EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

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  • Big 12 Expert
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-23-11
    • 166

    #4621
    Originally posted by VikesPhanatic84
    I agree it does. I don't have much tennis knowledge so most of my bets r off line movement and it works out but times I seen like line drop drop drop and all of a sudden go up that big, it has meant opposite but I cud be wrong in this case. Putting a 100 on falla for heck of it lol

    Oh ok gl. i wish they offered games for challenger matches i think it goes 3 sets.
    Comment
    • VikesPhanatic84
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-16-10
      • 401

      #4622
      Thanks. I have noticed that. Majority of them go 3 sets. Doesn't matter who is playing lol
      Comment
      • Big 12 Expert
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-23-11
        • 166

        #4623
        Originally posted by VikesPhanatic84
        I agree it does. I don't have much tennis knowledge so most of my bets r off line movement and it works out but times I seen like line drop drop drop and all of a sudden go up that big, it has meant opposite but I cud be wrong in this case. Putting a 100 on falla for heck of it lol

        Challenger matches have crazy line movement.
        Comment
        • VikesPhanatic84
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-16-10
          • 401

          #4624
          Nvm. No play for me. Will just watch
          Comment
          • Big 12 Expert
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-23-11
            • 166

            #4625
            Originally posted by VikesPhanatic84
            Nvm. No play for me. Will just watch

            wow seems like you were right. He is getting killed so far in front of his home crowd
            Comment
            • VikesPhanatic84
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-16-10
              • 401

              #4626
              Lol I hope he loses cuz I wud be mad I didn't play it lol
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #4627
                If you ever figure out what tennis line movement means on a consistent basis, let me know - Challenger especially, I think the lines get manipulated a lot ... as I said yesterday, I think it's easier for dirty mother fukkers to make money off injury info and possible fixes on this level than at the ATP level.
                Comment
                • Big 12 Expert
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-23-11
                  • 166

                  #4628
                  Originally posted by VikesPhanatic84
                  Lol I hope he loses cuz I wud be mad I didn't play it lol

                  what a shock looks to be headed to a 3rd set
                  Comment
                  • jrw
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 05-23-10
                    • 194

                    #4629
                    I have seen guys go from -600 to -1200 in a matter of minutes or an hour. That is crazy line movement. Usually, it is a favorite becoming an even bigger favorite. In the last week or two, I have seen the above example happen 2 or 3 times, and that's just the guys I had in parlays.
                    Comment
                    • jrw
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 05-23-10
                      • 194

                      #4630
                      I think what people do, is pay off the underdog, figuring if they are the dog they are probably not going to win anyways, and they get a bigger payday than they probably would get even if they won the match and made it to the next round, to throw the match.
                      Comment
                      • VikesPhanatic84
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-16-10
                        • 401

                        #4631
                        MALISSE will win now, they just needed it to go to 3 sets lol
                        Comment
                        • Big 12 Expert
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-23-11
                          • 166

                          #4632
                          Originally posted by jrw
                          I have seen guys go from -600 to -1200 in a matter of minutes or an hour. That is crazy line movement. Usually, it is a favorite becoming an even bigger favorite. In the last week or two, I have seen the above example happen 2 or 3 times, and that's just the guys I had in parlays.

                          i have seen that as well. dr. ivo line has skyrocketed.
                          Comment
                          • VikesPhanatic84
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-16-10
                            • 401

                            #4633
                            Well falla will win this. **** me lol
                            Comment
                            • sharlataans
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-13-10
                              • 1927

                              #4634
                              Turned on Malisse match, always interesting to see fixers at work
                              Comment
                              • sharlataans
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-13-10
                                • 1927

                                #4635
                                Malisse lost. One thing I can say that was not the type of tennis Malisse plays when he wants to win.

                                1. His serve is much much better
                                2. He does not like long rallies and almost always he cuts them with sharp down the line or penetrating moves. He is an aggressive player

                                And he looked like out of shape and disinterested. I think he has found a good way to make money
                                Comment
                                • VikesPhanatic84
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-16-10
                                  • 401

                                  #4636
                                  Well his line kept dropping and dropping and all of a sudden it went up from like 200 to 350. When that happens I think like u said a possible fix the other way so I like falla but talked myself out of it last sec. Oh well
                                  Comment
                                  • sharlataans
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-13-10
                                    • 1927

                                    #4637
                                    Tomorrow possibilities:

                                    Petkovic vs. Pavlucenkova (OVER 21)
                                    Murray 2:0
                                    Berankis and Darcis as upsets
                                    Comment
                                    • Big 12 Expert
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 09-23-11
                                      • 166

                                      #4638
                                      So the Radwa line is dropping. If right before the match the line goes back up to Radwa becoming a bigger favorite then Ana is the play according to your line theory right?
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #4639
                                        Guys you need to be careful about reading a lot into these Challenger lines too ... with a lack of ATP-WTA matches during the day, there are also possibilities that people are just pounding certain lines because they know the "name" players and/or players playing in their home country like Malisse. Malisse hasn't been "right" for months from a mental/physical aspect.

                                        Just cap the matches and pick your picks. Line movement is way too deceptive in tennis to sit around and try to figure it out all day.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #4640
                                          For later ...

                                          ATP Tokyo
                                          Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5 [-113]
                                          Stepanek +210

                                          ATP Beijing
                                          Ferrero +280

                                          Nadal gave no break opps vs. Raonic last night. Giraldo has also been holding serve well in his two matches here, so while Nadal should ultimately win - even a two setter should be tight enough to give this a shot. The two dogs, have a feeling one wins and that's my aim. Go 1-1. JCF draws Tsonga who has been a little sloppy in his wins. Stepanek draws Ferrer whom he almost always plays very tough. Ferrer has also been victim of slow starts so far and a vet like Stepanek may be the one to take advantage.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big 12 Expert
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-23-11
                                            • 166

                                            #4641
                                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                            For later ...

                                            ATP Tokyo
                                            Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5 [-113]
                                            Stepanek +210

                                            ATP Beijing
                                            Ferrero +280

                                            Nadal gave no break opps vs. Raonic last night. Giraldo has also been holding serve well in his two matches here, so while Nadal should ultimately win - even a two setter should be tight enough to give this a shot. The two dogs, have a feeling one wins and that's my aim. Go 1-1. JCF draws Tsonga who has been a little sloppy in his wins. Stepanek draws Ferrer whom he almost always plays very tough. Ferrer has also been victim of slow starts so far and a vet like Stepanek may be the one to take advantage.
                                            first set stepanek?
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #4642
                                              I thought about that, but I feel like I would get burned on it ... so trying the full match instead.
                                              Comment
                                              • blackbeSSt
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-06-08
                                                • 9398

                                                #4643
                                                EP thanks for putting the late late matches out there early
                                                Comment
                                                • Shifty107
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-05-10
                                                  • 1582

                                                  #4644
                                                  Any thought on Verdasco over Berdych today EP?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #4645
                                                    Berdych.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Shifty107
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-05-10
                                                      • 1582

                                                      #4646
                                                      Damn. Thought I could get some good odds on a possible winner. Still might drop a small 50 on him. Gl with ur plays mate.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #4647
                                                        Think there are better underdogs to try than Verdasco. If you look at how Berdych has played so far and their hard court meetings, I don't see any reason really to take Verdasco. Always a chance Berdych's shoulder could flare up maybe, but if he's healthy - he should win.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Boxing Champ
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-11-11
                                                          • 3358

                                                          #4648
                                                          I had a good feeling Tomic can beat Fish...EP I even PM'd you... but I didnt play it, figured
                                                          if it was a good play you would have answered..Damn.
                                                          What's the strongest play tonight?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #4649
                                                            I didn't have a thought on that match. Tomic is all over the map with consistency. After what Fish did to Gulbis and how Tomic struggled with Ito ... I didn't see an advantage to playing that match. My favorite is Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mikail
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-19-09
                                                              • 21689

                                                              #4650
                                                              How's it going Eaglesphan? I have some xtra winnings and I'm wanting some late night action. I'm considering a play on Pennetta +330 Any opinions? Eaglesphan or anybody?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sharlataans
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-13-10
                                                                • 1927

                                                                #4651
                                                                Originally posted by Mikail
                                                                How's it going Eaglesphan? I have some xtra winnings and I'm wanting some late night action. I'm considering a play on Pennetta +330 Any opinions? Eaglesphan or anybody?
                                                                I think you have a chance, but I would take OVER 20.5 instead. Saw a bit of Penetta and she was quite determined at times. Wozniacki played quite good in her style and relaxed. Only thing is I think she is very eager to finish the year as No1 in rankings.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Boxing Champ
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-11-11
                                                                  • 3358

                                                                  #4652
                                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                  I didn't have a thought on that match. Tomic is all over the map with consistency. After what Fish did to Gulbis and how Tomic struggled with Ito ... I didn't see an advantage to playing that match. My favorite is Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5.
                                                                  Thanks!! EaglesPhan..you're da man...
                                                                  I don't mean to be bugging you with all my Questions, it's just that It looks like you're the only one that knows anything about Tennis around here..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mikail
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-19-09
                                                                    • 21689

                                                                    #4653
                                                                    Originally posted by sharlataans
                                                                    I think you have a chance, but I would take OVER 20.5 instead. Saw a bit of Penetta and she was quite determined at times. Wozniacki played quite good in her style and relaxed. Only thing is I think she is very eager to finish the year as No1 in rankings.
                                                                    thanks for the input. Yes I think the over is the best play in this match. Perhaps it's better just to hammer that instead and just put a little on Panetta ML
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Demonata
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 07-12-11
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #4654
                                                                      Originally posted by Mikail
                                                                      How's it going Eaglesphan? I have some xtra winnings and I'm wanting some late night action. I'm considering a play on Pennetta +330 Any opinions? Eaglesphan or anybody?
                                                                      Take the handicap on penetta
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Allen24
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-15-10
                                                                        • 857

                                                                        #4655
                                                                        verdasco is looking terrible 6-1 first set go tomas!!
                                                                        Comment
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