EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[EaglesPhan36]

At this point in the week, you'd be an idiot [me] not to take the favorites again. It has been one of the chalkiest weeks I can remember in ATP.

[BobW]

Berdych gonna win easily you think EP?

[SpreadKiller]

EP,

just come across with ur tennis thread and was wondering if u keep a track of ur plays here?

thx

[EaglesPhan36]

I don't have an accurate record on here. I mostly use it for discussion and as a think tank type of thread, while I do post picks I make too. Whenever anyone asks, I always say it - I'm no better than maybe a 52% win rate or so. I run extremely hot and cold and riding either streak can do you good.

[beefcake]

EP, I dont think we see the chalk win in Shangahi at such a high rate. Might get some great odds on the dogs here. I see that Young is an insane fav vs Gong, who is not horribly terrible.I do like Ilhan to win vs dimitrov, I think the turk is one to watch next year.

Anderson might be a bit gassed..Tomic has the hitting prowess to hang with him.

Lots of early money on Lu...Not surprised now that Roddick has sucked as of late.

One WTA Bomb...Czink had some quality wins early in the year..+900 to Fatty is crazy..

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP Shanghai
Lu +3.5 [-122]
Ferrero -120

WTA Osaka
Tanasugarn +300

[Demonata]

I'll tell you one thing. Not betting on Roddick tonight. That bum.

[Demonata]

What's your reasoning on your ferrero pick? Thanks.

[EaglesPhan36]

Youzhny did not look real sharp last week, his serve especially offers break opps quite a bit. JCF seems to be back in reasonably solid form and can compete on hard courts with guys who won't overpower him.

[remetta2]

All i know is i am staying away from Roddick the old grey mare aint what she used to be

Feeling kind of out of it lately so i was thinking of going:

ML:
Ebden
Nalbandian
Young

Another option is Tomic, although i hate him (as an Australian) he has been hitting form lately and $2.57 is decent value, just as long as he doesn't break down in the 3rd set :/

[EaglesPhan36]

Why even bother adding Young in there? Adds what a couple dollars to your payout?

[remetta2]

yeah good point, i think i checked it would only be 10c in the dollar with him added into the multi

[Big 12 Expert]

ATP Shanghai
Lu +3.5 [-122]
Ferrero -120

WTA Osaka
Tanasugarn +300

what about LU straight up?

[EaglesPhan36]

Rather take the plus games. Based on their past, it should be a tight match and while I certainly think Lu can win with Roddick looking pretty poor lately ... if Roddick finds his serve, he likely won't lose.

[Big 12 Expert]

Rather take the plus games. Based on their past, it should be a tight match and while I certainly think Lu can win with Roddick looking pretty poor lately ... if Roddick finds his serve, he likely won't lose.

Ok thanks gl

[spurginobili]

ATP Shanghai - parlay
Nalbandian -255 and Anderson -205

I looked at Ferrero too EaglesPhan, but not going to pull the trigger.

[EaglesPhan36]

Tanasugarn cashes. It's all down hill from here.


Adding ...

ATP Shanghai
Giraldo -160

[moses millsap]

great hit with tammy

[Big 12 Expert]

Tanasugarn cashes. It's all down hill from here.


Adding ...

ATP Shanghai
Giraldo -160

giraldo looked good against Nadal

[spurginobili]

Tanasugarn cashes. It's all down hill from here.


Adding ...

ATP Shanghai
Giraldo -160

Nice. Damn good call at +300

[brandoc]

Tanasugarn cashes. It's all down hill from here.


Adding ...

ATP Shanghai
Giraldo -160

Nice hit on Tana mate.

[dRavidC]

i'm banking on roddick revenge angle more than anything

[EaglesPhan36]

Well except for the Lu sets being too lopsided to get that handicap, good start to the week.

[Big 12 Expert]

Well except for the Lu sets being too lopsided to get that handicap, good start to the week.

Nice job EaglesPhan. In regards to the LU match I know this is in retrospect but why not take the Over 22 instead of the games?

[EaglesPhan36]

Had some concerns over Lu's serve and Roddick really. Could have seen in be a lopsided straight sets win for either guy based on recent form.

[Demonata]

Had some concerns over Lu's serve and Roddick really. Could have seen in be a lopsided straight sets win for either guy based on recent form.

I call Roddick loses tonight

[beefcake]

Here is my take for tonight..

Kubot +187...Lots of folks on Dolgo, saw him as a feature on the Atp Website last week,,,SI curse?

Mayer +175..Dam he has been playing great lately, not on hard mind you, but I think might be worth it yet.Not sold on Dave having his form back.

Tomic +350..Why not?

Young +145...Large..

Raoninc/Llodra over..Need I say more about 2 big hitters.

[EaglesPhan36]

Not sure about that over. Llodra looked like total shit against Verdasco last week who in his own right is playing like shit.

[tevari]

Imo llodra raonic total is a no play

[moses millsap]

llodra is one weird ************, he once hid in ljubicic's locker naked verdasco was so bad against berdych last week, not sure what to make of this match

[EaglesPhan36]

Edit. Nevermind.

[EaglesPhan36]

Parlay
Nalbandian + Raonic [+113]

ATP Shanghai
Robredo +200
F.Lopez +185

[Astros148]

Milos Raonic -3 is the best play tonight. you guys dont think so?1 Llondra looks like complete shit

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ...

WTA Osaka
Sema -108

[Astros148]

Adding ...

WTA Osaka
Sema -108

was just about to ask you about this, been watching Sema for awhile, she looks MUCH better then Minella forsure.

Also check out Yung Chan, shes in much better form and playing in her home country against Olga who is still coming off a injury.