Betting Tips & Free Plays for WTA Singapore

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-24-15, 01:11 PM

Top Play for WTA Singapore Day 1 is already available at: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tenn...ction-a-65264/

What are your thoughts about tomorrow matches?

**frugalgambler** · 10-24-15, 04:01 PM

Nice preview, thanks for your thoughts. You really think Flavia will be trying hard, and not just doing all the media parties for her last appearance as the sweetheart of the Tour ? Hmm.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-24-15, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Nice preview, thanks for your thoughts. You really think Flavia will be trying hard, and not just doing all the media parties for her last appearance as the sweetheart of the Tour ? Hmm.

Thank you!

Flavia made a terrific performance last week in Moscow against Gavrilova in order to qualify for this event, she was really determined because her biggest goal after her retirement announcement was to qualify for this tournament. From what I saw and read in her interviews, she wants to go out in glory and US Open title will be a massive boost to her confidence.

The tennis odds for Flavia to qualify for semifinals are absurd. Not only can she produce outstanding tennis but she has on her group two players that were injured before this event. Radwanska is a tough opponent but Pennetta has weapons to defeat her and 9.00 on her is just insane.

**frugalgambler** · 10-24-15, 04:28 PM

Yeah, I like those odds a lot. Too bad, the only futures option I am getting right now is Flavia to win the event at +1800, which definitely not the same as +900 for her to make the semis. I'll see if I can find her recent interviews after qualifying. In any case, I like your thoughts and your first play.

I think Kvitova has the best chance to win it, but she had mono recently and it is not clear if she is fully healthy. We have four players, Safarova, Halep, Sharapova and Kvitova, who might have health issues. Mugu also had some injuries in Asia. Wow. So that leaves Flavia, Agga and Kerber as 100% healthy. Funny situation.

Also, Kvitova, Safarova and Sharapova will be playing the Fed Cup final next week. Just another wrinkle.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-24-15, 04:40 PM

Muguruza had an ankle problem in Wuhan but after that played in Beijing where she won the title so don't think there are any problems with her.

Kvitova problems affect her physical condition however on Indoor the points are shorter and she might be able to play very short points with her left handed slice and powerful groundstrokes.

**frugalgambler** · 10-24-15, 04:55 PM

Btw, I think the +900 odds are for Pennetta to win the group not just to qualify for the semis (currently at +800).

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-24-15, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Btw, I think the +900 odds are for Pennetta to win the group not just to qualify for the semis (currently at +800).

Yes that's true miss explained myself on that betting analysis, thanks for the correction!

**BennyBigNuts** · 10-25-15, 03:53 AM

Originally posted by MGTennisTipster

Yes that's true miss explained myself on that betting analysis, thanks for the correction!

What's your old account?

It's on the tip of my tongue but I can't remember it.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-25-15, 04:21 AM

What do you mean by my old account?

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-25-15, 04:39 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Nice preview, thanks for your thoughts. You really think Flavia will be trying hard, and not just doing all the media parties for her last appearance as the sweetheart of the Tour ? Hmm.

This first match was outstanding from Halep. Flavia didn't play that bad but Simona backhand down the line was superb.

**frugalgambler** · 10-25-15, 09:36 AM

Did not watch the 1st match. The 2nd one was pretty good. Sharapova won in her usual fashion, she showed some rust and Agga was playing well, but ultimately Sharapova's power was too much for Agga, as usual.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-25-15, 02:28 PM

Top Play for WTA Singapore Day 2 is already available at: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tenn...ction-a-65316/

What are your thoughts about tomorrow matches?

**frugalgambler** · 10-25-15, 03:24 PM

Hmm. The last 4 Kvitova-Kerber matches went to three sets. As you pointed out, Kvitova is not very consistent, even when she is at her best. Kerber seems to have taken a step to the next level this year, in that she is a bit more mentally tough. So I like the over here, although it is set quite high at 22 games. Kerber might win in two, though.

The second match features two newcomers. Mugz is clearly much more in form, but Safarova plays well as a dog and she is a queen of tie-breaks. And b/c Safarova will also be playing doubles, I think this is her best chance to do something in singles. I think o19.5 might be worth a shot. Something like 6-2 7-6 would do nicely. GL.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-25-15, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Hmm. The last 4 Kvitova-Kerber matches went to three sets. As you pointed out, Kvitova is not very consistent, even when she is at her best. Kerber seems to have taken a step to the next level this year, in that she is a bit more mentally tough. So I like the over here, although it is set quite high at 22 games. Kerber might win in two, though.

The second match features two newcomers. Mugz is clearly much more in form, but Safarova plays well as a dog and she is a queen of tie-breaks. And b/c Safarova will also be playing doubles, I think this is her best chance to do something in singles. I think o19.5 might be worth a shot. Something like 6-2 7-6 would do nicely. GL.

Thank you for your thoughts. The over sounds good too but couldn't run away from the true value that was Kvitova. She might lose this but playing in one of her two favorite game conditions (Grass is the other) in a match where things are all on her racket while Kerber will just try to extend the rallies waiting for an error, cannot run away from the value. Petra as underdog is the value bet on that match, she should win more than 5 out of 10 matches against Kerber on this conditions so we have value.

Safarova has been absolutelly terrible lately, but Muguruza likes to complicate things so the value it's solid imo too.

Thank you once again and best of luck!

**frugalgambler** · 10-25-15, 08:36 PM

Thank you for the feedback. I might consider Kvitova's ML as well. The players are saying they are healthy, and we saw that Halep and Sharapova were not lying, so let's hope Kvitova and Safarova are healthy as well. What is funny is that Safarova already played Muguruza in Singpore, in doubles that is. Safarova's team won.

Btw, Sharapova got a perfect group for getting her timing back: no power hitters means a lot of rallies for her and we know that is stubborn enough not to give up. I think Flavia is there just as a tourist, so that probably means Sharapova has a decent chance to make it to the finals.

**jtoler** · 10-26-15, 12:49 AM

The Kerbster 1st set, if she loses 1st, which a I doubt, she will win the 2nd.

**Falco88** · 10-26-15, 05:05 AM

Safarova had a quite serious health issues. After US, she was hospitalized for 5 days and wasnt able to eat/drink, lost few pounds.. Thats the reason why she played that bad in Linz/Moscow.

**frugalgambler** · 10-26-15, 09:31 AM

Kerber won in two, as I was afraid of. And even though there was a TB, it still went under. Too bad. I caught only a wild ending to the 2nd set: first Kerber gets broken serving at 5-4 30-0, then Kvitova does not convert two set points at 5-6 15-40. Anyhoo, from the 3-4 games I saw, it looks like Kvitova's timing is way off and she just might not care that much about this event this year. That does not mean she will not be going for it against Mugz/Safarova though, but the talk is that Kvitova wants to win the Fed Cup next week so she would not really mind going home early.

How did the first match look ? Is Safarova playing better ?

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-26-15, 10:02 AM

Kvitova was just too inconsistent today with a terrible performance but is important to mention that even playing that bad she had many chances to collect the second set while Kerber defense was outstanding. If Kvitova played at 80% of her best she would have won this match that was totally on her racket but today just too erratic.

Safarova didn't play bad, her left handed slice serve and getting the ball very early were quite effective against a heavy player who isn't very fast. However Lucie made too many errors and mentally quite poor. I rate Safarova as a very decent player, I prefer to watch her on clay where her top spin forehand is more effective and she gets more time to prepare the forehand but she can do well on faster tracks as well. The main problem for Lucie is that head, she needs victories to get some confidence otherwise she can self-destruct herself and play awful tennis under pressure.
Can't see Lucie winning a single match on this event, too much lack of confidence to play against the top players.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-26-15, 10:36 AM

Top Play for WTA Singapore Day 3 is already available at: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tenn...apova-a-65322/

What are your thoughts about tomorrow matches?

**ManeOnFire** · 10-26-15, 10:41 AM

Do you think Muguruza's serving in the first set was out of the ordinary **-it was really good.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-26-15, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by ManeOnFire

Do you think Muguruza's serving in the first set was out of the ordinary **-it was really good.

What I most like about Muguruza is how early she hits the ball and puts all her height on her groundstrokes. She can combine very well things on serve, opening the court and getting early on the ball to take time from her opponents. She was doing that quite well on first serve however I find her return to serve as the most impressive thing on her game

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-26-15, 04:53 PM

Top Play for WTA Singapore Day 4 is already available at: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tenn...day-4-a-65348/

What are your thoughts about Wednesday matches?

**Timmah2483** · 10-26-15, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Btw, I think the +900 odds are for Pennetta to win the group not just to qualify for the semis (currently at +800).

Pennetta to win the group is at +4000 now why jump at +900 days ago?

**frugalgambler** · 10-26-15, 08:47 PM

I think I agree with you on Halep tomorrow. It is not the deciding match too, which should help her nerves. I like both ML and 1st set. Also, Agga -5.5 @+150 might hold some value: I think Flavia will try harder but Agga is quite good at winning convincingly against "not high-power opps." GL.

**frugalgambler** · 10-27-15, 04:02 PM

A pretty surprising 2nd day. This is WTA for you. Flavia might still very well win the group.

**dtp** · 10-27-15, 11:12 PM

Has MGtip's picks been horrible since he started posting or just when I notice them?

**frugalgambler** · 10-28-15, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by dtp

Has MGtip's picks been horrible since he started posting or just when I notice them?

I think they are hit and miss. But in any case, it is nice to read his legible write-ups.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-28-15, 09:38 AM

Thanks for your thoughts just to give some ideas about the work:

The purpose of the tennis articles is not only to provide one tennis bet, but a full analysis on the match / tournament and what might happen during that match / tournament.
For example last week there were some articles where the value on underdog was pointed and the pick selected was the over, however the underdog performed better than expected and won the match with under. In that match the analysis on value in the underdog was correct but not the pick selected. Diversification is always a good idea whenever there is value on underdog, if you bet 100$ you can make the following split: 25$ on ML; 25$ on Over; 25$ on underdog game handicap; 25$ on underdog set handicap.
This week on this tournament we pointed the value on Pennetta and betting on her in every match would have been very profitable so far.

Before the next season there will be published some articles regarding tennis betting and one of them might be about how to read the articles and extract value from them. That diversification strattegy on the underdog is just an example on how to do it and more will be analyzed.

Thanks once again for the comments and reading

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-28-15, 10:16 AM

Top Play for WTA Singapore Day 5 is already available at: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tenn...anska-a-65420/

What are your thoughts about tomorrow matches?

**frugalgambler** · 10-28-15, 09:53 PM

GL, MGT. I dunno about this one: Agga has nothing to lose and Halep is not that good under pressure. Might be closer than you think, although the line did drift from -150 to -190 for Halep.

The 2nd match is gonna be very interesting too: Flavia has pretty good stats against Sharapova, with all five previous h2h matches going to three sets. This means Flavia knows how to exploit Masha's weaknesses. Sharapova will qualify by winning just one set, and Flavia also has a chance to qualify with a win, depending on the outcome of the first match. I think it is gonna be a tight one, with Pennetta leaving everything on the court. One thing to worry is that Flavia might be too tight tomorrow because this is potentially her last match ever, so she might not cover, but let's hope she can handle the pressure.

**frugalgambler** · 10-29-15, 04:07 AM

Wow, Halep fell apart after losing the 1st set tie-break from a 5-1 lead. That means that all you Pennetta group futures holders can easily hedge with Masha's ML: if Flavia wins she wins the group.

Sharapova is thus already qualified for the semis. I think the way the math is working: Flavia needs to win or Agga will qualify, barring a really bizarre score line like 0-6 7-6 7-6 for Sharapova. If it was anybody else, I would be real comfortable with Flavia's chances, but Sharapova might actually try hard in the meaningless match. Masha just hates to lose. Should be a fun match, too bad I cannot stay up for that long.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-29-15, 04:15 AM

Halep loss puts Pennetta with chances to win the group and as you pointed, solid opportunity to guarantee profit with bet on Sharapova.

About the match, Halep was clearly the better player on court in first set however showed all her mental weakness with so many chokes. She had 3 - 1 with 2 bp for 4 - 1 and couldn't convert, had so many chances just converting 1/9 bp on first set, had 5 - 1 lead on tie break just to lose 5 - 7. Radwanska played some of her best tennis of the year but still Halep should have won that first set.

**MGTennisTipster** · 10-29-15, 04:01 PM

Top Play for WTA Singapore Day 6 is already available at: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tenn...uruza-a-65481/

What are your thoughts about tomorrow matches?