big bets occasionally when the numbers add up but I do it earlier in tournaments. If you've done the work and you think these odds are way off, then I understand why you're doing it. You are much braver than me though in a Final. Champions can be made by one costly mistake and this is when dreams come true for people. I hope with this amount on her, Kimmy gets it done for you today. Best of luck.

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 07:56 PM

Thanks shari for your support. We will see in a few hours how things play out.

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 08:24 PM

Looks like the price I got on Kim at -275 was a steal. She is up to -310 now. -275 cost me 55 units for a 20 unit win and now it would have cost me 62 units for the same 20 unit win. Lookin good

**dlweaver** · 01-28-11, 10:49 PM

5 hours to go.... lets get on with this

**ACoochy** · 01-28-11, 11:01 PM

Gl Weaver. Couldnt help but get some Li +3 (+175) so i hope its close and we both cash in GL

**Ace_of_Spades** · 01-28-11, 11:56 PM

Good Luck.

**stefan084** · 01-29-11, 01:16 AM

Originally posted by benrama

You should consider parlaying Clijsters and Djokovic if you feel this strongly about them. You have to win both bets anyway to be profitable.

this is my evil plan. i'll make billions,maybe even millions off of this bet. mmmuh hah hah hah hah

**waco66** · 01-29-11, 01:35 AM

wow...well good luck.

**TT22** · 01-29-11, 01:58 AM

Good luck, but I'll stay away.

**tealish** · 01-29-11, 02:08 AM

Dude....this isn't going to end well....

**Jrod124** · 01-29-11, 02:14 AM

Originally posted by stefan084

this is my evil plan. i'll make billions,maybe even millions off of this bet. mmmuh hah hah hah hah

**mav924** · 01-29-11, 04:06 AM

good luck today dlweaver

**Allure** · 01-29-11, 04:10 AM

Clisjers is looking very, very bad. Take Na Li live on live betting.

**erkanua** · 01-29-11, 04:17 AM

We have a big problem right now

**CindyCryBaby** · 01-29-11, 04:21 AM

lol no locks in sports betting sir