quick qualies

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  • lucasdawg
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-13
    • 3399

    #1
    quick qualies
    noticed some action on the qualis today

    parlay 1 - 5units

    E Roger-Vasselin v C Buchanan

    M Erakovic v L Dominguez Lino

    F Krajinovic v O Jasika

    parlay 2 - 3units

    A Gonzalez v J Duckworth

    S Darcis v N Gombos

    D Brown v R Bemelmans
  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #2
    You noticed some action? What's that supposed to mean... You noticed that qualifiers are being played today??

    At any rate I don't like much on today's card, but Falla @ 3+ is a must play to me.
    Comment
    • lucasdawg
      SBR MVP
      • 02-19-13
      • 3399

      #3
      yeah i was thinking bout falla +3 or overs
      Comment
      • JC1186
        SBR MVP
        • 02-21-14
        • 1070

        #4
        Surprise surprise all of us weren't impressed with Benoit's performance yesterday.

        I've gone with Falla 1st set winner. 2.85 units down @ 2.80 for a 7.98 return.

        For the simple reason that Paire was abysmal out of the blocks yesterday. Was broken twice to 15 and quickly found himself 4-0 down.

        It's no surprise it can often take him time to find his range, and it's no secret he's not afraid to miss until he gets there. There's also the fact Falla's a lefty, which could make it that little bit more difficult to play against at the start. That said it's usually Paire's forehand prone to erraticness so perhaps it's not a good thing.

        My gut also likes Zhu to beat Voegele, but I don't know her game well enough so giving it a pass.
        Comment
        • lucasdawg
          SBR MVP
          • 02-19-13
          • 3399

          #5
          good insight there JC, goodluck with your plays
          Comment
          • makman
            SBR MVP
            • 10-31-10
            • 1019

            #6
            Originally posted by JC1186
            Surprise surprise all of us weren't impressed with Benoit's performance yesterday.

            I've gone with Falla 1st set winner. 2.85 units down @ 2.80 for a 7.98 return.

            For the simple reason that Paire was abysmal out of the blocks yesterday. Was broken twice to 15 and quickly found himself 4-0 down.

            It's no surprise it can often take him time to find his range, and it's no secret he's not afraid to miss until he gets there. There's also the fact Falla's a lefty, which could make it that little bit more difficult to play against at the start. That said it's usually Paire's forehand prone to erraticness so perhaps it's not a good thing.

            My gut also likes Zhu to beat Voegele, but I don't know her game well enough so giving it a pass.
            I also like Falla, but for your view on Paire's performance;
            You watched the game? Or just predicting his performance from the score&statistics ? That kind of prediction can sometimes be very deceiving, if you had not watched.

            Zhu is a strange player. In IW i backed her against Schiavone, she won.
            In Miami, i faded her, she again won.
            I had not watched yesterdays game, but in IW she was not the one who won, it was Schiavone who lost.
            Comment
            • JC1186
              SBR MVP
              • 02-21-14
              • 1070

              #7
              Originally posted by makman
              I also like Falla, but for your view on Paire's performance;
              You watched the game? Or just predicting his performance from the score&statistics ? That kind of prediction can sometimes be very deceiving, if you had not watched.
              Qualifying isn't televised.

              When a player like Paire goes down 4-0 and is broken to 15 twice against a clay court scrub (G. Melzer), it leaves little to the imagination.

              The reasons I gave, for the most part, have to do with Paire in general. Yesterday's performance on paper only cemented it.

              Anyway Falla just won the first set 6-1. Bet won.
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #8
                Mmmm that's good coke-money.
                Comment
                • makman
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-31-10
                  • 1019

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JC1186
                  Qualifying isn't televised.

                  When a player like Paire goes down 4-0 and is broken to 15 twice against a clay court scrub (G. Melzer), it leaves little to the imagination.

                  The reasons I gave, for the most part, have to do with Paire in general. Yesterday's performance on paper only cemented it.

                  Anyway Falla just won the first set 6-1. Bet won.
                  Good prediction on the first set winner. .
                  I had Falla ML, now the Frenchman started to play after dropping the first set 6-1.
                  Comment
                  • beefcake
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 14029

                    #10
                    Falla is the man.Still got game..
                    Comment
                    • JC1186
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-21-14
                      • 1070

                      #11
                      Winners all around thanks to Bennyboy
                      Comment
                      • lucasdawg
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-19-13
                        • 3399

                        #12
                        putting back 5 units on

                        T Kokkinakis v C Berlocq

                        D Young v Y-H Lu
                        Comment
                        • lucasdawg
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-19-13
                          • 3399

                          #13
                          leans would be

                          K Edmund v R Haase

                          D Dzumhur v J Duckworth

                          D Istomin v A Krajicek

                          bol everyone
                          Comment
                          • makman
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-31-10
                            • 1019

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lucasdawg
                            putting back 5 units on

                            T Kokkinakis v C Berlocq

                            D Young v Y-H Lu
                            Originally posted by lucasdawg
                            leans would be

                            K Edmund v R Haase

                            D Dzumhur v J Duckworth

                            D Istomin v A Krajicek

                            bol everyone
                            BOL with your plays.
                            I liked the leans, i didnt like the 5 unit bets
                            Comment
                            • lucasdawg
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-19-13
                              • 3399

                              #15
                              much thanks makmann, yeah abit iffy with young hoping for home ground ad here, kokkinakis been looking more motivated with his lastest string of matches.
                              Comment
                              • JC1186
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-21-14
                                • 1070

                                #16
                                I've got 2.5 units on Lu +3.5 games @ 1.99.

                                Be good if we both get up.
                                Comment
                                • JC1186
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-21-14
                                  • 1070

                                  #17
                                  He has lost 15 consecutive points against Donald Young. And counting.

                                  I'll admit I haven't seen Lu in a while. His results didn't look too good on paper, but this is beyond abysmal.

                                  Ahh one can only laugh
                                  Comment
                                  • JC1186
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-21-14
                                    • 1070

                                    #18
                                    Well I just got gifted $250

                                    Unlucky he didn't just play 3 more points Lucas (assuming your book owuld have paid out).

                                    At the point of retiring, Lu had lost 20 of the last 21 points.

                                    So there's a good chance the injuring was more than genuine.
                                    Comment
                                    • lucasdawg
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-19-13
                                      • 3399

                                      #19
                                      i had a multi so that leg was voided the young australian killed my parlay!.

                                      Parlay 3units

                                      A Golubev (+1.5) - A Golubev v M Youzhny
                                      S Bolelli (+1.5) - M Baghdatis v S Bolelli
                                      Comment
                                      • lucasdawg
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-19-13
                                        • 3399

                                        #20
                                        thinking groth (+1.5) will be a shot too havent made the play yet!
                                        Comment
                                        • SirtySree
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-19-13
                                          • 2370

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by lucasdawg
                                          thinking groth (+1.5) will be a shot too havent made the play yet!
                                          Groth is terrible at the moment. Since getting bagelled by Dolgo and single-handedly losing the doubles match for Aussie in Davis Cup, he has offered nothing outside of his serve. He use to be the definition of a servebot but recently started to improve other areas but now he is back to his servebot ways as his confidence is down.

                                          Zverev shouldn't be a fav against many players in the top 100 but Groth is one of them. Groth could win a set in a tiebreak but he would need some luck in doing so.
                                          Comment
                                          • lucasdawg
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-19-13
                                            • 3399

                                            #22
                                            thanks for your insight Sirtysree, yes I was thinking only on groth service wise, end of the day he has the same mentality as the other aussie Matosevic
                                            Comment
                                            • lucasdawg
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-19-13
                                              • 3399

                                              #23
                                              play 1 3units

                                              A Krajicek v B Tomic - A Krajicek (+1)

                                              parlay 1unit

                                              J-L Struff v G Garcia-Lopez (over 22.5)
                                              E Gulbis v J Monaco (over 22.5)
                                              F Fognini v J Sock (over 22.5)
                                              F Verdasco v J Duckworth
                                              Comment
                                              • lucasdawg
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-19-13
                                                • 3399

                                                #24
                                                play 1 - 1 units

                                                G Simon v A Falla - Falla ML

                                                play 2 - 3 units

                                                S Halep v F Pennetta - Pennetta +(4.5)
                                                Comment
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