Home Country Unseeded Challenger System 2014..

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    Home Country Unseeded Challenger System 2014..
    Going to see how this goes..Last year the ROI was good until I left off..Will be using Bovada and 5 dimes..5 dimes usually better for dogs and bovada for small favs or pick em generally..

    Filters below

    1. Look at draw of 32 to see who is from the host country of challenger of event.
    2.Eliminate all qualies,seeded,wildcards,provisional, lucky losers..etc..only unseeded run of the mill regulars good enough to get in on ranking with no goddam help or special circumstances..
    3. Unseeded cannot play other players from the same country, have to be from different country.
    4..All plays are 1 unit risk..

    Theory's on this..
    Home advantage due to travel,familiarity of surface, crowd support over the long haul will give us an advantage to scratch out a profit...

    Last years thread link before I quit in July..http://forum.sbrforum.com/tennis-bet...engers-p4.html

    Today..

    Romboli -110(bovada)
    Pererira +495..5 dimes
    Capedeville(-115) bovada

    I tracked last year and it was 107-89 overall w/l...and betting wise it was 28-21 +7.15 units.. 78.1 units staked with +10.92% ROI..

    NOTE: This week those players have been losing their ass off,but starting tracking today since we are getting into the meat of challenger season with 3-4 per week..
  • matt1216
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-27-11
    • 14683

    #2
    I got duckworth today.. He looked great yesterday plus I like to consider the expensive plane flight theory. He should be fighting hard to make some money back
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #3
      Two quick losses..Its a LONG marathon, not a 100 meter dash..Last year we had good weeks of 9-3 and shit weeks of 1-5..

      Lets see if old man Capedeville has some pepper on home soil...Good luck with your play matt..one of us will win!!!
      Comment
      • fcmb
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-02-14
        • 628

        #4
        Zverev M , Ciric , Saretta , Wang T..

        Those dogs could make a surprise today
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #5
          Originally posted by beefcake
          Two quick losses..Its a LONG marathon, not a 100 meter dash..Last year we had good weeks of 9-3 and shit weeks of 1-5..

          Lets see if old man Capedeville has some pepper on home soil...Good luck with your play matt..one of us will win!!!
          Good luck as well man.
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #6
            0-3 -3.25 units...


            Poblidnik-castillo tomorrow.Last man standing till next week..+190 already..will wait for better price.
            Comment
            • brodie
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-13
              • 2212

              #7
              Originally posted by beefcake
              0-3 -3.25 units...


              Poblidnik-castillo tomorrow.Last man standing till next week..+190 already..will wait for better price.
              hmm... i dont know if this guy can beat kudla
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                +220 is the price....
                Comment
                • beefcake
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 14029

                  #9
                  1-3 -1.05 units..Pop gets it done.Will be playing him vs Schwank again..

                  4.25 units risked ROI is -12.5%
                  Comment
                  • beefcake
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 14029

                    #10
                    Hans Podlipnik-Castillo +140..
                    Comment
                    • beefcake
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 14029

                      #11
                      winner again..

                      2-3 +0.35 units

                      5.25 units risked..ROI is -9.3%
                      Comment
                      • beefcake
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 14029

                        #12
                        Hans Podlipnik-Castillo +180..Tough task vs Duckworth..but we play em all..
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #13
                          Isn't the ROI +6.7%??
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #14
                            Math guru that I am..Refresh my memory on how to calculate with these numbers above hardcore..thanks!!
                            Comment
                            • Hardcoar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-13
                              • 15606

                              #15
                              I figured ROI is results proportionate to total stake:

                              .035/5.25 = ~0.667 -> 6.7 %

                              It cannot be negative if you're up overall.

                              Maybe you're using some other measurement than what I have in mind, though.
                              Comment
                              • beefcake
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-26-09
                                • 14029

                                #16
                                Yeah was using a investment formula..
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #17
                                  Well, that sucks Podlip retired...was up a break and lost it then quit.Anyone know what happened?

                                  PUSH...Thats it mates, see you sunday night or Monday for the 4 upcoming tourneys..
                                  Comment
                                  • brodie
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-25-13
                                    • 2212

                                    #18
                                    great call on hans didnt see him beating either of those guys
                                    Comment
                                    • beefcake
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 14029

                                      #19
                                      Here is who we are playing to start off..No prices yet..

                                      Shenzen..
                                      Zhang..zemlja has not played in forever..
                                      WUU,DI..lacko sucks balls

                                      Vercelli..
                                      Cecchinato..Plays brown if he wins...NO!!!
                                      Arnaboldi..typical italian stiff..oh boy

                                      Santos..
                                      Dutra Silva..playing a qualie..price will be high

                                      Savannah
                                      Reynolds
                                      Williams
                                      Both lost in first round in sarasota..good motivation to play well I hope.
                                      Comment
                                      • beefcake
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-26-09
                                        • 14029

                                        #20
                                        Zhang -220..(5 dimes)
                                        Comment
                                        • beefcake
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 14029

                                          #21
                                          Zhang is a winner

                                          Rest of today..

                                          Reynolds +210(5 dimes)

                                          WUU +178(5 dimes)
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #22
                                            Yeah baby...BOBBY!!! Hasnt won a clay match since my son who is 2 was born...Wouldn't ya know!! People took it in the ass with VEIC..
                                            Comment
                                            • beefcake
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 14029

                                              #23
                                              Rest for Tuesday..

                                              R.Williams -150
                                              Arnaboldi +120


                                              Dr Silva -700

                                              Will update record and ROI on Tues
                                              Comment
                                              • beefcake
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-26-09
                                                • 14029

                                                #24
                                                Silva doing his best to set us back 10 days..
                                                Comment
                                                • beefcake
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                  • 14029

                                                  #25
                                                  Silva just anally raped me(us) with Kitty litter as lube..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #26
                                                    Silva ..loss
                                                    Williams loss
                                                    Zhang win
                                                    Reynolds win
                                                    arnaboldi ..win
                                                    wuu ..loss

                                                    overall 5-6 -4.85 units

                                                    19 units risked..ROI -25.5 %% Thank you Silva..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cappinpicks
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                      • 14986

                                                      #27
                                                      how bad is shit williams, wow
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #28
                                                        zhang -375

                                                        Cecchinato -475
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beefcake
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 14029

                                                          #29
                                                          two winners so far

                                                          rest of today..

                                                          Ghem +130..bovada
                                                          Reynolds +175..5 dimes
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beefcake
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 14029

                                                            #30
                                                            7-8 -4.85 units

                                                            29.5 units risked.. -16.4% Roi
                                                            Comment
                                                            • beefcake
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 14029

                                                              #31
                                                              Today..

                                                              Cecchinato +105..bovada
                                                              Arnaboldi -150..5 dimes


                                                              Zhang tonight..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • beefcake
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-26-09
                                                                • 14029

                                                                #32
                                                                Faded brown as well..Nice win for the italian! If potato head wins we will not play cecch next round..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • beefcake
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                                  • 14029

                                                                  #33
                                                                  9-8 -2.80..Almost there..

                                                                  ROI is 31.55 units staked...-8.87%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • beefcake
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                                    • 14029

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Zhang +220
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Groove on Brother Beefcake
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...