This what happens when you bet on tennis --

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  • poet
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-11-13
    • 796

    #1
    This what happens when you bet on tennis --
    Who are too tired or too hot or married or expecting child or simply choke...

    Djoker didn't look like he wanted to be out there end of the 3rd set and Fed choked once Djoker lost and the pressure on him grew. What a couple of wusses.
  • CWD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-22-12
    • 7665

    #2
    Originally posted by poet
    Who are too tired or too hot or married or expecting child or simply choke...

    Djoker didn't look like he wanted to be out there end of the 3rd set and Fed choked once Djoker lost and the pressure on him grew. What a couple of wusses.
    who you like in the final?
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30057

      #3
      i agree
      there is no way to understate what just happened today
      it is quite UPSETTING - no pun intended.
      and this is why fewer ppl take tennis betting seriously
      than team sports.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        You always have to consider conditions and recovery at this point in Slams. Djokovic has almost always not liked windier conditions and I think we've seen him revert a bit to his early days when heat/humidity effects him a lot. The match he had against Murray, he had some humidity to deal with, but it was almost perfect with no wind - right up his alley. I think a lot of people didn't really pay attention to that match either with how wobbly Djokovic looked at times against some of the things Murray was doing.

        Federer, I mean it was difficult to guess how he would come out today. He seemed fresh against Monfils even after five sets. But muscles tighten, etc. some times after rest. Couple in that Cilic is about 10x mentally stronger right now than Monfils due to superior coaching and you had the perfect storm. Shit happens dudes.

        People have been pining for different Slam Finals match-ups for a while and now we've got one. To me, it makes tennis betting more exciting, but also where you actually have to do some homework. You can't just say Djokovic, Nadal, Federer ... book it. They'll win at this stage. It's the changing face of the men's game. Its somewhat refreshing and what makes players like Djokovic, Nadal and Federer that much more special. Over the next few years, it's probably going to become more of a revolving door at some of these Slams in the Finals.
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #5
          Federror on the other hand is easily one of the best players in the wind ever.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Did you just fart in my general direction?
            Comment
            • ManeOnFire
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-13-14
              • 851

              #7
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              Did you just fart in my general direction?
              That's a really good joke!
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #8
                Originally posted by poet
                Who are too tired or too hot or married or expecting child or simply choke...

                Djoker didn't look like he wanted to be out there end of the 3rd set and Fed choked once Djoker lost and the pressure on him grew. What a couple of wusses.
                I wonder if Feds daughters could sense that daddy was having a bad day on the court. That would suck laying an egg with your young daughters in attendance. They might one day go the way of the POLE just because of this poor performance.
                Comment
                • SEKTAUR
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-04-11
                  • 802

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                  I wonder if Feds daughters could sense that daddy was having a bad day on the court. That would suck laying an egg with your young daughters in attendance. They might one day go the way of the POLE just because of this poor performance.
                  STFU weirdo
                  Comment
                  • poet
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-11-13
                    • 796

                    #10
                    Originally posted by CWD
                    who you like in the final?
                    I saw some good cappers on Cilic but I don't see it. Nishi just beat the #5, #4 and #1 players in the world. Cilic might have gotten by one of them. Cilic barely beat Anderson and Simon then took care of Birdshit (no surprise there) and an overconfident and jaded Fed who had all kinds of pressure on him to win that match. Nishi is a complete tennis player while Cilic is a two dimensional one (big serve and big groundstrokes, but not much else). If this was grass, I'd say Cilic had a decent shot but on hard courts? Cilic reminds me of Ivanisevic and Nishi of Agassi (in how cleanly he hits the ball). But Nishi is more athletic than Agassi and Cilic a better mover than Goran. I'm curious to know what others think but that's my take.
                    Comment
                    • CWD
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-22-12
                      • 7665

                      #11
                      Originally posted by poet
                      I saw some good cappers on Cilic but I don't see it. Nishi just beat the #5, #4 and #1 players in the world. Cilic might have gotten by one of them. Cilic barely beat Anderson and Simon then took care of Birdshit (no surprise there) and an overconfident and jaded Fed who had all kinds of pressure on him to win that match. Nishi is a complete tennis player while Cilic is a two dimensional one (big serve and big groundstrokes, but not much else). If this was grass, I'd say Cilic had a decent shot but on hard courts? Cilic reminds me of Ivanisevic and Nishi of Agassi (in how cleanly he hits the ball). But Nishi is more athletic than Agassi and Cilic a better mover than Goran. I'm curious to know what others think but that's my take.
                      nishi the small fav i would say from his history vs cilic and the fact he took out the bigger names raonic-djoko. cilic getting zero credit for win vs fed, the guy who was cruising and who many thought was a lock to play in the final and possibly win. im liking cilic, just depends how you rate the upsets i guess and who you think really impressed more, did djoko just not give a shit or did he really get beat and did fed choke or was he really beaten soundly?
                      Comment
                      • poet
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-11-13
                        • 796

                        #12
                        Another thing to consider, the last tall guy to win a slam was Delpo and before that it was Safin and Ivanisevic (both around 6'4). Tall guys (like Cilic) don't usually win slams in tennis against skilled little guys. Both Delpo and Ivanisevic could easily have lost in the finals they won. Tall and tennis don't go together often, in terms of long term success, though it can happen every once in a while.
                        Comment
                        • SirtySree
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-19-13
                          • 2370

                          #13
                          Originally posted by poet
                          Another thing to consider, the last tall guy to win a slam was Delpo and before that it was Safin and Ivanisevic (both around 6'4). Tall guys (like Cilic) don't usually win slams in tennis against skilled little guys. Both Delpo and Ivanisevic could easily have lost in the finals they won. Tall and tennis don't go together often, in terms of long term success, though it can happen every once in a while.
                          Problem with this statistic is the fact that outside of the big 4, not many others have won a GS in the past decade. Also another problem is what counts as a 'tall' guy. If you count 6'4 players as tall, that would make up a much small % of players so like comparing 10% of players to 90% of players, of course that 90% will win more GS titles.
                          Comment
                          • poet
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-11-13
                            • 796

                            #14
                            Originally posted by SirtySree
                            Problem with this statistic is the fact that outside of the big 4, not many others have won a GS in the past decade. Also another problem is what counts as a 'tall' guy. If you count 6'4 players as tall, that would make up a much small % of players so like comparing 10% of players to 90% of players, of course that 90% will win more GS titles.
                            On the other hand, there is a reason why most tennis players are not tall like basketball players. There is an optimal height, size, weight in tennis just like any other sport. It does not suit really big/tall guys.
                            Comment
                            • SirtySree
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-19-13
                              • 2370

                              #15
                              Originally posted by poet
                              On the other hand, there is a reason why most tennis players are not tall like basketball players. There is an optimal height, size, weight in tennis just like any other sport. It does not suit really big/tall guys.
                              Personally I would have to disagree with this opinion. There are tons of tall players that are good at tennis. Yes I agree that some don't move well but height allows them to have a better serve and ground strokes to be hit at a higher point when they can get to it, hence seeing the likes of Isner, Karlovic, and even Del Potro hitting massive forehands when they get to plant their feet. Del Potro being the exception that he can also move well. Also to be honest, outside of Isner and Karlovic, I can't really think of a tall player that moves badly.

                              If we look at the Top 20 players, it is fairly split from players over 190cm and players under 190cm.
                              Comment
                              • SirtySree
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-19-13
                                • 2370

                                #16
                                Also with the reference to basketball, how many sports do we see with 7'0 players? Most tall players get college scholarships or drafted into the NBA with little skill and only get noticed cause of their potential at that height.
                                Comment
                                • SirtySree
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-19-13
                                  • 2370

                                  #17

                                  What kinds of people get to compete in the Olympic games? See the results of the first comprehensive analysis of the 11,000 contestants at London 2012


                                  These two articles pretty much sum it up. Tennis players are in fact taller in comparison to majority of sports apart from basketball and volleyball.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by SirtySree
                                    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Height_in_sports
                                    What kinds of people get to compete in the Olympic games? See the results of the first comprehensive analysis of the 11,000 contestants at London 2012


                                    These two articles pretty much sum it up. Tennis players are in fact taller in comparison to majority of sports apart from basketball and volleyball.
                                    They do. They have little to do with the point though; it's not optimal to be very tall for tennis players, in the sense that the best tennis players are generally not particularly tall.

                                    When discussing optimal height, it's not as interesting to see average height in the entirity of a sport as it is interesting to see average height for the top players.

                                    Also see: http://www.pinnaclesports.com/online...g-servers.aspx

                                    The author essentially argues that being tall is a disadvantage (in one way) that is especially exacerbated in a best-of-five format.

                                    I agree that tall height is certainly an advantage as well, but clearly it is all in all not favorable at the highest levels of the game, and even less so in grand slams.
                                    Comment
                                    • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-20-09
                                      • 2560

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by poet
                                      Another thing to consider, the last tall guy to win a slam was Delpo and before that it was
                                      this might possibly be because of the dominance of nadal/feds/djoko

                                      sampras, lendl, boris becker all 6'2 or taller, plenty of all time greats aren't little guys...
                                      Comment
                                      • poet
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-11-13
                                        • 796

                                        #20
                                        Thanks hc, didn't think what I was saying was that controversial. Anyone who watches tennis on a regular basis knows this. But people just wanna argue for arguments sake.
                                        Comment
                                        • poet
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-11-13
                                          • 796

                                          #21
                                          Big difference between 6'2 and 6'4, 6'5 etc
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #22
                                            I think Sirty makes some good points though, but wanted to add my opinion as well as the above article because I found it interesting particularly with regards to an attempt at explaining why things are they way they are, with taller players being a disadvantage due to playing long as well as "tight" matches with therefore slimmer margins, which, all in all, is more of a factor in Best-of-five set matches which typically give more ATP points).

                                            There are distinct advantages of tall height as well, and plenty of top 100 tennis players are quite tall, but it would seem as though it's not the very "extreme optimum", so to speak.

                                            It should be noted however, that the explanation given in the linked-to article is only the author's hypothesis based on the correlation between the "provided fact" and the "discovered fact" – It does not necessarily mean that there is any causality between the different factors.
                                            Comment
                                            • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-20-09
                                              • 2560

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by poet
                                              Big difference between 6'2 and 6'4, 6'5 etc
                                              size of dmoney's c0ck?
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #24
                                                Comment
                                                • smandur
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 10-26-12
                                                  • 58

                                                  #25
                                                  this happens when you bet tennis

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                                                  today chokers : riba, kevin king , tatishvili,ante pavic,Gerard Granollers ,marko djokovic,melzer

                                                  still us final to come
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #26
                                                    They all choked?

                                                    Do you know what "choking" means?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • smandur
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 10-26-12
                                                      • 58

                                                      #27
                                                      yes, physical response to the mental state . All losing from a big lead
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                        • 15606

                                                        #28
                                                        Ok, then that's pretty bad indeed.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SirtySree
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-19-13
                                                          • 2370

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by poet
                                                          Thanks hc, didn't think what I was saying was that controversial. Anyone who watches tennis on a regular basis knows this. But people just wanna argue for arguments sake.
                                                          This is a discussion board for opinions. Wasn't arguing for sake of arguing but rather just having a debate...

                                                          Some good points especially by HC but the problem I see is what is defined as tall? Saying only players like Isner is tall is a big stretch cause there's only like a few 2 meter tall players playing professional sports outside of basketball and volleyball so they make up such a small sample size it's not possible to draw any conclusions from. Then you take players 6'2 and over which still only makes up less than 50% of the players, I would consider that a fair consideration as being tall. (ie. 6'2+ = tall, 6'1 or 6'0 = average, 5'11 and below = short).
                                                          Using those numbers would give a pretty fair split of players into each category and makes drawing conclusions much simpler and from the past, we have seen 6'2+ players achieving better than others.
                                                          Comment
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