Obvious plays for Wednesday & Thursday

[tipsadontlikehim]

that was close!!

[Hardcoar]

I know I'm late but how do you figure that is a good bet, considering it's Fognini and the odds are @1.321.

Were you really that convinced he'll cover this match at least 3/4 times by 5,5 games?

[tipsadontlikehim]

a quick look at the H2H... i thought Raonic was overrated on that match and I thought the long match against Johnson would not favour him
I could even picture Fognini taking a set, really didn't think he would tank like this, but obviously you are right, the scorelines says so.

[Hardcoar]

No this just happened to be the outcome. I was on Fognini @ 5 myself, but I would never have bet so much at so low odds on a player like him.

[tipsadontlikehim]

i got a betfair account now, i am thinking about new strategies, any advice is welcome

i am backtesting different strategies on oddsportal, i'd like to lay only low odds and see how it goes

[Hardcoar]

I think betting on low odds is a fine strategy. It doesn't really matter in the long run... The only thing that matters is that your bets have any positive value after commission.

[tipsadontlikehim]

yep indeed, a 6.5% commission, those bastards


do you play there ?

[professionalAD]

tipsa u should go back to doing totals

[tipsadontlikehim]

tipsa u should go back to doing totals

well it would not have made any difference since i would have bet the total on the Fognini match

[Hardcoar]

I do since a few weeks ago. You won't like how horrible they are for most things except ML, though.

[tipsadontlikehim]

lost

[tipsadontlikehim]

lost

[tipsadontlikehim]

this one is to make some profit by trading

[tipsadontlikehim]

oh i cashed out this one way too early
too bad

[ManeOnFire]

oh i cashed out this one way too early
too bad

Shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiite can't believe he made the final. Mind sharing at what stage and for how much you cashed? I imagine it wouldn't be for much but good pick bud.

[tipsadontlikehim]

no actually since i just opened an account on betfair i was just testing, hence my stake of 10 dollars, i still thought it was worth a bet @180 but i think i won something like 10 (so basically an odds of 2) because i cashed out before the Simon match (i really thought Simon would beat Cilic)

[tipsadontlikehim]

Rajeev Rampras

[tipsadontlikehim]

.OK

[tipsadontlikehim]

next:







OK

[tipsadontlikehim]

going with 2 rare soccer bets, but i believe this is very solid, and yes there is a value IMO even if it's juicy


+


Telford is last of the Conference (England), plays very poorly, Woking is second and is fighting to stay on the top of the ranking + they play at home, this is a must win.



1-3

[tipsadontlikehim]

6-2 6-2

[tipsadontlikehim]

Lock, simple as that.
Was waiting for the line to go big on Murray.
Watched Robredo-Chardy and Robredo is gased out. Had he lost the 2nd set tie break, he was gonna collapsed in the third, like he did against Murray in China few weeks ago.
This play is a lock for me, don't see how Robredo is gonna play a similar match he did in Zenchen (or whatever the name is) + conditions are different, it's indoors.


OK Lucky one

[brodie]

damn tipsa whats your bankroll 6g's is a lot to put up against the upset kid (man) tommy in his home country

although I haven't seen either of these guys play at all so far in this tourney

back to back tourneys for murray would kind of make sense so maybe you're on to something. good luck

[tipsadontlikehim]

yeah that's a huge play, and one of the times you can really trust Murray its a must win for him.
Ferrer was playing great and Murray dismantled him in straights, Robredo today didnt impress me one bit, home crowd won't play a big role, it didn't in the Ferrer match
thanks and good luck with whatever your plays are!

[ManeOnFire]

Lock, simple as that.
Was waiting for the line to go big on Murray.
Watched Robredo-Chardy and Robredo is gased out. Had he lost the 2nd set tie break, he was gonna collapsed in the third, like he did against Murray in China few weeks ago.
This play is a lock for me, don't see how Robredo is gonna play a similar match he did in Zenchen (or whatever the name is) + conditions are different, it's indoors.

How you feeling after a couple MPs champ?

[Hardcoar]

Sometimes you get lucky, despite making terrible choices.

Congratulations on your huge win!

RIP IN PIECES ROBREDO

[ManeOnFire]

bromygod final tie break Murray second serve MP 6-7 can't believe he returned Robredo's rocket forehand and then won the rally.

[1337 player]

wow nice win
must've sweat a lot after all these close games

[tipsadontlikehim]

a lock as expected











seriously the most stupid i did this year certainly a lesson to learn


back to more reasonable bets... I'll trust Gasquet (oxymoron i know)

Gasquet got a good record vs Istomin, he likes to play him. He wants to do good in Paris at least win a few matches to get ready for the Davis cup final. Surface will be different for sure, but winning a few matches here is important (for him and Tsonga)

[sluggy1616]

You obliviously, I mean obviously knew what you were doing.

Congrats

[tipsadontlikehim]

thanks

[1337 player]

a lock as expected











seriously the most stupid i did this year certainly a lesson to learn


back to more reasonable bets... I'll trust Gasquet (oxymoron i know)

Gasquet got a good record vs Istomin, he likes to play him. He wants to do good in Paris at least win a few matches to get ready for the Davis cup final. Surface will be different for sure, but winning a few matches here is important (for him and Tsonga)

Which bookie is giving you that odds?
I dont see anything close to that odds in my bookies

[tipsadontlikehim]

sorry for late reply
Pinnacle, opening odds @1.57 and since then dropping... not an easy match for Richard though

[tipsadontlikehim]

GAME SET & Match Richard

a lock

[pattymayo]

Any confidence in Benneteau?