Any solid dogs for Friday

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Bet10Heinekens
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-10-13
    • 10567

    #1
    Any solid dogs for Friday
    I'm looking at R.B.A. +175 and Isner +160

    No sold with Birdshit, If he play like he did vs Nedo, R.B.A. will have a shot

    bet Isner and pray for tiebreakers


    any dogs jump out for Friday
  • Geoff_Saari
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-30-14
    • 166

    #2
    Dusan Lajovic to take down Sock, of course

    edit: oops, just realized that one´s on saturday
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      Everyone will be on Bautista-Agut. TI has this ridiculously tipped 33-4 in favor of the Spaniard. I think it's a different story on slower clay where Berdych should do better than he did against him in Indian Wells. Probably avoid it altogether though as Berdych is still iffy with form so far, need to see more from him.

      Men's side, I think Granollers or Simon can pull an upset. Isner also won't be without a chance IMO if he can serve really well and get cheap points off Robredo.
      Comment
      • zec
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-03-14
        • 548

        #4
        I like Isner a lot; I am having a hard time predicting Raonic/Simon.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          I think if Simon is able to return serve and not let Raonic just whip him around for cheap points off-serve, Raonic will be ripe. Simon will work him long in rallies ... but the caveat being that he has to get his racket on Raonic's serves to put them in play and start those rallies.
          Comment
          • Vinnie Paz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-27-12
            • 12177

            #6
            anything on the wta side guys? are we fading muguruza off the serena win???
            Comment
            • gregm
              SBR MVP
              • 03-14-11
              • 3535

              #7
              Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
              anything on the wta side guys? are we fading muguruza off the serena win???
              Dogs moneyline or against the spread? At this stage in grand slams you start to get a pretty good impression of who is here to play and the usual suspects start showing up always for the final 16, Quarters and Semis. One of the best sports for parlays at this stage, stat wise historically, if you choose the right players. A ton of people on agut over berdych but I am fading that based on clay stats for the two players, maybe Hantuchova but I am not touching it. I am taking a small punt on townsend +5.5 over suarez navvarro but that is solely based on watching her match with cornet, stat wise there is nothing to go on.

              Saturday seems to offer some better dogs worth looking at. Cirstea over Jankovic and Safarova over Ivanovic should offer some great handicaps. Monfils over Fognini, Karlovic is on a tear, Lajovic might be worth a punt .
              Comment
              • matt1216
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-27-11
                • 14683

                #8
                Originally posted by Geoff_Saari
                Dusan Lajovic to take down Sock, of course

                edit: oops, just realized that one´s on saturday
                Thats not gonna happen
                Comment
                • JC1186
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-21-14
                  • 1070

                  #9
                  I've got a big play on a big dog tonight. One I've been waiting on for a few days now. Just waiting for the odds to drift a little higher as the money comes in for the fav.

                  Will post it up later. I doubt anyone will get on though hah!
                  Comment
                  • lucasdawg
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-19-13
                    • 3399

                    #10
                    taking overs for all games:

                    Robredo v Isner
                    Raonic v Simon
                    Berdych v Bautista

                    BOL
                    Comment
                    • brodie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-25-13
                      • 2212

                      #11
                      watching isner against kukushkin, i really think robredo has a good shot to beat him in 3 or 4

                      raonic will beat simon

                      klizan/granollers is a toss up but i guess i like granollers since he's the dog

                      honestly one that i like is Jerzy at +375 or maybe the over

                      and i like gael monfils tomorrow
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #12
                        Klizan should win

                        Granollers in this form is shit. Pysically torn, vulnerable BH

                        Wonder if Dolgo got injured from the scoreline.
                        Comment
                        • kenz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-12
                          • 4879

                          #13
                          On Klizan and Tsonga ML
                          Comment
                          • lucasdawg
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-19-13
                            • 3399

                            #14
                            wouldnt be surprised if Granollers bitches out
                            Comment
                            • kenz
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-09-12
                              • 4879

                              #15
                              Took it from marathonbet, if 1st set is completed ML bets are valid
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #16
                                Have to chuckle at the idiots at TI who were all majorly on Bautista-Agut. Did not understand that one.
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                  Have to chuckle at the idiots at TI who were all majorly on Bautista-Agut. Did not understand that one.
                                  EP, just shows you what they know... Jack shit.
                                  Comment
                                  • ap1ftw
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-22-14
                                    • 671

                                    #18
                                    J. JANOWICZ +390
                                    Comment
                                    • Semper Fidelis
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-22-11
                                      • 1999

                                      #19
                                      What about the home dogs? Certainly Simon seems to have a better shot at pulling the upset, but what do you think about Parmentier? We all know huge dogs win more often in WTA (already one scalp for the day in A-Rad losing to Tom at +700), but who else upsets today? I have a hunch that one more dog wins today, but can't choose between Larsson and Pamentier...
                                      Comment
                                      • marniblitz
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 01-20-13
                                        • 74

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                        Have to chuckle at the idiots at TI who were all majorly on Bautista-Agut. Did not understand that one.
                                        One-sided action always raises a red flag, but RBA is 2-1 head to head (granted, all on hard) and just beat Birdy at Indian Wells. +200 doesn't seem idiotic to me, regardless of outcome.
                                        Comment
                                        • gregm
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-14-11
                                          • 3535

                                          #21
                                          Tennis insight is probably my favorite tennis web site for all the tools they provide you like the filters and the ti model and a good database but there are usually only a few really good insights on there from the users. Most people just make wager with no insight to get on the leader board and get a free subscription I guess. I didnt see anyone mention the fact that berdych had much better numbers on clay and beaten players like Djokovic, Almagro, Murray, Del Potro on clay. Agut had never beaten a top 10 player on clay and only one player in the top 50 on clay.I guess they see he is a spaniard and assumed he is good on clay, his numbers are pretty average on the surface

                                          Really looking forward to gulbis /federer. Like monfils and kvitova as small dogs tomorrow, would be surprised to see glopez drop a set
                                          Comment
                                          • kenz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-09-12
                                            • 4879

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by kenz
                                            On Klizan and Tsonga ML
                                            Tsonga cashed. Also had -1.5 sets @1.50 and 3-0 @2.30

                                            I had Gulbis ML too.

                                            Klizan does not look great though, watching the game

                                            Live bet Berdych @1.60 after he got broken in his first serve of the game and 0-30 on Agut's.

                                            Good day for favourites but Klizan is doubtful. Playing kinda free style
                                            Comment
                                            • frugalgambler
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-30-13
                                              • 3418

                                              #23
                                              Tsonga/Djoker should by dynamite. Djoker really does not like to be the villain, and Tsonga@RG is a whole different animal, he should take at least a set, probably two, possibly the match. This is where Nadal and even Feds would enjoy to disappoint the hostile crowd, but Djoker will most likely struggle with that.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #24
                                                You didn't watch Konga conceding to DAVIIID!!! last year, did you?
                                                Comment
                                                • frugalgambler
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-30-13
                                                  • 3418

                                                  #25
                                                  Yeah, Ferrer last year was a brick wall, but right now Djoker looks anything but. Plus, I think Tsonga thought he had a real chance against Ferrer and he choke real hard. He will be much more relaxed vs Djoker as an overwhelming dog.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kenz
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-09-12
                                                    • 4879

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                    You didn't watch Konga conceding to DAVIIID!!! last year, did you?
                                                    I watched it and recently I post a ticket I won last year in a Tipsa thread.

                                                    My bookie made a mistake and opened -before semifinals- Ferrer to finish runner up @3.40. Ferrer against Konga was @1.75. Considering he cant win on final (Nadal/Novak) and the possible odds, this @3.40 was golden. I bet $900 on it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kenz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                      • 4879

                                                      #27
                                                      I knew I should take Granollers first set @6 a break down but when I saw 30-0 Klizan leading I thought it was over
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kenz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-12
                                                        • 4879

                                                        #28
                                                        Tsonga was horrible today, make no mistake. Thanks to Jano he won easily.

                                                        His legs and body looks really heavy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fitguy67
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-13-11
                                                          • 5082

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by frugalgambler
                                                          Tsonga/Djoker should by dynamite. Djoker really does not like to be the villain, and Tsonga@RG is a whole different animal, he should take at least a set, probably two, possibly the match. This is where Nadal and even Feds would enjoy to disappoint the hostile crowd, but Djoker will most likely struggle with that.
                                                          very interesting angle...economic textbooks always say firms are driven virtually-exclusively to make profit...but much research disproves that patently (the popular paperback "Freakonomics" is a good starting point...see "Choosing the Right Pond" for a more comprehensive approach)...

                                                          in reality, there are a lot more factors that underly behavior, mostly of two general sorts:
                                                          "chest thumping" (demonstrating one's attainment rather than adding to it), or on flip-side
                                                          "woodwork hiding" (ie. avoiding awkward situations, even if by dealing with them directly, opportunities might be created)


                                                          _________
                                                          as winning matches is the exact analog to making profit for each player's "firm", of which he is the CEO...ideas that incorporate other motivations can not be discounted

                                                          __________

                                                          look at Pops choosing to risk the NBA championship that was literally being wheeled out to him with only 35secnds to go in the 6th game...to literally take that trophy and all that came with it...and, rather than protect it with his life...he put his "that's just not my style" abhorrence for late-fouling-in-such-situations above winning...he put his need to demonstrate the consistency of his character over winning his sport's ultimate prize...

                                                          normally all sorts of little "games within the game" like that--that are counter-productive to victory--are invisible and "work out in the wash" of the whole contest's result (eg. had the Spurs hung on DESPITE Pop's pig-headedness--a far more likely occurrence than what actually happened!)--we'd never have such a clear example of how apaprently-secondary concerns (such as the coach's "need for integrity") CAN and often DO trump the "need for victory"

                                                          ____________

                                                          in any given contest, within each participant there are countless intangible undercurrents, some of them running counter to the obvious "need to win"...

                                                          these are all captured imperfectly in the expression "he played like he had a plane to catch"
                                                          Comment
                                                          • manwiss
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 05-24-14
                                                            • 77

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by kenz
                                                            I knew I should take Granollers first set @6 a break down but when I saw 30-0 Klizan leading I thought it was over
                                                            I'm thinking about Klizan 4th set, your opinion?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kenz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-12
                                                              • 4879

                                                              #31
                                                              no idea.

                                                              tough game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Geoff_Saari
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 04-30-14
                                                                • 166

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by matt1216
                                                                Thats not gonna happen



                                                                Lajovic .. as I called it
                                                                Comment
                                                                Search
                                                                Collapse
                                                                SBR Contests
                                                                Collapse
                                                                Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                Collapse
                                                                Working...