EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[Big 12 Expert]

I agree it does. I don't have much tennis knowledge so most of my bets r off line movement and it works out but times I seen like line drop drop drop and all of a sudden go up that big, it has meant opposite but I cud be wrong in this case. Putting a 100 on falla for heck of it lol

Oh ok gl. i wish they offered games for challenger matches i think it goes 3 sets.

[VikesPhanatic84]

Thanks. I have noticed that. Majority of them go 3 sets. Doesn't matter who is playing lol

[Big 12 Expert]

I agree it does. I don't have much tennis knowledge so most of my bets r off line movement and it works out but times I seen like line drop drop drop and all of a sudden go up that big, it has meant opposite but I cud be wrong in this case. Putting a 100 on falla for heck of it lol

Challenger matches have crazy line movement.

[VikesPhanatic84]

Nvm. No play for me. Will just watch

[Big 12 Expert]

Nvm. No play for me. Will just watch

wow seems like you were right. He is getting killed so far in front of his home crowd

[VikesPhanatic84]

Lol I hope he loses cuz I wud be mad I didn't play it lol

[EaglesPhan36]

If you ever figure out what tennis line movement means on a consistent basis, let me know - Challenger especially, I think the lines get manipulated a lot ... as I said yesterday, I think it's easier for dirty mother fukkers to make money off injury info and possible fixes on this level than at the ATP level.

[Big 12 Expert]

Lol I hope he loses cuz I wud be mad I didn't play it lol

what a shock looks to be headed to a 3rd set

[jrw]

I have seen guys go from -600 to -1200 in a matter of minutes or an hour. That is crazy line movement. Usually, it is a favorite becoming an even bigger favorite. In the last week or two, I have seen the above example happen 2 or 3 times, and that's just the guys I had in parlays.

[jrw]

I think what people do, is pay off the underdog, figuring if they are the dog they are probably not going to win anyways, and they get a bigger payday than they probably would get even if they won the match and made it to the next round, to throw the match.

[VikesPhanatic84]

MALISSE will win now, they just needed it to go to 3 sets lol

[Big 12 Expert]

I have seen guys go from -600 to -1200 in a matter of minutes or an hour. That is crazy line movement. Usually, it is a favorite becoming an even bigger favorite. In the last week or two, I have seen the above example happen 2 or 3 times, and that's just the guys I had in parlays.

i have seen that as well. dr. ivo line has skyrocketed.

[VikesPhanatic84]

Well falla will win this. **** me lol

[sharlataans]

Turned on Malisse match, always interesting to see fixers at work

[sharlataans]

Malisse lost. One thing I can say that was not the type of tennis Malisse plays when he wants to win.

1. His serve is much much better
2. He does not like long rallies and almost always he cuts them with sharp down the line or penetrating moves. He is an aggressive player

And he looked like out of shape and disinterested. I think he has found a good way to make money

[VikesPhanatic84]

Well his line kept dropping and dropping and all of a sudden it went up from like 200 to 350. When that happens I think like u said a possible fix the other way so I like falla but talked myself out of it last sec. Oh well

[sharlataans]

Tomorrow possibilities:

Petkovic vs. Pavlucenkova (OVER 21)
Murray 2:0
Berankis and Darcis as upsets

[Big 12 Expert]

So the Radwa line is dropping. If right before the match the line goes back up to Radwa becoming a bigger favorite then Ana is the play according to your line theory right?

[EaglesPhan36]

Guys you need to be careful about reading a lot into these Challenger lines too ... with a lack of ATP-WTA matches during the day, there are also possibilities that people are just pounding certain lines because they know the "name" players and/or players playing in their home country like Malisse. Malisse hasn't been "right" for months from a mental/physical aspect.

Just cap the matches and pick your picks. Line movement is way too deceptive in tennis to sit around and try to figure it out all day.

[EaglesPhan36]

For later ...

ATP Tokyo
Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5 [-113]
Stepanek +210

ATP Beijing
Ferrero +280

Nadal gave no break opps vs. Raonic last night. Giraldo has also been holding serve well in his two matches here, so while Nadal should ultimately win - even a two setter should be tight enough to give this a shot. The two dogs, have a feeling one wins and that's my aim. Go 1-1. JCF draws Tsonga who has been a little sloppy in his wins. Stepanek draws Ferrer whom he almost always plays very tough. Ferrer has also been victim of slow starts so far and a vet like Stepanek may be the one to take advantage.

[Big 12 Expert]

For later ...

ATP Tokyo
Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5 [-113]
Stepanek +210

ATP Beijing
Ferrero +280

Nadal gave no break opps vs. Raonic last night. Giraldo has also been holding serve well in his two matches here, so while Nadal should ultimately win - even a two setter should be tight enough to give this a shot. The two dogs, have a feeling one wins and that's my aim. Go 1-1. JCF draws Tsonga who has been a little sloppy in his wins. Stepanek draws Ferrer whom he almost always plays very tough. Ferrer has also been victim of slow starts so far and a vet like Stepanek may be the one to take advantage.

first set stepanek?

[EaglesPhan36]

I thought about that, but I feel like I would get burned on it ... so trying the full match instead.

[blackbeSSt]

EP thanks for putting the late late matches out there early

[Shifty107]

Any thought on Verdasco over Berdych today EP?

[EaglesPhan36]

Berdych.

[Shifty107]

Damn. Thought I could get some good odds on a possible winner. Still might drop a small 50 on him. Gl with ur plays mate.

[EaglesPhan36]

Think there are better underdogs to try than Verdasco. If you look at how Berdych has played so far and their hard court meetings, I don't see any reason really to take Verdasco. Always a chance Berdych's shoulder could flare up maybe, but if he's healthy - he should win.

[Boxing Champ]

I had a good feeling Tomic can beat Fish...EP I even PM'd you... but I didnt play it, figured
if it was a good play you would have answered..Damn.
What's the strongest play tonight?

[EaglesPhan36]

I didn't have a thought on that match. Tomic is all over the map with consistency. After what Fish did to Gulbis and how Tomic struggled with Ito ... I didn't see an advantage to playing that match. My favorite is Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5.

[Mikail]

How's it going Eaglesphan? I have some xtra winnings and I'm wanting some late night action. I'm considering a play on Pennetta +330 Any opinions? Eaglesphan or anybody?

[sharlataans]

How's it going Eaglesphan? I have some xtra winnings and I'm wanting some late night action. I'm considering a play on Pennetta +330 Any opinions? Eaglesphan or anybody?

I think you have a chance, but I would take OVER 20.5 instead. Saw a bit of Penetta and she was quite determined at times. Wozniacki played quite good in her style and relaxed. Only thing is I think she is very eager to finish the year as No1 in rankings.

[Boxing Champ]

I didn't have a thought on that match. Tomic is all over the map with consistency. After what Fish did to Gulbis and how Tomic struggled with Ito ... I didn't see an advantage to playing that match. My favorite is Nadal-Giraldo Over 18.5.

Thanks!! EaglesPhan..you're da man...
I don't mean to be bugging you with all my Questions, it's just that It looks like you're the only one that knows anything about Tennis around here..

[Mikail]

I think you have a chance, but I would take OVER 20.5 instead. Saw a bit of Penetta and she was quite determined at times. Wozniacki played quite good in her style and relaxed. Only thing is I think she is very eager to finish the year as No1 in rankings.

thanks for the input. Yes I think the over is the best play in this match. Perhaps it's better just to hammer that instead and just put a little on Panetta ML

[Demonata]

How's it going Eaglesphan? I have some xtra winnings and I'm wanting some late night action. I'm considering a play on Pennetta +330 Any opinions? Eaglesphan or anybody?

Take the handicap on penetta

[Allen24]

verdasco is looking terrible 6-1 first set go tomas!!