making money on challengers

[Honeybadger44]

In last couple of weeks, I have been paying more attention to challenger tour. Seems like odds are less sharp there, which makes that market easier to beat. I will post some of my picks in this thread.


Viola ML @3.50 Bet365 3 units

Dzumhur ML @1.92 Pinnacle 2 units

Giannessi ML @3.28 Pinnacle 1 unit

Schwartzman+Fabianno @2.65 1 unit

Rodriguez Pace @7.91 0.5 unit

[Kucera]

Indeed odds are less sharp, especially at some books. You have to catch them pretty quick though.

Looking forward to your picks, will be monitoring your thread

BOL

[Honeybadger44]

Thanks!

Speaking of the odds and catching them quickly, it depends. I noticed that almost always, odds are droping on the favorites and rising on the underdogs, regardless of how the players looked in previous matches. In Braunschweig, I rode Zverev all the way to the finals and I was pretty shocked to see odds for his win raise, before every match...

[Steamroller]

Go Viola!

[Honeybadger44]

Go Viola!

Rollercoaster match. He was up 5-2 in the first set, lost it 5-7. Then 3 times break up in the final set. Bellucci cathces up with him. Then Viola saves match point... Crazy. But it was worth it. Good value bet.

[Simon Gruber]

Great pick Badger. Looking forward to more challenger plays.

[Honeybadger44]

Thanks Simon!

[zec]

What's your plan moving forward? Rejuvenate old thread or keep this challenger thread or something else?

[Honeybadger44]

I gave that one a little thought. In my first thread, I was very inconsistant, going through few winning and loosing streak. Wasn't able to make profit on a regular basis. Despite those rough few weeks in the end, I think I still had some profit left in my old thread, so I am just going to leave it at that. And see where these challengers are going to take us.

[Honeybadger44]

Desein @2.27 Pinnacle - 5 units

[Kucera]

Ok 5 units Desein playing good this week? I saw Edmund against Semrajc in 1st round and he didn't played well and should have lost that match if Semrajc hadn't choked

[Honeybadger44]

I watched his match against Bozoljac. Second serve might be a problem, but from the baseline, he was rock solid. Edmund has some shotmaking ability, but inconsistant and too error prone, to keep up with Desein in this one.

[Kucera]

Ok thank you for the info. Gonna tail you on this one for 1 unit BOL

[Honeybadger44]

Ok thank you for the info. Gonna tail you on this one for 1 unit BOL

Good luck!

[Honeybadger44]

Kuznetsov +3.5 @1.90 Pinnacle - 3 units

Kuznetsov ML @2.93 Pinnacle - 2 units

(it's not a challenger. ATP Bogota)

[Steamroller]

Kuznetsov +3.5 sounds good.

[BeanTownClown88]

Are they on grass or clay?

Ah just read hard court

[Steamroller]

[Cappinpicks]

copil -310 made me piss my pants laughing, DF machine wont even get a BP LOL

[Honeybadger44]

@BeanTownClown88

Yeah, hard courts. But very fast conditions, because of the altitude.

[Simon Gruber]

Thanks for the winner HB. Putting some of the winnings on Dustov

[Honeybadger44]

Thanks for the winner HB. Putting some of the winnings on Dustov

You are welcome, Simon!

I didn't bet that one, but it is not a bad idea. Dustov looked good in Winnetka, and he has a big game, which could be lethal in those conditions in Bogota. Good luck!

[matt1216]

You are welcome, Simon!

I didn't bet that one, but it is not a bad idea. Dustov looked good in Winnetka, and he has a big game, which could be lethal in those conditions in Bogota. Good luck!

Dustov lacks a first serve for a guy that's 6'5. Tomic is kinda toying with him at the moment

[Simon Gruber]

TI Chen should be worth a shot later on, but maybe I'm being to obvious

[matt1216]

Nishioka Ml

[Cappinpicks]

TI Chen should be worth a shot later on, but maybe I'm being to obvious

kavcic looks amazing? is chen decent?

[Simon Gruber]

Kavcic just withdrew

[kdawgy]

Never a dull moment handicapping and betting the challenger tour.

[Honeybadger44]

Ortega-Olmedo @3.32 Pinnacle - 2 units

[Honeybadger44]

Munoz de la Nava @1.92 - 3 units

[Hardcoar]

I am big on the same, I hope he can take this in the end, down a break 1:st.

[Hardcoar]

I honestly foresee Bozo running out of steam shortly.

[Hardcoar]

LOL this lack of line-calls...

[Hardcoar]

vamos in your f*cking face bitch!!

[Hardcoar]