found my gem tomorrow

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  • professionalAD
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-29-14
    • 941

    #1
    found my gem tomorrow
    2-0 gems +2000

    whatever the lopez isner match is take the god damn over. cant tell u how many times ive seen overs hit for big john in late rounds through grand slams. no one will win in 3 tomorrow. pound the over, lopez is also nasty at grass.

    cheers
  • JC1186
    SBR MVP
    • 02-21-14
    • 1070

    #2
    Very high 40's surely.
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #3
      Lopez 18-2 on grass over the last 12 months
      Comment
      • FlipsideRM
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-28-11
        • 10518

        #4
        43.5
        Comment
        • professionalAD
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-29-14
          • 941

          #5
          46. -125

          1250/1000

          lets ride
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #6
            Good luck, I see this ending in 4 sets... That's not a bad number imo
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #7
              Originally posted by FlipsideRM
              43.5
              If u gave this an honest thought, I would play the under
              Comment
              • professionalAD
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-29-14
                • 941

                #8
                4 sets for sure will still get the over. dont see more than one break tomorroe to be honest, lets gooo
                Comment
                • kenz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-09-12
                  • 4879

                  #9
                  10.5/12.5 overs for me
                  Comment
                  • zec
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-03-14
                    • 548

                    #10
                    46 is tough. If you get a 6-3 set you are in trouble unless it goes 5 sets..
                    Comment
                    • baconbets
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-11-13
                      • 329

                      #11
                      Originally posted by zec
                      46 is tough. If you get a 6-3 set you are in trouble unless it goes 5 sets..
                      agreed, i dont see the over as being the right play. it is fairly tough to go over 47

                      by comparison, lopez 3-2 is +500 and isner 3-2 is +600 (there is no over 4.5 sets prop, currently, but taking both 3-2 props is the same thing). if you split the same amount of money on both 3-2 props, you get a better payoff than over 47 games.

                      over 47 -110
                      bet 100 to win 90

                      -versus-

                      lopez 3-2 +500
                      bet 50 to win 250

                      isner 3-2 +600
                      bet 50 to win 300
                      Comment
                      • matt1216
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 14683

                        #12
                        Originally posted by zec
                        46 is tough. If you get a 6-3 set you are in trouble unless it goes 5 sets..
                        I was thinking that too but even Pavic kept it close.....
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #13
                          Originally posted by baconbets
                          agreed, i dont see the over as being the right play. it is fairly tough to go over 47

                          by comparison, lopez 3-2 is +500 and isner 3-2 is +600 (there is no over 4.5 sets prop, currently, but taking both 3-2 props is the same thing). if you split the same amount of money on both 3-2 props, you get a better payoff than over 47 games.

                          over 47 -110
                          bet 100 to win 90

                          -versus-

                          lopez 3-2 +500
                          bet 50 to win 250

                          isner 3-2 +600
                          bet 50 to win 300
                          7-6 7-6 6-7 6-4 could easily happen which is 49..... I doubt this goes 5 sets
                          Comment
                          • tipsadontlikehim
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-14-13
                            • 2569

                            #14
                            i took the over 46 i can easily see 3 tie breaks and 4 sets
                            Comment
                            • zec
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-03-14
                              • 548

                              #15
                              I am more concerned with Lopez here than Isner. Isner will get the games and sets but Lopez played a ton of tennis. He plays doubles with Melzer tomorrow too.. We shall see, GL
                              Comment
                              • professionalAD
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-29-14
                                • 941

                                #16
                                some of you are overthinking this way too much, i see in the future 3 tiebreaks and a 6-4 or 7-5 set. they went 5 in australia. this is a much faster surface. isner had trouble breaking jarko the joke. believe in me guys this is going over 46, line already up to 47

                                lets ride
                                Comment
                                • tipsadontlikehim
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-14-13
                                  • 2569

                                  #17
                                  the only way i see this one not hitting is if Lopez wins 3-0 but i doubt it, Isner is the king of tie breaks.
                                  Comment
                                  • baconbets
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 05-11-13
                                    • 329

                                    #18
                                    people counting on tiebreaks need to remember that isner wont be breaking back easily in this match. so its very possible he loses serve early in a set and then takes the rest of the set off, which means the possibility of double breaks. when big john becomes disenchanted, he starts to get all mopey and hang-dog. players are very incentivized to win the match, somewhat incentivized to win sets, not very incetivized to win games in sets that are out of reach.
                                    Comment
                                    • Spinny
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-28-14
                                      • 165

                                      #19
                                      On grass I don't like the high over here
                                      Comment
                                      • professionalAD
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-29-14
                                        • 941

                                        #20
                                        how can u not count on isner matches having tiebreaks?
                                        Comment
                                        • boss_of_um
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-18-11
                                          • 1092

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by professionalAD
                                          how can u not count on isner matches having tiebreaks?
                                          It isn't that there won't be tiebreakers but you need a minimum of 2 to hit this over and that still may not be enough.
                                          Comment
                                          • Cappinpicks
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-11-10
                                            • 14986

                                            #22
                                            over 3.5 sets is +185 how can that be?
                                            Comment
                                            • baconbets
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-11-13
                                              • 329

                                              #23
                                              goofed line. will be fixed by morning, probably. sometimes exotic props dont get fixed but for a "main page" line like sets over on a grand slam match, it will almost certainly be fixed.
                                              Comment
                                              • Simon Gruber
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-02-13
                                                • 2342

                                                #24
                                                Jun 28, 2014 12:46:46 AM Single #353845173
                                                Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Total
                                                If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
                                                ATP - Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
                                                Feliciano Lopez vs. John Isner
                                                Over 3½ (+185) Jun 28/14@07:45a
                                                Web US$ 1000.00 US$ 1850.00
                                                Comment
                                                • Simon Gruber
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-02-13
                                                  • 2342

                                                  #25
                                                  ^^^^^ dumbest fckn book around
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Cappinpicks
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-11-10
                                                    • 14986

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                                                    Jun 28, 2014 12:46:46 AM Single #353845173
                                                    Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Total
                                                    If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
                                                    ATP - Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
                                                    Feliciano Lopez vs. John Isner
                                                    Over 3½ (+185) Jun 28/14@07:45a
                                                    Web US$ 1000.00 US$ 1850.00
                                                    LOL! lets hope bovada lets another one slide
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Simon Gruber
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-02-13
                                                      • 2342

                                                      #27
                                                      I've bet bad lines with them before - they're not doing shit. I mean how stupid are they to put that out there in the first place. It's almost a free 2 grand.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Simon Gruber
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-02-13
                                                        • 2342

                                                        #28
                                                        Over 4' sets should be +185
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cappinpicks
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-11-10
                                                          • 14986

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                                                          Over 4' sets should be +185
                                                          nice, I hope they count my mariners live +105 WINNING 2-1 in the 5th LOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Simon Gruber
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-02-13
                                                            • 2342

                                                            #30
                                                            I should bet more - a whole hell of a lot more to be honest...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cappinpicks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-11-10
                                                              • 14986

                                                              #31
                                                              only problem is isner might lose 3-0 if playing bad
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Simon Gruber
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-02-13
                                                                • 2342

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                                                nice, I hope they count my mariners live +105 WINNING 2-1 in the 5th LOL
                                                                I hope you hammer the f\*\*k out of that over sets bet...then we can both have a good laugh at everyone who was tucked into bed.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Simon Gruber
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-02-13
                                                                  • 2342

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                                                  only problem is isner might lose 3-0 if playing bad
                                                                  His form right now sucks, but this will be Lopez's third day in a row. I'm not betting everything in my account on it, but it's worth stepping out and hammering.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Cappinpicks
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-11-10
                                                                    • 14986

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                                                                    I hope you hammer the f\*\*k out of that over sets bet...then we can both have a good laugh at everyone who was tucked into bed.
                                                                    they shouldn't change it right? only time ive seen them was when it was a backwards line (wrong team favored) hope not for this M's game
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Simon Gruber
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-02-13
                                                                      • 2342

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                                                      they shouldn't change it right? only time ive seen them was when it was a backwards line (wrong team favored) hope not for this M's game
                                                                      Even when they change it, and they will change it the worst they can do is void your bet, they can't assume that you accept changes. I don't think they'll void it though. I bet one of there bad lines on an NHL game during the regular season and I got paid.
                                                                      Comment
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