BENNY'S TENNIS SWEAT THREAD- Check in when you have action boys!!

[BennyBigNuts]

Little going here with joker. 5-5 2nd set. Been a few breaks in this one.

[BennyBigNuts]

Going to 3 sets here.
Federer major mojo right now, Joker crumbling hard and playing like shit.

[WalkingLuckCharm]

you are never wrong benny. relax, man with the balls of steel

[sluggy1616]

Tough calls on a good small-price play today for these 2 matches.
Chalky parlay here, but I don't really see either of the favs losing today.
This is what they play for all year, no one's dogging these matches.
Choke-a-bitch wants that #1 ranking and Nadal ain't just gonna give it to him.
They both win today easily I think. Nadal may have a small battle and I kinda like that match going over, but joker should coast.

NADAL/CHOKE-A-BITCH PARLAY
-173

Why do you call him choke...??? I dont know that story

[BennyBigNuts]

Why do you call him choke...??? I dont know that story

No reason behind it. I like giving guys nicknames.
Choke-a-bitch pretty close to djokavic.
He is the man.

[BennyBigNuts]

Joker is EXHAUSTED today. He's hitting lots of shots not following through, lots of miscues. Way more than normal.
His feet are dead. Rarely see him like this. Even up 3-1 in the 3rd.
He can't get away with playing Murray or Nadal like this that's for sure. Federer is old and on the decline.

[BennyBigNuts]

Wrap it up guys. 4-1

[BennyBigNuts]

NADAL/CHOKE-A-BITCH PARLAY
-173- WINNER!

[BennyBigNuts]

Big play for Wednesday morning boys.
Ferrer gonna wax Berdych easily.
Owned him for the last few years. I'm not a fan of bird-dick's game.
I'm sure no one is tanking here or taking a match off, but I know Ferrer doesn't do that anyways so he might even pound this guy rather quickly.

Also small play on Nadal under 21.5 +100.

FERRER -110 OVER BIRD-DICK

[poet]

Benny, who gave you the big nuts nickname? Your woman. I think it's great. And whose nuts are pictured in the photo?

[BennyBigNuts]

Benny, who gave you the big nuts nickname? Your woman. I think it's great. And whose nuts are pictured in the photo?

LOL, I've always been known to have some pretty huge balls.

That avatar is just random I searched for it online. Thought it fit my name perfectly.
I love it.

[reddZor]

benny, stakhovsky to beat copil? thoughts?

[BennyBigNuts]

benny, stakhovsky to beat copil? thoughts?

I don't follow the challenger circuit bro. My guy doesn't offer it here in Vegas.
Most likely will get into it though come January. Gonna load up an account online most likely if this guy doesn't expand his tennis action for me.

[fitguy67]

benny, i'd suggest as a US-res u get at least 3 books up and running (5d, BOL, and Heritage)...and use a line-comparison site (sbr's free one is just fine for "plain vanilla" plays: ML, game-spread, game-totals)...tonyt for example, 5dimes is -135 and BOL is -120 on Fed-3.5...the three i recommend will give u a good crack at a good price always (if i want even more "outs" add one of the Bookmaker-family books: BM/CRIS/DSI, or their new acquisition JustBet...and for a fifth book, Bovada which will give you some nice super-square/sore-thumb odds from time to time)

[BennyBigNuts]

Ok lost on Ferrer yesterday, he was wasted- pretty bad performance by him.

Gonna go with the Del Potro/Joker over in today's match. I expect 3 sets, Del Potro may even make a run at winning today.
I believe Nadal clinched the #1 ranking yesterday so Joker may not be too motivated today and may make the match pretty close.


JOKER/DEL POTRO OVER 22.5 -115

[BennyBigNuts]

Ok lost on Ferrer yesterday, he was wasted- pretty bad performance by him.

Gonna go with the Del Potro/Joker over in today's match. I expect 3 sets, Del Potro may even make a run at winning today.
I believe Nadal clinched the #1 ranking yesterday so Joker may not be too motivated today and may make the match pretty close.


JOKER/DEL POTRO OVER 22.5 -115-----WINNER

[Jago2008]

Benny are you giving up on Ferrer tomorrow... or are you taking the pitbull at +180...

You think he's finished?

If I were to look at his stats and see him @ this value against a +8 world player = +EV. This is more than a toss-up than books perceive.

[fitguy67]

At these odds (i got +210 a few minutes ago at Marathon...god bless NOT America!, lol)...there's no choice for me...how can i bet against #3 vs #8 with a 7-4 (63.64% win rate) h2h when the odds imply#3 Ferrer has only a 32.26% chance of winning against #8 Wawrinka...unless Ferrer's got a broken leg that only he and the books know about...

[pattymayo]

At these odds (i got +210 a few minutes ago at Marathon...god bless NOT America!, lol)...there's no choice for me...how can i bet against #3 vs #8 with a 7-4 (63.64% win rate) h2h when the odds imply Ferrer has only a 32.26% chance of
winning...unless Ferrer's got a broken leg that only he and the books know about...

horrible logic to back Ferrer here... Ferrer is clearly gassed, as evident in his match against Nadal and more recently Berdych. He has no chance of advancing into the semi's, whereas Wawa must win this match if he is to advance.

Ferrer is done. #3 vs #8 is completely meaningless at this point in the tournament / season.

[Jago2008]

horrible logic to back Ferrer here... Ferrer is clearly gassed, as evident in his match against Nadal and more recently Berdych. He has no chance of advancing into the semi's, whereas Wawa must win this match if he is to advance.

Ferrer is done. #3 vs #8 is completely meaningless at this point in the tournament / season.

You really believe Ferrer is done Patty?! I don't know while Wawrinka has been great lately he hasn't proved to me he can beat a top 5 player.

Maybe the 'over' is better here because I don't think Ferrer is going away here without a fight.

[matt1216]

You really believe Ferrer is done Patty?! I don't know while Wawrinka has been great lately he hasn't proved to me he can beat a top 5 player.

Maybe the 'over' is better here because I don't think Ferrer is going away here without a fight.

Wawa has this. He needs this to guarentee that he moves on. I know Berdych probably won't win but u never know

[Jago2008]

Wawa has this. He needs this to guarentee that he moves on. I know Berdych probably won't win but u never know

He played so well against Nadal I almost feel like he's primed for regression like Gasquet after his match against Delpo.

But seriously bro I have no particular lean in this match yet, I feel like I'm leaning more to the 'over' more than anything in this match total.

[matt1216]

Just picture it.... Any other matchup vs nadal or joker would suck u need:

Nadal
Joker
Wawrinka
Delpotro


the 2 bottom guys r the only 2 left that have a shot to actually take down the big guys

[BennyBigNuts]

Benny are you giving up on Ferrer tomorrow... or are you taking the pitbull at +180...

You think he's finished?

If I were to look at his stats and see him @ this value against a +8 world player = +EV. This is more than a toss-up than books perceive.

Gonna hit the lab and find the best play for these 2 matches.
I'm leaning Ferrer at that price also.
Wawrinka can't beat the top guys and I don't care how he played vs. Nadal he still dropped both sets and is a known choker in clutch situations.
Will post later tonight.

[Jago2008]

GL to you gentlemen, I might just pass on this match entirely or just live-bet it like I've been doing. Can't find an edge, all signs point to Wawrinka covering, but I can't take it at these odds.

[Hardcoar]

DAVIIID!!! is done for.

[BennyBigNuts]

Ok boys, my play is in.
I went with the Ferrer/Wawrinka OVER 22 -105.
I just don't ever see Ferrer laying down and giving up so he will show some heart today after resting and probably give quite a performance today.
I do like the Ferrer price, and bet a very small parlay Ferrer/ Nadal as well.
Heavier on the over, if I hit the parlay and the over loses I break even.
BOL today boys, not gonna be around for this one, gotta get some sleep.
Let's stay hot!

FERRER/WAWRINKLES OVER 22 -105

[addictedto]

Brad Gilbert:
Why did little beast Ferrerr play 7 straight weeks heading into London when he allready had his place booked looks like he is on Fumes to me

[Jago2008]

Nice play Benny

[BennyBigNuts]

FERRER/WAWRINKLES OVER 22 -105----WINNER

Man, I'm slapping the fukk out of em in tennis right now boys.
We ain't playing tiddly winks here.

[BennyBigNuts]

3 plays for this Federer match vs Delpotro today.
These guys have gone the distance quite a bit vs. each other lately. I expect Federer to come through in this one. Not sold on Del Potro and his clutchness. This is a pretty big match here for him.
Federer will get the first set. He's been crushing first sets lately, going hard early.
Very small play on the over 25.5 at +105. This actually seems like the most logical bet in this match, but I think Federer is taking this one today.
Looking forward to a good match here, hope feds brings it!!!!
BOL this weekend with the pigskin guys

FEDERER FIRST SET -110

FEDERER FOR MATCH -108

SMALL PLAY:
FEDERER/DELPOTRO OVER 25.5 +105

[BennyBigNuts]

ROFL is anyone watching this?
Don't think I've ever witnessed Federer tank a game in my life but this is ridiculous.
He is possibly on drugs or just wants to lose.
Never thought I'd see that from him.
His shot selection has been a joke so far and he's dogged about 5 points already.

DelPotro backers can cash their tickets already this is a straight set sweeper here.
The funniest thing about it was Delpotro came out like shit too.

[BennyBigNuts]

If Federer is not hurt, which he hasn't hinted at in this match, he's 100% tanking this match.
He doesn't even want to be out there.
He's walking after balls and just flailing at them like a homo.

[BennyBigNuts]

DelPotro hasnt hit one good shot this whole match. He's just returning and watching Federer dog every point.

[SlowNsteady]

Not so fast Benny!