Nadal to win Miami +160
Nadal looks like a man on a mission,after he was finalist three times in the past(05,08,11), he is not going to stop until he wins the missing title. slow court seems perfectly suited to his playing style.
In Miami his serves look superior and very effective,against Istomin and Fognini (didnt saw the game vs Hewitt) he was excellent, right they are not the best players in the world, but even when they played perfectly,they failed to win the rally,it seems that the only way to keep up with him,is to play more than perfect, and even then, I highly doubt if they could win if Rafa will keep playing like that.
A quick look at his possible opponents on his way to winning the title.
In QF he will play vs Raonic(@1.10),Raonic only able to serve,and bac moso of the tims he playing against bad returners he managed to win,last game vs Backer he alow 8BP in two stright serves game,he saved them all but if he was playing against the best returner in tour he was paying for it.
SF he is expected to meet Berdych\Dolgo,against Dolgo he's going to come to take revenge (also Dolgo played a ton of tennis lately) and odds should be 1.15,against Berdych he also need to win w/o any problem and odds should be 1.20.
In the Final,he is expected to meet Joker/Murray/Federer, first two not playing at the top of their form,about Murray I do not need to say too much,and about Nole we all saw how he playing this year,he struggled too many times,lost to Fed after lead by set,barely defeated Federer in IW last week after TB in decider,and in this way Nadal will be a very difficult task,however Nadal should be fav on this game,mybe 1.70.
about Fed,is an awesome this year that's for sure, but still his less dangerous on slow courts,much more difficult to execute his game plan on a slow courts,esp as Miami courts, and against Nadal that makes a extraordinary defense and play long points it will be almost an impossible mission,odds should be 1.45.
So IMHO 2.63 @ Pinnacle it very good odds.
In Miami his serves look superior and very effective,against Istomin and Fognini (didnt saw the game vs Hewitt) he was excellent, right they are not the best players in the world, but even when they played perfectly,they failed to win the rally,it seems that the only way to keep up with him,is to play more than perfect, and even then, I highly doubt if they could win if Rafa will keep playing like that.
A quick look at his possible opponents on his way to winning the title.
In QF he will play vs Raonic(@1.10),Raonic only able to serve,and bac moso of the tims he playing against bad returners he managed to win,last game vs Backer he alow 8BP in two stright serves game,he saved them all but if he was playing against the best returner in tour he was paying for it.
SF he is expected to meet Berdych\Dolgo,against Dolgo he's going to come to take revenge (also Dolgo played a ton of tennis lately) and odds should be 1.15,against Berdych he also need to win w/o any problem and odds should be 1.20.
In the Final,he is expected to meet Joker/Murray/Federer, first two not playing at the top of their form,about Murray I do not need to say too much,and about Nole we all saw how he playing this year,he struggled too many times,lost to Fed after lead by set,barely defeated Federer in IW last week after TB in decider,and in this way Nadal will be a very difficult task,however Nadal should be fav on this game,mybe 1.70.
about Fed,is an awesome this year that's for sure, but still his less dangerous on slow courts,much more difficult to execute his game plan on a slow courts,esp as Miami courts, and against Nadal that makes a extraordinary defense and play long points it will be almost an impossible mission,odds should be 1.45.
So IMHO 2.63 @ Pinnacle it very good odds.
