giraldo a dog against agut?

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  • bababooey13
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-13
    • 1897

    #1
    giraldo a dog against agut?
    trap line if ever seen one, no?
    makes me think agut is the play.
  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #2
    No trap line, it's correct. It's because Agut will have a heavy home crowd playing in Spain.
    Comment
    • bababooey13
      SBR MVP
      • 11-13-13
      • 1897

      #3
      Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
      No trap line, it's correct. It's because Agut will have a heavy home crowd playing in Spain.
      i predict 90% of the public money on giraldo.
      Comment
      • pazim
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-09-10
        • 316

        #4
        Giraldo beat two top 15 players that were way out of their form. Nothing special.
        Comment
        • bababooey13
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-13
          • 1897

          #5
          Originally posted by pazim
          Giraldo beat two top 15 players that were way out of their form. Nothing special.
          as i said, i think agut is the play.
          but losing 2 matches in your last 16 is something special.
          Comment
          • Geoff_Saari
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-30-14
            • 166

            #6
            I see as a coinflip , those 2 are having a breakthrough year and I dont see a clear favorite for tomorrow

            I rather parlayed Nadal + Sushikori for easy coin.
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #7
              This is giraldos shot to make it all the way. Agut hasn't been that great. Verdasco gave him the match and Kubot is nothing on clay really.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Either take it for a 3 set prop /over or pass and even that is no gimme. Anyone who sees an edge should post winning lotto picks too.

                Home court really means very little IMO. Talent and execution win matches, not crowds.
                Comment
                • bababooey13
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-13
                  • 1897

                  #9
                  based purely on odds and public perception im thinking the books significantly give the edge to agut
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    I think public is split. Half fall for the home court edge. Half for Giraldo as they look at the names he beat.

                    Absolute pass for me although likely to be a good match overall.
                    Comment
                    • bababooey13
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-13
                      • 1897

                      #11
                      good point EP. may have to pass.
                      Comment
                      • MagicDiceFlow
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-12
                        • 4585

                        #12
                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                        Either take it for a 3 set prop /over or pass and even that is no gimme. Anyone who sees an edge should post winning lotto picks too.

                        Home court really means very little IMO. Talent and execution win matches, not crowds.

                        I disagree dude. Home court will help in those tight moments during the match especially during deuce points. Also don't forget , this isn't some rinky dink tournament, it's a Masters 1000 event so there will be a considerable crowd there. For the elite players like Nadal/Djoker , home crowd may have no effect on them but for the guys outside the top 30, you can bet it has some effect.

                        I personally think Giraldo has more talent but will stay away from the match since it'll most likely be a coinflip.
                        Comment
                        • sluggy1616
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-21-13
                          • 1317

                          #13
                          I can't let go of Giraldo losing to Querry a the A/O.
                          Comment
                          • bababooey13
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-13
                            • 1897

                            #14
                            Originally posted by sluggy1616
                            I can't let go of Giraldo losing to Querry a the A/O.
                            ya i do this all the time with players too. think back to their horrible losses that made you go wtf.
                            that was months ago dude. giraldo is absolutely on fire right now. and hes a dirt baller.
                            Comment
                            • MoneylineExpress
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-18-11
                              • 1439

                              #15
                              Lean to the over 22.5 games
                              Comment
                              • sluggy1616
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-21-13
                                • 1317

                                #16
                                I also think about how Agut handled Nishi much better than Giraldo did last tourney.
                                Comment
                                • SirtySree
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-19-13
                                  • 2370

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                  I also think about how Agut handled Nishi much better than Giraldo did last tourney.
                                  Nish is playing way better now than that game though. He was coming back from injury and hadn't played for almost a month, plus it was the 1st clay match for the season for him.

                                  Also Giraldo's game is the players that Nish likes to play whereas Agut is a bit more difficult for Nish to deal with so wouldn't take the comparison of the two matches into consideration too much.

                                  In terms of the match today between Agut and Giraldo, the line pretty much says it all. It's a coin flip with Agut having the slight edge due to home advantage. Personally, I reckon whichever way u pick it's just hoping the coin lands on the right side.
                                  Comment
                                  • kenz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-12
                                    • 4879

                                    #18
                                    Spanish crowd was to the point of rudeness last year supporting Verdasco. They did all they can to disturb Raonic and Tsonga.

                                    But Nando is born/lives in Madrid + a big name. Agut does not live in MAdrid + is not a big name + a very laid-back guy who does not seem to interact well with the crowd, like Andreas Seppi.
                                    Comment
                                    • kenz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-09-12
                                      • 4879

                                      #19
                                      Agut is born/lives in Castellon de la Plana, a city in the north of Valencia and really close to Catalonia. No need to say Madrid hates Catalonia. Also The crowd may dislike Agut for beating Nando.

                                      I dont think there will be a crowd factor to the point of deciding the winner.
                                      Comment
                                      • bababooey13
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-13
                                        • 1897

                                        #20
                                        Im seeing a significant consensus on giraldo most places i look yet his odds have gone up on pinny.
                                        gonna take agut for shits n giggles.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cappinpicks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-11-10
                                          • 14986

                                          #21
                                          Giraldo looks like free $$ as usual.. hope its not
                                          Comment
                                          • kenz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-09-12
                                            • 4879

                                            #22
                                            Over 22
                                            Comment
                                            • Bet10Heinekens
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-10-13
                                              • 10567

                                              #23
                                              3 sets +145
                                              Comment
                                              • bababooey13
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-13
                                                • 1897

                                                #24
                                                Comment
                                                • MoneylineExpress
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-18-11
                                                  • 1439

                                                  #25
                                                  Giraldo had so many chances to break in the 2nd. Think he was 0-5 in break chances in 2 straight services games.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dmoneytx
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-09-12
                                                    • 6450

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
                                                    3 sets +145
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dmoneytx
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-09-12
                                                      • 6450

                                                      #27
                                                      Hey Bet, this is how you do it brotha.. And I was just having fun with this match, lol

                                                      R. Bautista-Agut Sets VS S. Giraldo Sets
                                                      Sets -1½ +200
                                                      Risk 50.00 To Win 100.00
                                                      Ticket Number 267301003 accepted
                                                      Total Risk : 50.00
                                                      Total Potential Win : 100.00


                                                      Easy money there brotha. Time to put up the fishing poles, that or go to church more, lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MagicDiceFlow
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-15-12
                                                        • 4585

                                                        #28
                                                        Told ya, playing at home was going to help Agut. Books saw this too which is why he was the favorite.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kenz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-09-12
                                                          • 4879

                                                          #29
                                                          I still dont see how the home crowd factor helped Agut.

                                                          I think he was the better player, although I took an over bet and lost
                                                          Comment
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