Us open ml dogs

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  • Chaz22
    SBR MVP
    • 09-30-10
    • 1152

    #1
    Us open ml dogs
    so again this is about dogs only.

    Strategy is very simple, you select 3 - 5 dogs, put 1 unit on them, and if 2 of them win you are a winner.

    Day 1.


    Carreno Busta @ 2.7 vs freakin Jano

    So Carreno did look decent in winston-salem playing against scrubs but then again Jano is a scrub and can go crazy any moment so this is selectable

    Mayer F. @ 4 vs Klizan

    yeah, Mayer has not played a lot, and Klizan has, but I don't see that big of a difference between them as odds suggest here. If Mayer is physically fit enough, he has a chance of pulling this through.

    Gonzalez @ 2.5 vs Krajinovic

    getting through qualies is not easy, but Gonzalez did it without loosing a set and Krajinovic has not played on hard courts this summer so this is worth a bet.

    BOL
  • slayer14
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-12-13
    • 22027

    #2
    Kuznetsova looks a decent bet against mladovic
    Comment
    • Chaz22
      SBR MVP
      • 09-30-10
      • 1152

      #3
      probably, but i don't follow women tennis as it's too unpredictable....
      Comment
      • brodie
        SBR MVP
        • 11-25-13
        • 2212

        #4
        alejandro seems too easy what has the serb done to be the favorite here?
        Comment
        • Dmoneytx
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-09-12
          • 6450

          #5
          BOL Chazz!!! i might tail after the first few days.. Hope you get a good start here. Cheers!!!
          Comment
          • ManeOnFire
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-13-14
            • 851

            #6
            On Gonzalez! Let's hope he's hot like Mexico.
            Comment
            • jtoler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-17-13
              • 30982

              #7
              Originally posted by Chaz22
              probably, but i don't follow women tennis as it's too unpredictable....
              thought u beat dmoney in a contest awhile back.
              Comment
              • Chaz22
                SBR MVP
                • 09-30-10
                • 1152

                #8
                Originally posted by jtoler
                thought u beat dmoney in a contest awhile back.
                True that...
                Comment
                • ManeOnFire
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-13-14
                  • 851

                  #9
                  Does your boy Ymer take this easily today C?
                  Comment
                  • Chaz22
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-30-10
                    • 1152

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ManeOnFire
                    Does your boy Ymer take this easily today C?
                    i though he would but Schwartzman had shown some life on hard courts this season so not a big surprise...

                    I was more surprised at Klizan vs Mayer match. That was one pathetic event to say the least. Klizan looked in really bad shape but if compared to Mayer then i would say Klizan looked more than good. One is for sure - Chardy will kick him hard next round.
                    Comment
                    • Chaz22
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-30-10
                      • 1152

                      #11
                      early options for Day 2...

                      Krajicek @ 3.3 vs Giraldo
                      Melzer @ 2.8 vs Kudla
                      Nishioka @ 3.1 vs Mathiue
                      Young @ 3.5 vs Simon

                      I think 2 or 3 will go through here.
                      Comment
                      • hotelis
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-31-12
                        • 1995

                        #12
                        What are your thought on Bedene ( @2,63)v Gulbis? Gulbis has had a rocky season. 1 set point away from beating Jokovic, then lost 2 in a row as a favourite...
                        Comment
                        • Chaz22
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-30-10
                          • 1152

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hotelis
                          What are your thought on Bedene ( @2,63)v Gulbis? Gulbis has had a rocky season. 1 set point away from beating Jokovic, then lost 2 in a row as a favourite...
                          Yes, this is one of the matches i have my eyes on, but somehow I don't trust neither of these players. Bedene can surely win, but i'll skip this.
                          Comment
                          • gotov
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-16-10
                            • 198

                            #14
                            Thoughts on Zverev ?
                            Comment
                            • Chaz22
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-30-10
                              • 1152

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gotov
                              Thoughts on Zverev ?
                              will be tough, but is selectable. Kohelschreiber is such a tanker.
                              Comment
                              • adila1401
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-16-11
                                • 2014

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Chaz22
                                early options for Day 2...

                                Krajicek @ 3.3 vs Giraldo
                                Melzer @ 2.8 vs Kudla
                                Nishioka @ 3.1 vs Mathiue
                                Young @ 3.5 vs Simon

                                I think 2 or 3 will go through here.
                                Nice calls today man,
                                Comment
                                • brodie
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-25-13
                                  • 2212

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Chaz22
                                  early options for Day 2...

                                  Krajicek @ 3.3 vs Giraldo
                                  Melzer @ 2.8 vs Kudla
                                  Nishioka @ 3.1 vs Mathiue
                                  Young @ 3.5 vs Simon

                                  I think 2 or 3 will go through here.

                                  jesus christ.
                                  Comment
                                  • Semper Fidelis
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-22-11
                                    • 1999

                                    #18
                                    Holy shit Chaz, a $100 parlay of these dogs would've paid nearly $10k (~$9925.39)!!! Very nice calls, I remember you being pretty solid picking the last few GS tourneys.
                                    Great job, looking forward to future picks my man!
                                    Comment
                                    • Semper Fidelis
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-22-11
                                      • 1999

                                      #19
                                      For tomorrow I really like Cuevas, Fish, and Klizan, and to a lesser extent (still good value) Verdasco, Ilhan, and Groth. Very interested in your thoughts on the potential of those dogs, as well as others you feel offer great value (such as maybe Carreno-Busta, Krajinovic, or Gabashvili).
                                      Comment
                                      • adila1401
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-16-11
                                        • 2014

                                        #20
                                        Raonic didn't practice today due to back spasms..Verdasco worth a bet especially at books that grade early retirement action such as 5d
                                        Comment
                                        • Chaz22
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-30-10
                                          • 1152

                                          #21
                                          yeah, 't was a nice surprise to get them all. Added more dogs yesterday which I didn't post here, and they all lost without doubt....still got some boost from these 4 dogs.

                                          Day 3

                                          Well, I wouldn't touch Klizan or Fish, both of them looked more than bad. Klizan was absolute trash but got lucky to get Mayer who should retire after putting that kind of a performance as he did. Fish will get smoked as he was just slightly better than small Italian average clay courter...

                                          Cuevas vs Fognini is almost no value there. Fognini is a stronger player, he won his first match convincingly, he might loose here, but Cuevas sucks on hard courts, so this is a true coin toss.

                                          Now I would advise the following:

                                          Verdasco @ 2.8 vs (not in-form Raonic)

                                          Yeah, Nando did play 5 sets in round 1 but Milos is really struggling this year with all the injuries...

                                          Groth @ 3.7
                                          vs (Robredo)

                                          If Groth could take care of Dolgopolov, I don't see any reason why Robredo couldn't go the same passage.

                                          Kukushkin @ 5.45
                                          (vs Dimitrov)

                                          This will be very interesting. Kuku does not deserve such great odds on him, is well prepared for this Open. So it's just who will win the big points.

                                          also to consider:

                                          Krajinovic @ 5.87
                                          vs (Ferrer)

                                          You have to bet against Ferrer every round now. Krajinovic surprised me by winning 1st round with such ease. Still think this can go Ferrer's way, but if Serb serves well, he might have a chance.
                                          Comment
                                          • Conqueror
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-08-13
                                            • 16778

                                            #22
                                            Nice picks except Kukushkin. Can't throw my money away on Kukushkin to beat Dimitrov. Yes Dimitrov is overrated here but won't lose to Kukushkin.
                                            Comment
                                            • CraigNet8
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 04-02-15
                                              • 43

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Chaz22
                                              early options for Day 2...

                                              Krajicek @ 3.3 vs Giraldo
                                              Melzer @ 2.8 vs Kudla
                                              Nishioka @ 3.1 vs Mathiue
                                              Young @ 3.5 vs Simon

                                              I think 2 or 3 will go through here.
                                              Well played!
                                              Comment
                                              • ProDane
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 08-03-15
                                                • 261

                                                #24
                                                Great day 2 picks.

                                                Think I am going on the Groth bet as a single.
                                                Comment
                                                • KingHutch
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 06-02-15
                                                  • 335

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice stuff, great picks bloke
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jeff_Black
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-04-15
                                                    • 3571

                                                    #26
                                                    Just be careful, Dogopolov had tennis elbow when he retired so he may have been legitamely hurt. Robredo had a strong showing here last year so treading with caution with him. He will fight the game like a dog and go to 5 if he has to which Im not sure if Groth can do but thankfully there is a tiebreaker then.
                                                    Still otherwise solid picks, keep up the good work
                                                    Comment
                                                    • adila1401
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-16-11
                                                      • 2014

                                                      #27
                                                      Verdasco should have taken it to 5th and you never know what happens but got a big one hit in Kukushkin @ 5.45 (vs Dimitrov) for +$ day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brodie
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-25-13
                                                        • 2212

                                                        #28
                                                        my niga chaz kush was easy at +games wish i had the nuts to put it on the ML good hit brotha
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Conqueror
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-08-13
                                                          • 16778

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                          Nice picks except Kukushkin. Can't throw my money away on Kukushkin to beat Dimitrov. Yes Dimitrov is overrated here but won't lose to Kukushkin.
                                                          My apology.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Chaz22
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-30-10
                                                            • 1152

                                                            #30
                                                            Good man Kukushkin, was battling all the way, I thought he would give it up in 5th but nooooo....

                                                            also, notice that yesterday this was the only dog win in men section which is a bit of a surprise....today i don't think it will go same way, so in couple of hours I'll post some new selections. Gotta catch some breakfast now...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Conqueror
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-08-13
                                                              • 16778

                                                              #31
                                                              I like these:
                                                              Nishioka +245
                                                              Youzhny +325
                                                              Rosol +240

                                                              For WTA bettors I think more than half of the dogs could win but please don't fade Azarenka.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CraigNet8
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 04-02-15
                                                                • 43

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                                Nice picks except Kukushkin. Can't throw my money away on Kukushkin to beat Dimitrov. Yes Dimitrov is overrated here but won't lose to Kukushkin.
                                                                Not being a rooster but lol ... every other pick lost!

                                                                Will be interesting to see the Kukushkin/Cilic match. Cilic was a disgrace in the first round!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Chaz22
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-30-10
                                                                  • 1152

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Ok, so here we go with a brief look into each and every matchup today except for Fed and Murray - not even worth mentioning their games.

                                                                  Day 4

                                                                  Bellucci vs Nishioka

                                                                  At first glance I thought this might be a good dog to select, cause Nishi is playing well lately and Bellucci is not 2 levels in front of him.
                                                                  But that said, Nishioka now has played 14 sets vs 3 sets that Bellucci has played. He's not even 20ty right? so even if he manages to put some fight
                                                                  I highly doubt that he'll end up as a winner here. So skipping this.

                                                                  Bedene - Young

                                                                  This can go either way, and odds are just too little to invest on Bedene, even if he is fresher than Young who had a hell of a match against Simon.

                                                                  Bemelmans vs Sock

                                                                  Very tempting odds on Belgian, but Sock has more experience and crowd behind him. They played recently and it was a close match, so it's not like Sock is
                                                                  huge favourite here so I'll take it.

                                                                  Troicki vs Ram

                                                                  Yes, take Ram. Troicki for sure has more skill and talent but he's lost his form somewhat lately.

                                                                  Wawa vs Chung

                                                                  I actually think Chung can pull this through. Wawrinka is so overrated when not in his blistering form and he's not so this can be an upset of the day.

                                                                  Istomin vs Thiem

                                                                  No interest in this match. Thiem will probably win in 4 or 5

                                                                  Mahut - GGL

                                                                  Take GGL, Mahut ain't gonna win 2 matches here.

                                                                  Vesely - Karlovic

                                                                  Big man Ivo will win.

                                                                  Anderssn vs Krajicek

                                                                  Now this is my match of the day. Andersson is a huge favourite and seemingly in good form, but at some point he'll cacth fatigue and Krajicek is capebale of taking him down
                                                                  odds are crazy.

                                                                  Berdych - Melzer

                                                                  no chance for Austrian veteran here.

                                                                  Isner - Youzhny

                                                                  Yes, take Youzhny. He has picked up form lately and even though Isner will be a tough nut to crack he has a decent chance.

                                                                  Haase - Gasquet

                                                                  Although frenchie struggled in round 1 he should cruise here unless retirement is planned.

                                                                  Kohlshrieber - Rosol

                                                                  2 suckers playing this out, Rosol should loose.

                                                                  Tomic- Hewitt

                                                                  Tomic should win, but this is Hewitt's last year right, so this can get special. Maybe I'll put a penny or 2 on Leyton, but this depends how other results end.


                                                                  So Conclusion:

                                                                  Bemelmans @ 5.5 vs Sock
                                                                  Ram @ 3 vs Troicki
                                                                  Chung @ 6 vs Wawa
                                                                  Krajicek @ 7 vs Anderson
                                                                  Youzhny @ 4 vs Isner


                                                                  and maybe

                                                                  Hewitt @ 3.2 vs Tomic
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JohnnyRudeboy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-30-09
                                                                    • 1646

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Appreciate your thoughts and possibly the only person confidently agreed on Ram!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JohnnyRudeboy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-30-09
                                                                      • 1646

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I do think the court, as well as the crowd, should give Isner an ample boost today. Balls should be leaving smoke-trails off Louis Armstrong, definitely the hottest stadium with the least amount of breeze.
                                                                      Comment
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