My POD..... Look for this while you still can

matt1216 · 07-15-14, 11:23 AM

as well guys:

Sela 15 PTs short
Polansky 30 PTs Short
Wang 70 PTs short

all guys with incentive here

Kucera · 07-15-14, 11:28 AM

I'm affraid that Gonzalez-Donskoy match might be fixed? Odds on Gonzalez from 2.12 to 1.50 on Pinnacle, that's some scary shit!

+Eastern Europeans are more prone to match fixing than other players imo. After observations that JC made on Tomic-Dustov match I will probably skip this one...

JC1186 · 07-15-14, 11:31 AM

It's important not to be paranoid Kucera. There's absolutely nothing to suggest a fix. Line movements like that happen. Especially given he's the home player. But in this case there's nothing suspicious at all.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-15-14, 11:37 AM

I'm on this, but due to the double posting barrage .. Reducing my stakes by half.

matt1216 · 07-15-14, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I'm on this, but due to the double posting barrage .. Reducing my stakes by half.

Lol

bababooey13 · 07-15-14, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I'm on this, but due to the double posting barrage .. Reducing my stakes by half.

Lol

bababooey13 · 07-15-14, 11:47 AM

TI tips favoring gonzalez 17 - 5. u got that going for you matthew

brodie · 07-15-14, 11:57 AM

so you're fading the better player at home to back donskoy who hasnt had a quality win since april?

my lean would be gonzo here, but im not going to play this

bababooey13 · 07-15-14, 12:00 PM

did donskoy open as a 1.79 favorite? if so, suggesting there's nothing suspicious here is a bit naive.

brodie · 07-15-14, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by bababooey13

did donskoy open as a 1.79 favorite? if so, suggesting there's nothing suspicious here is a bit naive.

agreed. 75% of the time when someone is the favorite and the public turns them into a dog they still end up winning

this is more of a line bet than a tennis bet

Dmoneytx · 07-15-14, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by brodie

so you're fading the better player at home to back donskoy who hasnt had a quality win since april?

my lean would be gonzo here, but im not going to play this

I am pretty sure you didn't look up Gonzo's year on hard court or anything other than clay this year... IF you did, you wouldn't have made that post brodie...

Is Gonzo the better player??? Really.. Gonzo has had ONE win since May 11th & that was against Muscles Russell, lol... Gonzo lost to a player 475 a few weeks ago & go hammered by Wang in bad straights in Wimbledon... Simon beat him 4,0,2 in French Open...

I am NOT saying Donskoy is gonna destroy Gonzo later, but with the results Gonzo has shown in the last two months, he has looked like horrible, almost as bad as Donskoy... Should be an ultimate toss up match, NO clue who can play worse to lose, smh...

BOTH not playing well, bol ev1...

brodie · 07-15-14, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by Dmoneytx

I am pretty sure you didn't look up Gonzo's year on hard court or anything other than clay this year... IF you did, you wouldn't have made that post brodie...

Is Gonzo the better player??? Really.. Gonzo has had ONE win since May 11th & that was against Muscles Russell, lol... Gonzo lost to a player 475 a few weeks ago & go hammered by Wang in bad straights in Wimbledon... Simon beat him 4,0,2 in French Open...

I am NOT saying Donskoy is gonna destroy Gonzo later, but with the results Gonzo has shown in the last two months, he has looked like horrible, almost as bad as Donskoy... Should be an ultimate toss up match, NO clue who can play worse to lose, smh...

BOTH not playing well, bol ev1...

lol gonzo is the better player... i laughed really hard when you called Mate Pavic a "player 475" ... do you not know Pavic???: he's not some random challenger scrub like Bossell (who Donskoy just lost to on hard).... but when I called Gonzo the better player, I wasn't really referring strictly to the hard surface. Just in general, I dont let surface control my thoughts on who will win a certain match unless a player really excels on a certain court... and you bring up a few gonzo losses but if you look at the dudes donskoy has lost to then your argument starts to crumble

Kucera · 07-15-14, 01:31 PM

Originally posted by JC1186

It's important not to be paranoid Kucera. There's absolutely nothing to suggest a fix. Line movements like that happen. Especially given he's the home player. But in this case there's nothing suspicious at all.

Yeah I need to calm down I guess and not see monsters in the closet too much

The lines at this tournament however are just all over the place in some matches, really weird...Still staying away from this match, BOL to all who are on Donskoy

Hardcoar · 07-15-14, 01:33 PM

If you're looking for a fix, just find the jew.

Cappinpicks · 07-15-14, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by bababooey13

TI tips favoring gonzalez 17 - 5. u got that going for you matthew

except they all had kyrigos over nadal and hit about 80% or so

Kucera · 07-15-14, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

If you're looking for a fix, just find the jew.

And I did, price a bit bad but won't complain if it hits

bababooey13 · 07-15-14, 04:10 PM

Dear Client,

Please note that we are no longer offering this match.

Kind regards,

Customer Service Department
Pinnacle Sports

ya, thats not suspiscous

JC1186 · 07-15-14, 04:34 PM

I said nothing suspicious and it was in reference to Betfair's odds, movement and liquidity. Time will tell. If you think every time a movement like this happens, it's usually a fixed tennis match. Think again. 90%+ of the time it's nothing.

The Sela match on the other hand lol. He's one dodgy mofo midget.

Dmoneytx · 07-15-14, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by brodie

lol gonzo is the better player... i laughed really hard when you called Mate Pavic a "player 475" ... do you not know Pavic???: he's not some random challenger scrub like Bossell (who Donskoy just lost to on hard).... but when I called Gonzo the better player, I wasn't really referring strictly to the hard surface. Just in general, I dont let surface control my thoughts on who will win a certain match unless a player really excels on a certain court... and you bring up a few gonzo losses but if you look at the dudes donskoy has lost to then your argument starts to crumble

I never said Donboy was better than Gonzo.. I know who Pavic is, lol.. No world beater there, lol.. I simply said Gonzo hasn't won since May range & has lost almost all his matches on hard surface. Wang destroyed him at Wimbledon, does that say anything??? Wang destroyed him, hello????

Simon wiped the floor with him & his best proclaimed surface is "clay". I said this match would be a toss up bro, BOTH playing horrible in my opinion. In general Gonzo prob is the better player, but if you do NOT factor in surface, that is crazy man...

On fast court, this is a coin toss, on clay Gonzo wins... And to not factor in court speed is honestly stupid in my opinion. That has everything to do with outcomes of matches. At least IMO! Example, Ferrer on slow clay, a BEAST! On fast fast court??? He can lose to a no body with a big serve, huge difference in my mind

My argument does not start to crumble.. Why?? Bec Gonzo hasn't beaten ONE Guy worth a crap since MAY! Michael Russell was it. That was all brotha.. Neither has Donboy, but Gonzo got his azzzzz wiped by Wang on a fast surface. Now at 8k feet, ball flying extremely fast in that altitude, on a hard court, should we just ignore all that??? You gonna tell me now that Gonzo is a good hard court player??? LOL...

Like I said, "best of luck"...

JC1186 · 07-15-14, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by Dmoneytx

Wang destroyed him at Wimbledon, does that say anything??? Wang destroyed him, hello????

By any chance, was that the same Wang who destroyed Youhzny in the next round?

Hello!?

Before you reply. Relax I'm just playing.

hossa8110 · 07-15-14, 05:13 PM

got 2 flashscores up one has 2 to 2 and other one has donskoy up 3 to 1 which is it?

Dmoneytx · 07-15-14, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by JC1186

By any chance, was that the same Wang who destroyed Youhzny in the next round?

Hello!?

Before you reply. Relax I'm just playing.

I didn't reply to you JC. My post was to brodie...

Sorry for the confusion bro

Dmoneytx · 07-15-14, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by hossa8110

got 2 flashscores up one has 2 to 2 and other one has donskoy up 3 to 1 which is it?

I show Donskoy just broke Gonzo to go UP 3-2 and now serving...

I am not watching it live, just on flashscore for the moment...

fcmb · 07-15-14, 05:17 PM

DONSKOY is 3:2 up and serving

Stokes36 · 07-15-14, 05:51 PM

And he just got broken for the set. No bueno

Dmoneytx · 07-15-14, 05:52 PM

Donboy gives back the break IMMEDIATELY, smh...

Then barely holds at 4-5, but gets broken to lose the set 5-7, ouch...

Stokes36 · 07-15-14, 06:01 PM

Then he breaks to open the set. lol. Dude is a roller coaster

JC1186 · 07-15-14, 06:12 PM

Of the two it has been Gonzalez playing further from his best imo.

felix_felicus7 · 07-15-14, 07:08 PM

Everyone knows where your plays are posted Matt. What's the need for the new threads? I thought your Original Tennis Picks thread was worth sticking with so you can let your strategy evolve & get satisfaction from possibly turning it around.

Cappinpicks · 07-15-14, 07:13 PM

Donskoy fixing so far

Cappinpicks · 07-15-14, 07:14 PM

!Viva Columbia!

matt1216 · 07-15-14, 07:20 PM

Damn that one hurts

tipsadontlikehim · 07-15-14, 09:49 PM

i don't know if it was fixed but 2.80 was crazy odds
too bad matt

Zwong · 07-15-14, 10:38 PM

Wanted to bet on Donskoy too but then i went to bettingkingdom and saw the comment section that he is supposedly a suspect fixer. Luckily, i ended up betting on Gonzales.

Page not found - Betting Kingdom

http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting-tips/tennis/atp-bogota/alejandro-gonzalez-vs-evgeny-donskoy/44527