EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #4516
    Mons Challenger Parlay: Benneteau + Jaziri [+122]
    Comment
    • tevari
      SBR MVP
      • 02-02-07
      • 4959

      #4517
      GL. any thoughts on bellucci/JCF?
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4518
        Tough to know JCF's form after a long layoff. If he's healthy, I think he wins - however, Bellucci did show pretty well in Davis Cup on an indoor surface. Generally though, this is not Bellucci's surface. JCF has definitely shown better on it over his career.
        Comment
        • tevari
          SBR MVP
          • 02-02-07
          • 4959

          #4519
          thanks for the input. didn't jcf lose in the first round in a shit ton of tournaments this year? i was thinking about pulling the trigger on bellucci +120 but will mull it over and probably make it a no play
          Comment
          • dRavidC
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-11
            • 2516

            #4520
            Originally posted by tevari
            thanks for the input. didn't jcf lose in the first round in a shit ton of tournaments this year? i was thinking about pulling the trigger on bellucci +120 but will mull it over and probably make it a no play
            maybe wait till 2nd rd. ferrero at full health should beat bellucci but it's hard to know if he is fully healthy or not especially given his extremely vulnerable body until we see his first match.

            wait till tomorrow cause all the value matches are gone.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #4521
              He lost in a few 1st rounders, no more than Bellucci though.
              Comment
              • Glitch
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-08-09
                • 11795

                #4522
                very poor effort from gianessi. gave the match away with careless mistakes. when his leg is 100% better maybe he will try harder.
                Comment
                • blackbeSSt
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-06-08
                  • 9398

                  #4523
                  cashy cashy the parlay
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #4524
                    Yeah I knew he was in trouble when he dropped the 2nd set, did not figure a 3rd set was good for a guy who had played too much tennis. Parlay at least done easy to end with a winner. Gonna look at the Sacramento Challenger, but might be done for the day.
                    Comment
                    • Glitch
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-08-09
                      • 11795

                      #4525
                      plus his serve looked so ugly because he cant really put proper pressure on his left knee.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #4526
                        Sacramento Challenger
                        Strode +115
                        Comment
                        • Big 12 Expert
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-23-11
                          • 166

                          #4527
                          Do you think Steve Johnson wins?
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #4528
                            De bakker looks intriguing to me..
                            Comment
                            • Big 12 Expert
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-23-11
                              • 166

                              #4529
                              Originally posted by beefcake
                              De bakker looks intriguing to me..

                              Why he has lost 6 straight on hc.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #4530
                                Not sure de Bakker is back to 100% just yet fitness wise. Pospisil is in pretty solid form. I wanted to go against Johnson just based on price, but did not know enough about the other guy. Looks like Johnson is flopping. I keep backing Strode and he keeps not coming through for me.
                                I like that Blake and Karlovic are slumming here.

                                Gonna go back to the drawing board for later and see what I can do to turn it around some. Good luck guys.
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #4531
                                  SOCK it too me BABY!!

                                  De bakker...
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #4532
                                    ATP Tokyo
                                    Baghdatis +488

                                    Someone's tanking today. It's probably me and my picks! In all seriousness though (I suck), Shanghai Masters is next week so I could see Murray not wanting to be involved much this week. He got his form in Bangkok, so doesn't really need this as tune-up. He's the defending champ in Shanghai as well, so I could see him choosing to focus there especially with Federer already out and Djokovic likely to miss or be at less than full fitness. I'll fade him until he loses this week at the cost of my bank roll.

                                    Parlay: Fish + Berdych [-127]
                                    Comment
                                    • Gaskan
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-31-11
                                      • 765

                                      #4533
                                      I wouldn't fade him too much. I remember hearing that gaining a year ending rank of #3 is very important to Murray. Anytime this year he has been motivated he has done very well.

                                      How about Lopez over Youzney? -103 Seems to be an early Xmas present or is the 4-1 career record and Youzney not in great form not matter too much?
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #4534
                                        I can understand that thinking on Murray, but he has no points to defend here. Admittedly, I don't totally understand the points system - but I know Federer has a crap ton of points to defend from playing very well at the end of last year whereas Murray can gain on him - I believe - just with solid showings in the remaining tournaments that both were/are in. This one I guess he just earns for any wins he gets, but again - not sure that it'd be wise to go balls out here with all those points on the table next week. Just a theory and Baghdatis is actually in decent form too ... this isn't a straight fade on Murray and believing he might tank.

                                        I also honestly think Roger may just be focusing on a couple of tournaments to end the year. The home tourney in Switzerland and the Tour Finals. Think he may skip some more to stay healthy potentially. I don't think he gives two shits about his ranking at this point once he fell from #2, I think it comes to him that he's going to fall a couple more.
                                        Comment
                                        • beefcake
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 14029

                                          #4535
                                          Despite my endorsement of tippy earlier,the guy has most likely partied his balls off after winning his first tourney last week. Tursonov is more than serviceable if Janko comes in with his guard down. Would not be surprised to see Tip tank or really not give a fukk about this match.
                                          Comment
                                          • Gaskan
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-31-11
                                            • 765

                                            #4536
                                            Any thoughts on Lopez?
                                            Comment
                                            • Demonata
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 07-12-11
                                              • 25829

                                              #4537
                                              Hey EaglesPhan what you think about the Fish Gulbis match tonight? I think Fish may lose tonight with Gulbis with the series being split 1-1. I don't feel safe either way. Just depends who cares about this tournament more? What are your thoughts on this match man?
                                              Comment
                                              • Big 12 Expert
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-23-11
                                                • 166

                                                #4538
                                                Originally posted by beefcake
                                                SOCK it too me BABY!!

                                                De bakker...

                                                Comment
                                                • Big 12 Expert
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-23-11
                                                  • 166

                                                  #4539
                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                  ATP Tokyo
                                                  Baghdatis +488

                                                  Someone's tanking today. It's probably me and my picks! In all seriousness though (I suck), Shanghai Masters is next week so I could see Murray not wanting to be involved much this week. He got his form in Bangkok, so doesn't really need this as tune-up. He's the defending champ in Shanghai as well, so I could see him choosing to focus there especially with Federer already out and Djokovic likely to miss or be at less than full fitness. I'll fade him until he loses this week at the cost of my bank roll.

                                                  Parlay: Fish + Berdych [-127]

                                                  also marcos has a good h2h against him
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Big 12 Expert
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-23-11
                                                    • 166

                                                    #4540
                                                    any news from birdman regarding his shoulder after the match? did he say it feels ok?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #4541
                                                      I promised myself I would at least try this against Tipsarevic. Won't go moneyline, but definitely okay with this ...

                                                      Tursunov +4 [+104]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • birdmanweezy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-18-10
                                                        • 4635

                                                        #4542
                                                        i know you are talking about berdych, but i can confirm that jack sock threw out his back banging oudin last night.....he called me right after saying she did him raw
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #4543
                                                          Originally posted by Demonata
                                                          Hey EaglesPhan what you think about the Fish Gulbis match tonight? I think Fish may lose tonight with Gulbis with the series being split 1-1. I don't feel safe either way. Just depends who cares about this tournament more? What are your thoughts on this match man?
                                                          I took Fish in a parlay, so obviously I think he can win. Both guys looked a little rusty in their openers as could be expected. They had some good battles in the summer, but this is money time for Mardy. He's sitting at #8 which means he has a loose grip on the last spot in the Tour Finals with a lot of play left to go. I think he gets an edge here too with an extra day of rest whereas Gulbis is coming back the next day after his long match with Kubot.

                                                          Regarding Berdych, I read nothing about complaints after his match and from all accounts he appeared close to 100% in his 1st match. Kohlschreiber is a good match-up for him, so hopefully he is good to go.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #4544
                                                            By the way ... RAIN IN TOKYO today. LOTS. 90% chance. However, their main court does have a retractable roof! That means these matches should play regardless, I believe on Center Court:

                                                            Tursunov-Tipsarevic
                                                            Murray-Baghdatis
                                                            Fish-Gulbis
                                                            Tomic-Ito

                                                            But beware the other matches on the outside courts, they may very well get rained out today so don't tie up your money if you don't want to!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big 12 Expert
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-23-11
                                                              • 166

                                                              #4545
                                                              thanks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Demonata
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 07-12-11
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #4546
                                                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                I took Fish in a parlay, so obviously I think he can win. Both guys looked a little rusty in their openers as could be expected. They had some good battles in the summer, but this is money time for Mardy. He's sitting at #8 which means he has a loose grip on the last spot in the Tour Finals with a lot of play left to go. I think he gets an edge here too with an extra day of rest whereas Gulbis is coming back the next day after his long match with Kubot. Regarding Berdych, I read nothing about complaints after his match and from all accounts he appeared close to 100% in his 1st match. Kohlschreiber is a good match-up for him, so hopefully he is good to go.
                                                                Thanks man. I may bet on Fish.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mattyheisman
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-25-09
                                                                  • 301

                                                                  #4547
                                                                  Have any opinion on Scheepers?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #4548
                                                                    Nah. I am not really following WTA this week at all.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Shifty107
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-05-10
                                                                      • 1582

                                                                      #4549
                                                                      I like Ito chance against tomic here. Decent odds as well.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Demonata
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 07-12-11
                                                                        • 25829

                                                                        #4550
                                                                        Originally posted by mattyheisman
                                                                        Have any opinion on Scheepers?
                                                                        Don't bet on sheepers. She will lose tonight guaranteed. The line is lieing with her winning.
                                                                        Comment
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