EP36's Tennis Talk

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 12:11 AM

Not bad.

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 12:19 AM

1 more question if you dont mind....am i crazy for thinking skugor wins against dolgopolov tomm?...+120 is nice value....and skugor has some dangerous serves....and personallyi think dolgopolov is ovverrated. i watched him the last game did not look too good to me

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 12:26 AM

WEDNESDAY

BOLELLI +158
The Italian draws Juan Ignacio Chela. Bolelli has won both head-2-head meetings, including a tight straight sets win in Madrid in May on dirt. Bolelli has been on a decent run in the last few weeks with a Challenger clay title late in June. He went to the QFs at this Umag event last season too. Chela rolled in his opener in Croatia, but he hasn't pieced back-2-back wins in the main draw of an ATP event since winning the Houston tournament in April. If Bolelli brings his best serve which can be very hard to break, I think he has enough to beat Chela and advance.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by newjerseydevils

1 more question if you dont mind....am i crazy for thinking skugor wins against dolgopolov tomm?...+120 is nice value....and skugor has some dangerous serves....and personallyi think dolgopolov is ovverrated. i watched him the last game did not look too good to me

Skugor has been playing very well lately, definitely has a shot. I ready somewhere that Dolgopolov may have strained his hamstring against Lorenzi - but can't confirm that is true.

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Skugor has been playing very well lately, definitely has a shot. I ready somewhere that Dolgopolov may have strained his hamstring against Lorenzi - but can't confirm that is true.

yes confirmed....he did pull it...i was watching it when it happened...he wrapped his leg up tight and continued to play for the last few games that were left and he still won......are hamstring injuries a big deal in tennis?.....not sure...he didnt look like he was in pain at all....but maybe after the game he felt pain....

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 12:40 AM

Anything to do with the legs is a big deal. Can effect power on shots/serve and obviously just in general getting to balls, etc.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 12:42 AM

F-ing 5Dimes is being super lazy on getting lines up for tomorrow. Wanted to go Gasquet-Ferrero for a parlay, but no line up for JCF. No totals. Blah. Guess I'll see what lines are available when I get up in the morning.

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

F-ing 5Dimes is being super lazy on getting lines up for tomorrow. Wanted to go Gasquet-Ferrero for a parlay, but no line up for JCF. No totals. Blah. Guess I'll see what lines are available when I get up in the morning.

yeah i wanted to make a few plays yesterday and they didnt have the lines up...takes them forever to put them up..............i like the bolleli play eagles...good luck with it...i went a unit on it too....bolleli has chela's number 2-0 against chela cant be a fluke.....hopefully the trend continues tomm.......goodluck

**SRBI** · 07-28-10, 07:26 AM

Good luck EP - I think I'm gonna have a shot at Bolelli myself with those juicy odds.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 08:13 AM

Gotta love small bladders & a degenerate's mentality. Woke up during the night to go take a leak. Before I went to go curl back up to the new puppy, I opened the laptop and put down the Gasquet-JCF parlay at -123. I hope JCF cashes it because 5Dimes pissed me off by not having that line up last night. Stayed up till 1am my time waiting for it, finally had to go to sleep because I get up at 7. So I feel like raping those F-sticks today since it was the only ATP match they did not have listed for the two tourneys that start in the morning.

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 07-28-10, 08:19 AM

Dolgopolov played doubles after his match yesterday, so can't have been that bad. Even if it's not a fix, he's clearly told someone he's not going to win, needs the rest, whatever.

**Yezzir** · 07-28-10, 08:25 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

WEDNESDAY

BOLELLI +158
The Italian draws Juan Ignacio Chela. Bolelli has won both head-2-head meetings, including a tight straight sets win in Madrid in May on dirt. Bolelli has been on a decent run in the last few weeks with a Challenger clay title late in June. He went to the QFs at this Umag event last season too. Chela rolled in his opener in Croatia, but he hasn't pieced back-2-back wins in the main draw of an ATP event since winning the Houston tournament in April. If Bolelli brings his best serve which can be very hard to break, I think he has enough to beat Chela and advance.

Fukkin love this play.

Bolleli shot making and flatness will give Chela all sorts of problems, best dog of the day.

Also got a parlay of Ferrero/Gimeno Traver/Gasquet which I did early this morning.

Gasquet won in 3, G-T up 1 set, looking ok so far.

**limitation** · 07-28-10, 08:36 AM

If you guys don't mind me asking, is it possible to watch the games online? What channel they are on? I am from US. Thanks!

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 08:41 AM

ANDREEV -158
Ah nothing like a morning round of Russian Roulette! My rule #1 in tennis betting is DON'T TRUST RUSSIANS. Well, I'm not breaking that here, but I do think Andreev is a good play today. He has played very well at this Gstaad tournament over the past three seasons with three consecutive semifinal or better appearances here. He took out Serra in his opener in 3 sets, showing some of the expected rust from a long layoff. His foe today is the Swiss, Chiudinelli who knocked off defending champ Bellucci yesterday in 3 roller coaster sets, losing the middle one 6-0. While he has shown some decent form on dirt in recent weeks, it is still by far his weakest surface with a 40% win rate in his career on it. Until the Bellucci win, the majority of his few wins on clay this season had come against guys you'd expect him to have a shot to beat and rightfully, he'd lose most to the more experienced clay types. Andreev played some fairly solid dirt ball on the South American swing to start the year off before suffering through a poor Spring on hard courts. He injured his ankle on the clay in Madrid in May and may just now be feeling close to fit. Most will jump on the Swiss here, believing if he can beat Bellucci, he should mop up with Andreev. With Andreev's track record at this tournament and perhaps now some expectation on Chiudinelli after his win, I think the Russian's experience can win out here. Break point conversions/saves could be the big factor here, Andreev did a better job against Serra [3/7] while Chiudinelli only convered 1/7 against Bellucci. Andreev saved 7/10 of his own breakers, while Chiudinelli saved 4 of 7. Whomever wins out in those two categories is likely going to win this match IMO. Load that bullet, spin the chamber and get your Roulette on.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 08:43 AM

Originally posted by limitation

If you guys don't mind me asking, is it possible to watch the games online? What channel they are on? I am from US. Thanks!

Try channelsurfing.net or rojadirecta.org. There are others too that I forget off the top of my head.

**Regul8er** · 07-28-10, 08:44 AM

I love Bolelli today as well sir, unfortunately my book is down to +145. Still good value in my opinion.

**beefcake** · 07-28-10, 08:50 AM

Hmm,5 dimes took the dogo match off the board...

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 08:56 AM

Surprised it took this long. At 1am last night, Skugor was +120 compared to what people have said this morning, that is crazy. Really weird that two straight matches involving this guy have gone that way too. He's probably hoping for a healthy opponent if he makes the next round or the ATP might start investigating even though everything looks legit - just lots of injury assumptions.

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 09:05 AM

i was thinking about putting a little in on dolgo at +200 now to guarantee profit...i got skugor at +120....ill see.......i think i might also do a andreev/JCF parley...............good luck with the andreev play....i want to fade chiu too but its hard after he beat belluci...anything can happen....hope you hit

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 07-28-10, 09:06 AM

Dolgo has had a couple of fixes in the last year :-)

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW

Dolgo has had a couple of fixes in the last year :-)

hmmmmm.......with him winning those fixes? or losing them?

**Yezzir** · 07-28-10, 09:12 AM

G-T wins in 2.

Ferrero left for my 3 player parlay to cash.

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by Yezzir

G-T wins in 2.

Ferrero left for my 3 player parlay to cash.

best of luck to u then

....my 2 teamer cashed........gasquet/GT.

**ha1ogen** · 07-28-10, 09:22 AM

fvck pinny was down when i tried to bet on GT so i missed it, should have placed it the night before

**beefcake** · 07-28-10, 09:31 AM

Yikes..all of a sudden Dogo dropped from +200 to +145 at BET US...People hedging to make a profit or reverse Fix

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 09:34 AM

I want to parley tipseravic with someone...........who has a better chance of winning andreev or jcf?

**ha1ogen** · 07-28-10, 09:36 AM

i would say jcf

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 09:38 AM

thanx ha1ogen...was thinking jcf as well

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 09:45 AM

Defintely JCF. He killed Cuevas at the French this year.

**Yezzir** · 07-28-10, 09:48 AM

Dolgo is now back down to -110 on Bet365???

Now to +100?

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Defintely JCF. He killed Cuevas at the French this year.

done........parley ferrero/tipseravic (+101)..........

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 09:51 AM

Again, why I say RUN AWAY from these matches unless you made your play before the line movement because now everyone is sitting around wondering why is the line doing this, why is the long doing that? My thoughts are that the books reset it hoping to get people to go on Dolgopolov to try and offset the loss they're gonna get hammered with if Skugor wins. That's why you should never trust the line movement in tennis.

**newjerseydevils** · 07-28-10, 11:18 AM

stupid bolleli choked the first set away...what an idiot

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-28-10, 11:19 AM

Both Bolelli and Chela played like WTA idiots on-serve in the 1st serve, but Chela won the tie break. Bolelli could have easily rolled through that set after breaking Chela in his 1st service game. Blah.

Gstaad is done for today, Andreev leads Chiudinelli 2-1 in the 1st set when the rain hit.

**Wilforth** · 07-28-10, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by newjerseydevils

stupid bolleli choked the first set away...what an idiot

IDK why they do that.