Been out of the tennis loop but how is Federer not a steal -195 over Gulbis?

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #1
    Been out of the tennis loop but how is Federer not a steal -195 over Gulbis?
    I miss tennis action.
    I actually crushed it finanacially, but the feeds were just so awful and I didn't enjoy not being able to watch a lot of the matches I was betting on, so I have left it alone since MLB started.

    I don't see how I can't dump a shit-ton of money on this play tomorrow morning though.

    Someone tell me why this line is so small?

    I have done very well capping federer matches and watched a bit of his lat match and seemed to look fine.

    Why is this line so small and does anyone like Gulbis?

    I think I'm going hard on this match.

    Federer seems like free money.

    Give me some details boy.

    Check in my old tennis guys.

    Thanks.

    BBN
  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #2
    This reeks with trappy trap.
    Comment
    • Brooklyn Dick
      SBR MVP
      • 09-12-08
      • 1070

      #3
      Federer is far from dominant on the Red Clay. Gulbis is solid on clay. It will be a tough match.
      Comment
      • amolg24
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-26-13
        • 373

        #4
        Had the same reaction when I first saw the line, but Fed is just way outta his prime I feel like this could be such a trap play, BUT nonetheless i will be backing Fed 1/2 bet on the spread -3 and half the bet on ML. There is definitely nobody more motivated to return to a French Open final which is really what it's all about. If there is a tourney that Federer has been very unsuccessful as, it would be the French. He wants it bad no doubt about it, especially since its the latter part of his career. At -205, currently, there is big value here backing Fed.
        Comment
        • tipsadontlikehim
          SBR MVP
          • 11-14-13
          • 2569

          #5
          got the feeling Gulbis will play better than Federer but will end up beating himself
          won't play on this match though
          Comment
          • BigNik
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-14-13
            • 639

            #6
            Over is the play here guys!!!
            Comment
            • Cappinpicks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-11-10
              • 14986

              #7
              Federer blows balls lolz
              Comment
              • RMStanley
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-03-11
                • 824

                #8
                He pissed away this match
                Comment
                • EmpireMaker
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 06-18-09
                  • 15581

                  #9
                  Gulbis is up a break in the 5th
                  Comment
                  • Cappinpicks
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-11-10
                    • 14986

                    #10
                    What a win earnie
                    Comment
                    • Cappinpicks
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-11-10
                      • 14986

                      #11
                      Free money galore earnie
                      Comment
                      • bababooey13
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-13
                        • 1897

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                        Free money galore earnie
                        My sis and grandma r on federer. Wake up.
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #13
                          Trappy trap is trappy...

                          The real wonder is how the market knows.
                          Comment
                          • Cappinpicks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-11-10
                            • 14986

                            #14
                            Cmoon double break grab it
                            Comment
                            • Cappinpicks
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-11-10
                              • 14986

                              #15
                              5-2 gas petal
                              Comment
                              • w@lt
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-10
                                • 2594

                                #16
                                Roger Federer +675 live after down 5-2
                                Comment
                                • lucasdawg
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-19-13
                                  • 3399

                                  #17
                                  easy over play
                                  Comment
                                  • Cappinpicks
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-11-10
                                    • 14986

                                    #18
                                    Could have got +1600
                                    Comment
                                    • Cappinpicks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-11-10
                                      • 14986

                                      #19
                                      Easiest win of my life shoulda had in my parlay lock
                                      Comment
                                      • w@lt
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-08-10
                                        • 2594

                                        #20
                                        Shit.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cappinpicks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-11-10
                                          • 14986

                                          #21
                                          This is classic
                                          Comment
                                          • Cappinpicks
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-11-10
                                            • 14986

                                            #22
                                            Jokovic all in?
                                            Comment
                                            • tipsadontlikehim
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-14-13
                                              • 2569

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                              Jokovic all in?
                                              3-0
                                              Comment
                                              • Cappinpicks
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-11-10
                                                • 14986

                                                #24
                                                What an easy day of tennis
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  Fed is done

                                                  Why does he still play??
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Cappinpicks
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-11-10
                                                    • 14986

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Fed is done

                                                    Why does he still play??
                                                    surprised he didn't blow 4th set, big tease
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-16-12
                                                      • 8700

                                                      #27
                                                      I know Federer is pretty much is a 2nd tier player on his last leg but this loss surprised me.
                                                      He choked off that 2nd set hard up a break and never recovered.

                                                      I dropped a unit on him in parlays with my MLB action today, but glad I didn't go too crazy with it.
                                                      I didn't see any of the SBr guys going hard on Feds so it kinda scared me off a little.
                                                      I gotta figure some ppl lost some money betting Feds live during the match. Books probably cleaned up there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shari91
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-23-10
                                                        • 32661

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                        I know Federer is pretty much is a 2nd tier player on his last leg but this loss surprised me.
                                                        He choked off that 2nd set hard up a break and never recovered.

                                                        I dropped a unit on him in parlays with my MLB action today, but glad I didn't go too crazy with it.
                                                        I didn't see any of the SBr guys going hard on Feds so it kinda scared me off a little.
                                                        I gotta figure some ppl lost some money betting Feds live during the match. Books probably cleaned up there.
                                                        The tips for Gulbis were 29-24 on TI which actually surprised me. I think for all those who took Gulbis pre match and cleaned up, there were those who (rightfully mind you) took the favourite live when he was down so they could get better odds on him as you should. More times than not that strategy works ie those who grabbed Sharapova at +200 live vs Stosur earlier but when it doesn't work, that's how the books make back that cash they lost on those who took the dog pre match. Yet another example of why you need to be an absolute dumb fukker to not have a profitable book.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • makman
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-31-10
                                                          • 1019

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                          I miss tennis action.
                                                          I actually crushed it finanacially, but the feeds were just so awful and I didn't enjoy not being able to watch a lot of the matches I was betting on, so I have left it alone since MLB started.

                                                          I don't see how I can't dump a shit-ton of money on this play tomorrow morning though.

                                                          Someone tell me why this line is so small?

                                                          I have done very well capping federer matches and watched a bit of his lat match and seemed to look fine.

                                                          Why is this line so small and does anyone like Gulbis?

                                                          I think I'm going hard on this match.

                                                          Federer seems like free money.

                                                          Give me some details boy.

                                                          Check in my old tennis guys.

                                                          Thanks.

                                                          BBN
                                                          if you have been out of this loop dont think/talk about easy stealing money dude. Especially when the player you are talking may retire in a year or two.
                                                          Comment
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