Lisicki+Shvedova

matt1216 · 06-29-14, 02:18 AM

Shedova looked like garbage vs keys.... Keys was injured and still hanging around.... Unfortunately for me I need to hope keys is still hurting monday, and hopefully Shedova can win the tiebreaker..

JC1186 · 06-29-14, 02:23 AM

It's on Lisicki's racquet. There wasn't a lot Ana did wrong. Sabine was just smashing the ball and making the shots.

On another day it could be different.

There's definitely something about her and Wimbledon though. No matter how poorly she's playing she seems to always turn it on.

Hardcoar · 06-29-14, 04:25 AM

I would ride it out, or at least wait until Lisicki's lost 2:nd on Monday.

aceking · 06-29-14, 08:22 AM

Lisicki reached the final last year .

might win it this year , with most of the seeds out .

Hardcoar · 06-29-14, 08:26 AM

I had no idea. Thanks.

JC1186 · 06-29-14, 09:14 AM

Ana's my final leg in a 4 into 20 units multi.

Will gtfo if she goes up a break in the 3rd. Lisicki will just keep going for here shots. So I'd never discount her.

baconbets · 06-29-14, 07:30 PM

i thought ivanovic looked good. lisicki got into a good serving groove and took over from there, but ivanovic was winning most of the rallies over a few strokes. this is why lisicki wins the first set but only won 38% of second serve points. if she wasnt 1-2 punching or acing, she was losing points. at +180, lisicki was still the right pre-match bet, but good value on ivanovic now, as she is probably +money to win the match going into the second set.

matt1216 · 06-29-14, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by baconbets

i thought ivanovic looked good. lisicki got into a good serving groove and took over from there, but ivanovic was winning most of the rallies over a few strokes. this is why lisicki wins the first set but only won 38% of second serve points. if she wasnt 1-2 punching or acing, she was losing points. at +180, lisicki was still the right pre-match bet, but good value on ivanovic now, as she is probably +money to win the match going into the second set.

Shes definately a Dog going forward in the second set(Ivanovic)..... I don't see any value in Ivanovic here she was scorching hot going into this match and still lost set 1..

frugalgambler · 06-29-14, 08:11 PM

How can you not take Keys @+160 in this spot ? She has a ~50% chance to win the tie-break and then if she wins it, she will have all the momentum going into the 3rd.

baconbets · 06-29-14, 09:20 PM

if you watched the match so far, keys barely avoided retirement. she was dragging her bad leg around. she was saved by the bell and now has had 2 nights to sleep it off, but it wasnt looking good. both ladies were playing horribly. if you dont already have money tied up in this match, count yourself as lucky.

frugalgambler · 06-29-14, 09:37 PM

OK. Thanks for the info. I am also not a big fan of Keys' mental stamina, so I will probably not go as big as I originally wanted to. But these overnight breaks can really f.ck the leading players' minds. I think last year, Makarova and Puig both folded after leading into the break.

FlipsideRM · 06-29-14, 10:15 PM

I took keys live at +160 then she got broke serving for the 2nd set. Really hope she wins this tie break and her injury isn't so bad to take a 3rd.

JC1186 · 06-30-14, 06:39 AM

Keys retired before a ball was hit.

Lol some lucky punters in the know would have swamped and made a fortune!