Some games are too easy to cap

**63M1N1** · 07-23-19, 09:39 AM

ATP 250 hard to cap. Busta managed to win yesterday real tight and Hanfmann was on home court. It could have easily go both ways so this time you got lucky 😁

**Gaze73** · 07-23-19, 09:50 AM

Busta is a class above Hanfmann who also lost his last game, the odds were crazy I think.

**Gaze73** · 07-23-19, 10:07 AM

I like Istomin @1.83 because who the fuk is Huessler? Nobody.

**nuxx??** · 07-23-19, 11:23 AM

This is another case of someone who didnt watch this live, but instead checked scores after the match and thinks something is easy to cap. 7-6, 6-4 is not an "easy cap", especially when Hanfmann had 5-4 and serve in tiebreak but choked.

What a garbage thread.

**PAULYPOKER** · 07-23-19, 12:11 PM

After the fact as usual...........

**63M1N1** · 07-23-19, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by nuxx??

This is another case of someone who didnt watch this live, but instead checked scores after the match and thinks something is easy to cap. 7-6, 6-4 is not an "easy cap", especially when Hanfmann had 5-4 and serve in tiebreak but choked.

What a garbage thread.

Thats is exactly what I was thinking about.Whenever I see some juicy odd I would rather not bet because if you think for a second that you got a edge over bookie simply because their mistake you are screwed.

**Gaze73** · 07-23-19, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by nuxx??

This is another case of someone who didnt watch this live, but instead checked scores after the match and thinks something is easy to cap. 7-6, 6-4 is not an "easy cap", especially when Hanfmann had 5-4 and serve in tiebreak but choked.

What a garbage thread.

He won in straight sets what the hell more do you want? 6:2 6:3? I wasn't betting on a -6.5 handicap. Hanfmann lost fair and square because he's a trash player.

After the fact as usual...........

I posted Istomin too and he also won easily against a nobody at great odds.

Whenever I see some juicy odd I would rather not bet because if you think for a second that you got a edge over bookie simply because their mistake you are screwed.

What are you saying, that bookies don't make mistakes? If you don't think you have an edge then why are you betting? Also when we're talking about closing prices then it's not the bookie's mistake but the market's. If the market thinks that rank 270 nobodies have a shot because they're on home court then good for me.

**DavidGoliath5003** · 07-23-19, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by Gaze73

Carreno Busta vs Hanfmann. Me: "Who the fuk is Hanfmann? Busta ML!" And of course he won easily. I'll look closer into the "WTF" angle when the odds are so good.

Gaze... busta was down a break in the 1st set.. i watched the match, Hanafmanns nerves killed him come closing time. Hannafmann was also up 5-4 up a mini break and blew the tiebreaker. Hannafmann will be good one day.

This was far from easy money considering Hannafman lost the match more than Busta won it.

**Gaze73** · 07-23-19, 02:51 PM

It's part of the equation that inexperienced players will do stupid mistakes when winning.

**PharaohUB** · 07-24-19, 02:03 PM

You will lose real fast with that logic. Usually when I go "who the F is that" and the line seems pretty tight. I bet on the "who the F is that" guy and I come out way ahead over time.

**DavidGoliath5003** · 07-24-19, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

You will lose real fast with that logic. Usually when I go "who the F is that" and the line seems pretty tight. I bet on the "who the F is that" guy and I come out way ahead over time.

exactly this.

**Gaze73** · 07-24-19, 04:43 PM

We'll see, I track every micro angle I have separately, I bet I'll hit at least 60% fading nobodies.

**nuxx??** · 07-25-19, 03:17 AM

"Who the F is that" is not a betting angle, just means you're not closely following the said sport.

**Poisec** · 07-25-19, 04:45 AM

Joao Sousa odds today surprisingly high (1.55) against Marco Moroni.

**The Expert** · 07-25-19, 05:11 AM

Originally posted by nuxx??

"Who the F is that" is not a betting angle, just means you're not closely following the said sport.

This is true. Of course you can win on that angle, though on the long-run you won't beat bookmakers on angle that is based on your lack of knowledge.

**Poisec** · 07-25-19, 05:35 AM

Originally posted by Poisec

Joao Sousa odds today surprisingly high (1.55) against Marco Moroni.

Quoting my own post. Will stay away, realized Moroni had a solid run through the qualies + round 1, Sousa probably wins but maybe not worth it at these odds.

**WaveRunner33** · 07-25-19, 05:41 AM

Agree. Sousa probably wins but not worth the risk here

**DavidGoliath5003** · 07-25-19, 06:39 AM

Joao Sousa slated for kitzbul main draw on the 29th

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 07-25-19, 07:15 AM

op is interesting, either whines about his losses or struts around claiming how easy gambling is

**DavidGoliath5003** · 07-25-19, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by Poisec

Quoting my own post. Will stay away, realized Moroni had a solid run through the qualies + round 1, Sousa probably wins but maybe not worth it at these odds.

Matchup wise Sousa on a fast court should be 1.33 ish imo. Moroni would have to be lights out

**Gaze73** · 07-25-19, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by nuxx??

"Who the F is that" is not a betting angle, just means you're not closely following the said sport.

How's this for an angle: "ATP Rank 60- vs rank 200+ when odds are 1.7+ and the fav isn't awful at the surface". I wouldn't touch Sousa today.

**Dr.Gonzo** · 07-25-19, 09:28 PM

The clarity that one finds after the event.

**Grivas_Digeni** · 07-26-19, 01:07 AM

Originally posted by Gaze73

How's this for an angle: "ATP Rank 60- vs rank 200+ when odds are 1.7+ and the fav isn't awful at the surface". I wouldn't touch Sousa today.

TRENDS... who are you, brad powers