Petkovic tomorrow

[whareouttogetme]

I don't follow tennis a lot but she's won me a lot of money, and I have a good feeling about her winning tomorrow, but I just saw she's least favourite to win the tournament @ 33/1

What are the reasons I shouldn't back her against Errani?

Bet365 doesn't offer handicaps for that game, will they open the market closer to kick off (or whatever the tennis ter is)

[frugalgambler]

Uh, maybe there is a reason Petko is least favored to win it all ? I think she is basically a less powerful version of Jankovic and we just saw what happened to JJ when she tried to overpower Errani.

[frugalgambler]

Wow, Errani is -300 ? WTF ? They were just close to 50/50 in Madrid. Errani is playing better but not that much better, is she ?

[whareouttogetme]

Wow, Errani is -300 ? WTF ? They were just close to 50/50 in Madrid. Errani is playing better but not that much better, is she ?

Maybe it's worth picking Petkovic if she's given a good handicap?

[matt1216]

I watched the petkovic match.... You were lucky to win if you were on her... Bertens had 3 times the amount of winners... Berten's lack of clutch tennis near the end cost her the match.

[zec]

I agree with the odds. Errant is significantly better at the moment

[whareouttogetme]

I watched the petkovic match.... You were lucky to win if you were on her... Bertens had 3 times the amount of winners... Berten's lack of clutch tennis near the end cost her the match.

Nah I didn't see that match or bet on it, I did on the game before though. She looked good IMO

Anyway the handicap is set at +4.5 for Petkovic

I agree with the odds. Errant is significantly better at the moment

Okay, how about the handicap?

[zec]

It's hard to tell, I mean she loses 6-1 to Bertens in the first set today. I wouldn't touch it.

[Hardcoar]

Trappy trap is trappy.

[zec]

In Madrid Errani beat her 7-5, 6-1. I think Errani wins in 2 sets, and if it does go three sets I see it as 2-1 for Errani with one of the two sets leaving Petkovic with 2 or less games. That's just the way Errani's matches go when she is in form.

[frugalgambler]

Yeah, if you think Petko can make a match out of it, I would probably chose over instead of the game handicap. Not sure, though.

Bertens played out of her mind in the 1st set, I do not think Errani would have done better than Petko in that 1st set. Kiki won that set in Serena's or Sharapova's style dusting of human-backboard opps like Errani. But as expected, Bertens started to hit a lot of UEs in the 2nd set. Maybe somebody will provide a better insight. It sure is tempting to take Petko's spread or over at that price.

[whareouttogetme]

It's hard to tell, I mean she loses 6-1 to Bertens in the first set today. I wouldn't touch it.

She did well to come back though. Maybe I'll put a small amount on if I win my baseball bets tonight.

[jtoler]

No trap Errani should win, she's better on this surface, 3-1 is not too far off its expensive but she's quite a bit better.

[matt1216]

It's hard to tell, I mean she loses 6-1 to Bertens in the first set today. I wouldn't touch it.

Bertens was hitting everything in set 1.... Set 2&3 she literally couldn't hit a donkeys ass with canoe paddle!

[Hardcoar]

No trap Errani should win, she's better on this surface, 3-1 is not too far off its expensive but she's quite a bit better.

I mean Petkovic line is a trap. She's doomed to lose by the looks of the odds.

[beefcake]

Don't count out Pet man. She has a big emotional edge IMO coming back from injury.She almost quit the sport and was going to intern for some newspapers. I think she wants this more. Obviously Errani is the better player, but watch the tears flow like a fukking river if she can pull the upset.

[whareouttogetme]

Don't count out Pet man. She has a big emotional edge IMO coming back from injury.She almost quit the sport and was going to intern for some newspapers. I think she wants this more. Obviously Errani is the better player, but watch the tears flow like a fukking river if she can pull the upset.

No upsets today, hopefully she pull it off

[frugalgambler]

Um, I think they both will really want it tomorrow so motivation should not be an issue. Over the past cuple of years, Errani has been great on clay, and at RG in particular; the only way to beat her is to overpower her and Petko just does not seem to have that kind of power: she also likes to counterattack and defend. Hmm. Liking Errani, but probably not at -300 odds. Errani 2-0 seems to be worth a punt @-115. If it goes to three sets, I think Errani will be at a disadvantage b/c she has to expend a lot of energy on defense.

[GoBlue77]

Don't count out Pet man. She has a big emotional edge IMO coming back from injury.She almost quit the sport and was going to intern for some newspapers. I think she wants this more. Obviously Errani is the better player, but watch the tears flow like a fukking river if she can pull the upset.

she's been back from injury a long time now, thats a non issue.
rumor is petko is suffering from stomach virus plus she hasn't played well all tourney tbh.
also, errani finally getting to play on Philipe Chatrier for the first time, i like errani a lot!!

[beantown34]

Anyone know the line ? Thanks

[kenz]

Madrid is fast clay, like Charleston not Errani's style so she got early exits(Still beat Petkovic). In Rome she was in final, slow clay.

Errani wins this. This is slow clay RG, since 2012 she only lost to Masha and Serena, one final one semi-final. She beat Kuznetsova, Kerber, Stosur, Ivanovic, Lisicki, Carla Suarez Navarro, Radwanska, Jankovic...

Grass and hard court season is coming where Errani gets humiliated, I am sure she will give everything for a win here and Petkovic is overrated generally

[matt1216]

for anyone who's curious Petkovic Total games just went from 10.5 to 10

[kenz]

Errani is very patient in rallies and comfortable on court. One of the biggest reasons she beat JJ last 2 times, JJ was opposite. Errani builds points, does not hurry and looks like at home on clay. Petkovic will be nervous today

[cashaholic]

Errani is winning dont waste your money on a sleeping dog

[pattymayo]

Petko has had the easiest draw to this point

[beefcake]

You guys look to be right, but dam will be a public burial if Pet pulls the upset. I think Errani is a rhythm player and the weather may play to Pets favor if it starts and stops.

[ardacet8]

Last year I watched Errani versus Jankovic live and for that match I had a bet on Jankovic. But Errani fascinated me with how she moves in the court and her solid returns. So after the match I strongly applaused for Errani and I never betted against her after that match. It is either Errani or no play for me for Errani's matches. And for this, Errani will dominate Petkovic with like a 6-2, 6-3 kinda score. I also watched Petkovic a lot this season and won quite good money with her and she is really good against mediocre players but doesnt have power to oppose big players, especially like Errani. Just look at her previous matches and please give me a win against a high calibre player in an important tournament.

[kenz]

shitty weather favoring Petkovic

[beefcake]

She is playing with purpose..now dont pull a CSN and lose the first set..

[whareouttogetme]

Good old Petkovic

There goes the +4.5 guaranteed

[Cappinpicks]

Trappy trap is trappy.

cant fix a pussy to serve decent lol

[whareouttogetme]

cant fix a pussy to serve decent lol

Being Italian myself, I know Italians don't get things done when it matters.

If she's anything like the football team, she'll beat the best in the sport, but lose against the shittiest, lowest ranked people out there.

[Optional]

Nice win.

How does your gut feel now?

Allup against Halep?

[Marillion]

Except that Errani usually doesn't have a chance against the very best lol.

[Cappinpicks]

petko had to be the most obvious upset inplay of the last decade