found my gem tomorrow
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CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#36Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#38they have isner +2.5 -650 Lol no way he wins in straightsComment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#39bovada will change the line when they see their book getting way out of balance because no one is on the other side. thats exactly how normal lines move. so, a bad line will just cause the process to take its course that much faster as the activity will be lopsided.
as i said in the previous post, certain exotic props may not get corrected because they have no "other side." an example of an exotic tennis prop with no "other side" would be a bad line on a set score, like djokovic to win first set 6-3. there is no "other side" of bettors who will contact the book and complain that their side was shorted, so it never gets reported. a sets over line will get reported and will get out of balance. my prediction, even if the match starts, dont hedge against the line during play because it could very well be pushed/refunded even after the match ends.Comment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#40I also just threw it into a 10 team parlay with all the big faves that pays about 8-1.Comment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#41bovada will change the line when they see their book getting way out of balance because no one is on the other side. thats exactly how normal lines move. so, a bad line will just cause the process to take its course that much faster as the activity will be lopsided.
as i said in the previous post, certain exotic props may not get corrected because they have no "other side." an example of an exotic tennis prop with no "other side" would be a bad line on a set score, like djokovic to win first set 6-3. there is no "other side" of bettors who will contact the book and complain that their side was shorted, so it never gets reported. a sets over line will get reported and will get out of balance. my prediction, even if the match starts, dont hedge against the line during play because it could very well be pushed/refunded even after the match ends.Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#42bovada will change the line when they see their book getting way out of balance because no one is on the other side. thats exactly how normal lines move. so, a bad line will just cause the process to take its course that much faster as the activity will be lopsided.
as i said in the previous post, certain exotic props may not get corrected because they have no "other side." an example of an exotic tennis prop with no "other side" would be a bad line on a set score, like djokovic to win first set 6-3. there is no "other side" of bettors who will contact the book and complain that their side was shorted, so it never gets reported. a sets over line will get reported and will get out of balance. my prediction, even if the match starts, dont hedge against the line during play because it could very well be pushed/refunded even after the match ends.Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#43it does suck if you lose if it loses and void if you win... wonder if thats their tacticComment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#45their live lines can be bad, but its really hard to reel in a live line which is only available sometimes for seconds. live lines are open for such a short time they dont really get "out of balance." i would be very surprised if this doesnt get fixed as it will get hammered over the next few hours by anyone on that book who looks at tennis.Comment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#46assuming they dont fix the sets over line, you can hedge lopez 3-0 +400 with over 3.5 sets +185. thats what i was going to do, but i can tell you in the past that when i set something like that up and then they trash the bad line, you get stuck with an unprotected position because they dont refund the good line that you were using for support.Comment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#47their live lines can be bad, but its really hard to reel in a live line which is only available sometimes for seconds. live lines are open for such a short time they dont really get "out of balance." i would be very surprised if this doesnt get fixed as it will get hammered over the next few hours by anyone on that book who looks at tennis.Comment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#48they will void it, they will never uphold the bet but force you to receive "corrected" odds. by definition, they pretty much have to void bets because bad lines cause the book to be out of balance in the first place; they fix the line, purge all the bets, and start over. it will just get refunded. see above, regarding hedging. if you want to chase bad lines, do it in isolation. if you try to build a hedge around it and they pull the bad line, you will be out of balance.Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#49actually was big on Cillic took Marin to win 3rd set and 2nd set was very tight but berdick is on a whole other level of suckComment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#50only way it touches over is over 3.5 sets atleastComment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#51they will void it, they will never uphold the bet but force you to receive "corrected" odds. it will just get refunded. see above, regarding hedging. if you want to chase bad lines, do it in isolation. if you try to build a hedge around it and they pull the bad line, you will be out of balance.Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
-
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
-
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#54
player A ML -1200
player A 2-0 +300
player A 2-1 +300
player B ML +600
player B 2-0 +1000
player B 2-1 +1200
can you spot the bad line? player A 2-0 should be -300, not +300. they fouled it up. so i took both player A set props, 2-0 and 2-1, and then i took player B ML at +600. altogether, i could make 3 bets to create guaranteed money. the bet stood for hours, and then i looked again and the 2-0 leg got refunded, which left me with player A 2-1 and player B ML. the favorite retired, so it was a moot point, but it is an example of them making a pre-match correction.
the live lines are bad though. i once got a raonic game win of +700 to hold his own serve on hardcourt. yowsers.Comment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#56Okay thanks for the intel. I'm sure it will be refunded.Comment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#57i should add that if you see the line come down but not yet refunded, you can anticipate that a refund is en route.Comment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#58they just flipped it. no refund yetComment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#63they probably saw this thread. thanks a lot, hardcoar.
i put some chump change on it. it was bad for such a short time, they may just leave the bets in place because they arent out of balance.
it would be nice if you could get some bonus money for reporting bad lines. incentivize good behavior. i would definitely narc out a bad like for like $10 in funny money.Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#64their live tennis lines are the best to steal $... just use 365 to get atleast a key point advantage by betting it right after u see who won itComment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#65they probably saw this thread. thanks a lot, hardcoar.
i put some chump change on it. it was bad for such a short time, they may just leave the bets in place because they arent out of balance.
it would be nice if you could get some bonus money for reporting bad lines. incentivize good behavior. i would definitely narc out a bad like for like $10 in funny money.Comment -
baconbetsSBR Sharp
- 05-11-13
- 329
#66yes, independent of "bad" lines, bovada also provides "late" lines which remain up even after the point is won.
i once bet on monfils to win the "13th game" of a set...after he had already won the tiebreaker. that cleared.Comment -
CappinpicksSBR Posting Legend
- 03-11-10
- 14986
#68lol yeah.. I cashed on raonic to hold serve vs simon in french open for big money that paid right away LOLComment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#69They refunded my 1k wager, but not the parlay so maybe that'll slip through.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#70first set tb @1.72
first set over 10.5 @1.60
2nd bet is 1.5x stake of the first oneComment
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