Sijsling goes from -205 to -155 wtf!!

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  • NJcap
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-13
    • 1381

    #1
    Sijsling goes from -205 to -155 wtf!!
    Anyone know why?? I'm took it at 205 like a dumbasss. I feel like I should hedge out and eat the small loss. Any advice from the tennis regulars on here would be appreciated.
  • NJcap
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-13
    • 1381

    #2
    Fuk I actually took him at -225
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #3
      If you've already made your bet, just let it ride. I think he will win personally and am considering a wager.
      Comment
      • Kucera
        SBR High Roller
        • 06-18-14
        • 220

        #4
        Have no idea why the line is rising, but there certainly is some value now in Sijsling...
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #5
          Or it's a classic trap, like Chardy before him.
          Comment
          • Kucera
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-18-14
            • 220

            #6
            Yeah but Chardy's line opened at this level with no dramatical movement. And we all know that Cuevas was extremely solid at Challengers on clay and that Chardy probably doesn't care about this tournament, so that is why I didn't want to touch that match. Sorensen has a pretty poor record on the other hand and didn't even qualify for this event. Sijsling had very poor season so far as well, but he should still beat scrubs like this guy. The line that was initially set by the books was fair in my opinion and have no idea what is behind it's movement upwards, but I'm still taking it
            Comment
            • SirtySree
              SBR MVP
              • 12-19-13
              • 2370

              #7
              I think main reason is because Sijsling is one of those players that either wants to be there or he doesnt. He has probably one of the most 1st round knock outs out of the top 100 players. Sijsling is known to be unreliable but usually if he gets past the 1st round, he does well.

              Sijling on paper is a much better player and should win but I would never bet on him before you watched his motivation levels in the 1st match of a tourney.
              Comment
              • Zwong
                SBR Hustler
                • 05-18-14
                • 92

                #8
                I just checked Sorensen's clay record and he has never won against any respectable opponent on that surface, pretty strange to see the public swaying so heavily towards him.

                But then again, the public always loves to side against Sijsling, 6 matches in a row in which the public decides to bet against him.
                Last edited by Zwong; 07-08-14, 08:39 PM.
                Comment
                • boss_of_um
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-18-11
                  • 1092

                  #9
                  -140 @ 5Dimes right now...
                  Comment
                  • tipsadontlikehim
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-14-13
                    • 2569

                    #10
                    1.65 that's pretty surprising indeed, considering Sorensen sucks as a player.
                    Comment
                    • cryptocap
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-04-14
                      • 1528

                      #11
                      kohlschreiber dropped pretty quick last few hours
                      Comment
                      • Kucera
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-18-14
                        • 220

                        #12
                        Price on Sijsling at 2.24 now This is ridiculous, something is seriously wrong with this match...
                        Comment
                        • JC1186
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-21-14
                          • 1070

                          #13
                          Check out the liquidity on 2-0 Sorenson. Betfair that is. His price has been slammed!

                          If this goes to script Sijsling will fix this match to lose 2-0.

                          A shame for all those with hard earned cash on him.
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #14
                            yeah , just saw that. looks like a decent fix
                            Comment
                            • marniblitz
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 01-20-13
                              • 74

                              #15
                              Yes, very strange. Sijsling is currently listed as a dog at several books

                              5Dimes doesn't have it listed at all at the moment.
                              Comment
                              • Kucera
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-18-14
                                • 220

                                #16
                                If you ask me this match is not going to be played at all...
                                Comment
                                • marniblitz
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 01-20-13
                                  • 74

                                  #17
                                  ^^^^^ I'm starting to think the same.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #18
                                    How so, Kuc?
                                    Comment
                                    • Kucera
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 06-18-14
                                      • 220

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                      How so, Kuc?
                                      The last time I saw such a huge price turnaround + removal of the prices by majority of the books couple of hours before the match started, was due to retirement of the player prematch.
                                      Comment
                                      • marniblitz
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 01-20-13
                                        • 74

                                        #20
                                        The listing for the match is slowly being removed from many books.

                                        I have a little on Igor and if can get access to the match at any of my books, I'm buying out.
                                        Comment
                                        • NJcap
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-30-13
                                          • 1381

                                          #21
                                          what a joke!!! he's faulting every first serve...fukking books took down the lines couldn't even hedge it
                                          Comment
                                          • NJcap
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-30-13
                                            • 1381

                                            #22
                                            looks like he isn't even trying...in a hurry to get outta there.....looks like sorenson 2-0 was correct
                                            Comment
                                            • JC1186
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-21-14
                                              • 1070

                                              #23
                                              It has been available from the start @ 365. In fact you could get odds of 5 for 2-0 on Sorenson early on when down a break. Even back on serve he was 2.62 for 2-0.

                                              A shame I can only bet a few cents there lol.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Kucera
                                                The last time I saw such a huge price turnaround + removal of the prices by majority of the books couple of hours before the match started, was due to retirement of the player prematch.
                                                Quite often, is is due to a fix.
                                                Comment
                                                • matt1216
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                  • 14683

                                                  #25
                                                  holly fck my book left it up sorensen @2.15!! Thanks JC1186.... i didnt even see this
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mikail
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-19-09
                                                    • 21689

                                                    #26
                                                    Match was not available at my book all morning. Was looking to hammer Sorensen but couldn't. The writing was on the wall for this one all the way. Hope you guys was able to cash in here.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Kucera
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 06-18-14
                                                      • 220

                                                      #27
                                                      I wanted to hedge as well but couldn't do it at any of my books. Didn't see the match but looks like exactly what we were affraid of. Hope they investigate this dutch mother f ucker
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cappinpicks
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-11-10
                                                        • 14986

                                                        #28
                                                        why bother with this when u have becker and sela?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • matt1216
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-27-11
                                                          • 14683

                                                          #29
                                                          Because Sorensen was as free as it gets
                                                          Comment
                                                          • kenz
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-09-12
                                                            • 4879

                                                            #30
                                                            This Sorensen guy is questioable

                                                            I watched him go deep in a challenger in my country. His opponents were missing incredible shots. Sorensen sucks though.

                                                            Irish mafia's guy?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by kenz
                                                              This Sorensen guy is questioable

                                                              I watched him go deep in a challenger in my country. His opponents were missing incredible shots. Sorensen sucks though.

                                                              Irish mafia's guy?
                                                              hey Kenz, i watched him vs gomez i believe it was in some challenger event in south america... he had the lead and blew it multiple times
                                                              Comment
                                                              • andromeda
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 07-20-14
                                                                • 1

                                                                #32
                                                                I have no doubt Sijsling threw this one. Just look at this history, he is not such a dumb player to loose to Sorensen. He beats Kohlshreiber, Haas, Youzhny this year and then goes on to loose to players like Kokkinakis at Aus Open, Marchenko and now to Sorensen. I really smell something fishy here. The bets heabily tilted in favor of Sorensen towards the start of the match. I would never rely on Sijsling again, he just screwed me real bad on this one.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SirtySree
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-19-13
                                                                  • 2370

                                                                  #33
                                                                  ^ Sijsling is just one of those players. If he really wants to play, he is a top 50 player but he rarely bothers. Hardly ever comes back from a set down and has like 100 first round losses cause he cant be bothered and just collecting paychecks a lot of the time. Might be fixing, might not be, no one really knows.

                                                                  Sijsling has a first round match coming up and is always a great fade 1st round. If he wins it, then back him for the rest of the way as he usually plays properly if he makes it through.
                                                                  Comment
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