EP36's Tennis Talk

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 01:45 PM

Originally posted by TennisBabe

Anderson actually beat Isner in that 2008 meeting. Isner also won 3 head to head matchups in college against him. Isner wins today

This new puppy I have must be lowering my comprehension rate. Sorry for the miscues on the stats folks, lack of sleep catches your eyes.

TennisBabe · 07-24-10, 01:50 PM

Isner looks dead on the court. Oh no

michalis · 07-24-10, 01:51 PM

babes how do you know about the college h2h?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 01:55 PM

Pretty sure Isner is just working for the tie break and hoping to take it home there. He's not expending any energy on Anderson's serve and Anderson hasn't done hardly anything with Isner's serve in this set, so I think he's trying to manage himself into the tie break and then use his energy there to win. Of course that's dangerous if he falters there.

TennisBabe · 07-24-10, 01:58 PM

Read about the college head to head in an article.

Isner definitely playing for the tiebreaker which is always dangerous, although you can't argue with his hardcourt tiebreak record. A bit nervous....

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:00 PM

Double faults just boned this.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

CHALLENGER PLAY KUZNETSOV +105 A good revenge spot for the American here against Carsten Ball. Ball beat him last week at the Aptos event in three sets. The first set went to a tie break and upon losing it, Kuznetsov seemed to lose his focus. He was beaten 6-1 in the 2nd and then 6-4 as Ball advanced to the QFS before losing in the semis. Kuznetsov beat Ball earlier in the year on a hard surface in Tallahassee. Kuznetsov seems to have taken a shine to these Lexington courts in the past year. He made the finals here last year, having to go all the way through qualifying. He earned his spot here in the main draw this year and has been solid this week. Ball has played pretty much non-stop the last two weeks as he's been playing doubles as well. Should be nice & hot in Kentucky again today which could help wear Ball down.

This is out to +135. Taking it at that price now. Waited to see what would happen here.

TennisBabe · 07-24-10, 02:02 PM

Wish my book had inplay option. I'd hedge in a second. A win here will be pure luck

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:03 PM

Somehow saved himself from losing that game. Would be nice if Anderson would just lose his mind and get broken here.

TennisBabe · 07-24-10, 02:05 PM

Only way Anderson would be broken the rest of this match is if he served 4 double faults.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:08 PM

I took Anderson at +500 to cover most of what I would lose if Isner doesn't finish this off and wouldn't take much off the winning profit if Isner can somehow win this in a tie break.

Tsonga · 07-24-10, 02:09 PM

if this goes 3 sets i could see anderson taking it....isner looks like he's got heat exhaustion.

mighty maron · 07-24-10, 02:09 PM

what happens to the bets if Isner loses 2nd set and then withdraws sometime in 3rd?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:10 PM

Set betting, matches have to go the distance. Would be cancelled if either one retired. Isner about to choke this set, so go Anderson beat his ass in the 3rd.

Tsonga · 07-24-10, 02:13 PM

isner got it back to deuce - now has a game point to take it to a tie-break

Tsonga · 07-24-10, 02:14 PM

i'd say the way isner is playing he will lose the tie-break.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:16 PM

Somehow Isner maintains and gets to the tie break. Clouds may save this yet.

Tsonga · 07-24-10, 02:17 PM

tie-break....7-4 anderson is my prediction...but I would'nt mind if isner won.

mighty maron · 07-24-10, 02:19 PM

from a sportsfan aspect, it is an entertaining match...seeing if Isner can eek accross the line and not get to third set

Tsonga · 07-24-10, 02:21 PM

wow - isner gets lucky with a df by anderson...3-3

colout · 07-24-10, 02:31 PM

Anderson got lucky in that tiebreak! Isner will kick his ass in the 3. set!

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 02:31 PM

Choked. Go Anderson.

Goat Milk · 07-24-10, 02:31 PM

just saw the score for the seppi match. another huge underdog I took for the second straight tourney to win it all and both of them (traver, seppi) get knocked out in semi's.

scyred · 07-24-10, 02:33 PM

bullshit isner...wth keeping give points away from double faults

rumple · 07-24-10, 03:12 PM

Did you polish middle yourself?

colout · 07-24-10, 03:13 PM

As I said .. Isner show some heart in the third sets and won surely!

CindyCryBaby · 07-24-10, 03:28 PM

Sigh. Live bet anderson to win third set at +187. Good heart from Isner.

PetrGasparik · 07-24-10, 03:42 PM

EP, thanks for Fish/Isner future. It looks really solid now!

I will be next week on holiday, do you have any future for Gstaadt/LA/Umag Stanford/Istanbul?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 04:06 PM

I usually don't look at futures until my books puts up prices. Just looking at the draws real quick so take it with a grain of salt. Just looking at these two for now.

LA
Querrey is the defending champ and has a good draw it looks like. Guessing he will be the prohibitive favorite to repeat. Still think you need at least +200 to make futures worth it. I don't think he'll be that high though. I wouldn't even bother with Andy Murray. #1 seeds don't often win this event and he has some potential trouble spots up top with good hard court types depending on their form like Gulbis, Lopez and Fish. However, if he is undervalued, might be worth a look. Maybe Fish at decent money if he loses today because he might be tired if he plays the final Sunday at Atlanta.

GSTAAD
Almagro could be a good one to look at here. Disappointing 1st round exit this week after winning a title the week before. He has a workable draw. Don't bother with Youzhny as the top seed. Gasquet could be a nice longshot try. He's won here a long time ago and has a good draw through the 1st two rounds. He also has Montanes in his quarter though, but who knows which Montanes is gonna show up.

PetrGasparik · 07-24-10, 04:35 PM

Thanks!

rumple · 07-24-10, 09:32 PM

Im curious why you bet Isner to win in 2 and then picked up Anderson +500 after the 1st set? Why bet Isner in 2 in the first place?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 09:45 PM

I picked up Anderson at +500 when it was 5-5 in the 2nd and Isner had just been lucky to keep himself on serve. At that point, Isner looked like he was going to blow the set somehow and he did.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-24-10, 11:44 PM

SUNDAY

CHALLENGER PLAY

LOJDA +115
The young Czech takes on an even younger Russian in Andrey Kuznetsov. Kuznetsov is a talented youngster who won the Wimbledon juniors in 2009, but is still learning his way through even the Challenger level. This is his best result to date. Lojda meanwhile has been on a solid dirt run in Challengers with 4 of his last 5 tournaments resulting in QF appearances and this being his best result of the season. His week in Poznan has been more impressive, capped off with a QF demolishment of #1 seed Peter Luczak. Kuznetsov has been needing 3 sets to get by in most of his matches here. It will be an interesting clash here between two youngsters not used to being in position to getting to a final. If Lojda can continue to serve as well as he has this entire week, I think he has a legit shot to advance.

jojo85 · 07-25-10, 05:04 AM

bad beat, lojda choked with a break up in the third...

EaglesPhan36 · 07-25-10, 01:38 PM

Real bad. He was up 4-1 and was serving, blew that. Let the guy back to even at 4-4 and then broke to go up 5-4. Serving for the match, got broke to go 5-5. Then broke the guy right back to go up 6-5 and serving for the set. Broke again and then rolled in the tie break. Pretty poor.