Reeces' Picks for Monday, Oct 28
format: name (ML at time of posting) v name (. . . ) winner: why, confidence of call (1 out of 10)
Julien Benneteau (1.91) v Kei Nishikori (1.83): Nishikori A close matchup, I am going to give this to Nishikori in 3 sets, Nishikori has played 9 matches on I_HARD this year, and has won 8 of them (88%), his only loss was delivered by Ivan Dodig, who is a big server in good form, Benneteau is neither of those things. Bennetau has won 12-17 matches on I_HARD (70.5%), but he his on home French soil. The lines are pretty close, and for good reason. Nishikori does very poorly in the USA, decently in Europe and best in Asia. If this match were in the US I'd give it to Benneteau.
Confidence: 4/10
Bet: No Bet.
Ernests Gulbis (1.6) v Fernando Verdasco (2.3): Gulbis in Straight Sets
On a Pretty resurgent year, and almost a weeks rest from his close 2 sets loss to Isner, Gulbis is 12/16 on I_HARD (75%). Gulbis has positive attributes, but more importantly Verdasco is only 2-6 (33%) on I_Hard, and is coming off of a pretty embarrassing loss to Pryzieszny. He's in Poor form, no reason to suggest he will come out any differently this week.
Confidence: 7/10
Bet: $25
A.Seppi (2.25) v P.Kohlschreiber (1.61): A. Seppi In a battle of the Poor forms, there's not much to distinguish. Seppi is 3-8 (37.5%) on IHARD and Kohl is 2-5 (40%), they've both lost their first matches 5 times out of their past 10 tournaments. Just giving Seppi the slight edge.
Confidence: 2/10
Bet: Hell no.
Lukas Rosol (2.55) v J.Chardy (1.5): L.RosolRight, well it isn't any easy call, but I see Rosol taking his momentum from Vienna over and taking out J.Chardy. Having watched Chardy played Isner, It's my opinion that Isner really beat himself, he didn't really do much on his own volition, Rosol is 8-15 (53%) on IHARD and Chardy is 2-5 (40%) on IHARD. I think Rosol uses his serve and more matchplay on IHARD to win.
Confidence: 5/10
BET: $25
bol
Julien Benneteau (1.91) v Kei Nishikori (1.83): Nishikori A close matchup, I am going to give this to Nishikori in 3 sets, Nishikori has played 9 matches on I_HARD this year, and has won 8 of them (88%), his only loss was delivered by Ivan Dodig, who is a big server in good form, Benneteau is neither of those things. Bennetau has won 12-17 matches on I_HARD (70.5%), but he his on home French soil. The lines are pretty close, and for good reason. Nishikori does very poorly in the USA, decently in Europe and best in Asia. If this match were in the US I'd give it to Benneteau.
Confidence: 4/10
Bet: No Bet.
Ernests Gulbis (1.6) v Fernando Verdasco (2.3): Gulbis in Straight Sets
On a Pretty resurgent year, and almost a weeks rest from his close 2 sets loss to Isner, Gulbis is 12/16 on I_HARD (75%). Gulbis has positive attributes, but more importantly Verdasco is only 2-6 (33%) on I_Hard, and is coming off of a pretty embarrassing loss to Pryzieszny. He's in Poor form, no reason to suggest he will come out any differently this week.
Confidence: 7/10
Bet: $25
A.Seppi (2.25) v P.Kohlschreiber (1.61): A. Seppi In a battle of the Poor forms, there's not much to distinguish. Seppi is 3-8 (37.5%) on IHARD and Kohl is 2-5 (40%), they've both lost their first matches 5 times out of their past 10 tournaments. Just giving Seppi the slight edge.
Confidence: 2/10
Bet: Hell no.
Lukas Rosol (2.55) v J.Chardy (1.5): L.RosolRight, well it isn't any easy call, but I see Rosol taking his momentum from Vienna over and taking out J.Chardy. Having watched Chardy played Isner, It's my opinion that Isner really beat himself, he didn't really do much on his own volition, Rosol is 8-15 (53%) on IHARD and Chardy is 2-5 (40%) on IHARD. I think Rosol uses his serve and more matchplay on IHARD to win.
Confidence: 5/10
BET: $25
bol